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[Famous-PA] Darvas box breakout

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

XRPUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 4h · 2022-01-01 → 2026-09-01 · 10,195 bars in 14.0ms

Underperformed the market. Holding XRPUSDT returned +64.83% over the same period, against this strategy’s +13.11%.

Net P&L
+13.11%
$1,310.95
Max drawdown
-32.97%
Max run-up
+67.75%
Trades
128
22.7% won (29 of 128)
Profit factor
1.14

The rules

The rules

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

XRPUSDT with every trade

XRPUSDT with every trade

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

2022-01-01drawdown · worst -32.97%2026-09-01

Month by month

20 of 57 months up · best +47.2% Nov 2024 · worst −5.8% Sep 2022 · 7 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2022−1.1%+7.2%−1.8%−1.1%−1.1%−3.3%+1.3%−2.6%−5.8%−1.1%−3.4%−1.5%−14.1%
2023+1.9%−1.8%+2.5%−3.1%+1.2%−3.2%+4.6%−1.9%−1.0%+2.1%+1.8%−2.7%−0.0%
2024−2.6%−2.6%−4.7%−1.8%−1.7%−1.6%+4.2%−3.2%−0.1%−1.6%+47.2%+2.5%+28.4%
2025+2.9%+0.9%−3.8%+0.1%+2.3%−3.0%+8.8%−2.2%+0.2%−1.2%−1.7%−1.7%+1.0%
2026+2.5%−2.4%−2.1%−0.8%−3.3%+0.1%−0.5%+8.5%0.0%···+1.6%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.26
Sortino
0.42
Calmar
0.08
Return ÷ max drawdown
0.40
CAGR
+2.68%
Exposure
22.7%
Per-trade detail

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$306.37
Funding
−$277.84
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
23
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+64.83%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 128 trades

All 128 trades

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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