TradingLab MACD + 200 EMA

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

ETHUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 15m · 2023-01-01 → 2026-09-01 · 128,545 bars in 145.9ms

Underperformed the market. Holding ETHUSDT returned +106.91% over the same period, against this strategy’s -84.08%.

Net P&L
-84.08%
−$8,408.48
Max drawdown
-84.79%
Max run-up
+18.78%
Trades
1,220
35.8% won (437 of 1220)
Profit factor
0.63

The rules

The rules

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ETHUSDT with every trade

ETHUSDT with every trade

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2023-01-01drawdown · worst -84.79%2026-09-01

Month by month

12 of 45 months up · best +9.3% Feb 2024 · worst −15.1% Jan 2024 · 9 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2023−3.3%−4.7%−9.9%−7.6%−14.1%−5.8%−9.5%−9.4%−7.7%+4.8%−9.0%+1.1%−54.7%
2024−15.1%+9.3%+1.1%+0.8%−7.5%−3.0%−3.6%+0.6%+1.4%−1.9%−3.4%+3.0%−18.5%
2025−5.0%−0.4%−9.2%−13.2%−4.3%−2.8%+0.5%−4.3%−6.3%−0.4%−9.3%−5.7%−46.7%
2026+3.3%−1.9%−3.1%−8.4%+1.4%+0.1%−3.1%−8.6%0.0%···−19.1%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

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Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-3.08
Sortino
-4.25
Calmar
-0.46
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.99
CAGR
-39.43%
Exposure
32.5%
Per-trade detail

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Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$4,054.26
Funding
−$67.02
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
203
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+106.91%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 1220 trades

All 1220 trades

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How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2023-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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