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[Famous-PA] Darvas box breakout

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

NEIROUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 4h · 2024-09-19 → 2026-09-01 · 4,270 bars in 2.8ms

Net P&L
+0.55%
$55.29
Max drawdown
-35.34%
Max run-up
+55.08%
Trades
53
20.8% won (11 of 53)
Profit factor
1.01

The rules

The rules

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NEIROUSDT with every trade

NEIROUSDT with every trade

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2024-09-19drawdown · worst -35.34%2026-09-01

Month by month

7 of 25 months up · best +30.8% May 2025 · worst −6.8% Feb 2025 · 7 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2024········−1.1%+6.2%+9.9%−6.6%+7.8%
2025−4.0%−6.8%−2.5%+5.5%+30.8%−4.1%−1.2%−4.2%−1.4%−2.5%−1.8%−5.2%−2.2%
2026+3.2%−3.2%+1.3%−2.4%−4.4%−2.9%−3.5%+7.7%0.0%···−4.6%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

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Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.14
Sortino
0.24
Calmar
0.01
Return ÷ max drawdown
0.02
CAGR
+0.28%
Exposure
18.9%
Per-trade detail

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Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$142.55
Funding
−$135.82
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(the market’s first candles)
19
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-91.52%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 53 trades

All 53 trades

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How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

The period asked for began 2022-01-01, and the archive has too little NEIROUSDT history before then to warm up on, so the test starts at 2024-09-19: the first candle with every indicator ready.

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