BTC Stochastic rebound

publicspotmade in Codex
@dhananjay_gambhir

BTCUSDT · Binance spot · 1d · 2024-01-01 → 2026-01-01 · 732 bars in 1.6ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BTCUSDT returned +100.77% over the same period, against this strategy’s +8.33%.

Only 13 trades. Too few to separate skill from luck. Treat every statistic here as provisional.

Net P&L
+8.33%
$833.45
Max drawdown
-5.12%
Max run-up
+16.05%
Trades
13
76.9% won (10 of 13)
Profit factor
2.86

The rules

The rules

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BTCUSDT with every trade

BTCUSDT with every trade

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2024-01-01drawdown · worst -5.12%2026-01-01

Month by month

12 of 25 months up · best +4.6% Aug 2024 · worst −3.2% Nov 2025

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2024+0.0%0.0%0.0%−1.3%+1.8%−1.4%+0.8%+4.6%+1.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%+5.6%
2025+0.9%0.0%+0.9%0.0%0.0%+1.4%0.0%−0.9%+1.6%+1.4%−3.2%+0.2%+2.3%
2026+0.3%···········+0.3%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

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Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.64
Sortino
1.00
Calmar
0.80
Return ÷ max drawdown
1.63
CAGR
+4.08%
Exposure
27.0%
Per-trade detail

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Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$69.52
Funding(spot pays no funding)
none
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
23
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+100.77%

All 13 trades

All 13 trades

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How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees (Binance spot’s 0.1% unless the strategy sets its own) and slippage are charged; spot pays no funding.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2024-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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