[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

1000SHIBUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,225 bars in 10.7ms

Net P&L
-26.97%
−$2,697.24
Max drawdown
-41.32%
Max run-up
+48.18%
Trades
142
26.1% win rate
Profit factor
0.77
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -41.32%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-10.56%-31.77%8024%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-17.91%-26.28%3324%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-0.54%-10.99%2934%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.24
Sortino
-0.36
Calmar
-0.16
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.65
CAGR
-6.52%
Exposure
39.3%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$18.99 · -0.77%
Average win / loss
$244.04 / −$111.68
Payoff ratio
2.19
Largest win / loss
$1,275.11 / −$278.41
Longest losing streak(winning: 3)
17 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-41.32%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
910 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$311.11
Funding
−$393.68
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-84.74%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 142 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-52.57%-28.46%+13.00%
Max drawdown-55.13%-38.04%-21.29%

89% of histories lost money, and 39% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -41.32%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

1000SHIBUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

142 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
1short2022-01-05 20:00 @ 0.032022-01-12 12:00 @ 0.036d 16h−$149.97-6.00%stop loss
2short2022-01-21 00:00 @ 0.032022-02-05 00:00 @ 0.0215d$385.76+15.67%signal
3long2022-02-05 04:00 @ 0.022022-02-12 00:00 @ 0.036d 20h$654.05+25.56%signal
4short2022-02-20 04:00 @ 0.032022-03-01 16:00 @ 0.039d 12h−$77.75-2.86%signal
5short2022-03-07 20:00 @ 0.022022-03-09 00:00 @ 0.021d 4h−$203.78-7.54%stop loss
6short2022-03-14 00:00 @ 0.022022-03-16 20:00 @ 0.022d 20h−$154.58-5.83%stop loss
7long2022-03-19 16:00 @ 0.032022-03-19 20:00 @ 0.024h−$136.54-5.22%stop loss
8long2022-03-28 00:00 @ 0.032022-03-31 20:00 @ 0.033d 20h$14.07+0.55%signal
9short2022-04-09 00:00 @ 0.022022-04-10 12:00 @ 0.031d 12h−$174.19-6.74%stop loss
10short2022-04-11 12:00 @ 0.022022-04-12 08:00 @ 0.0220h−$149.56-5.89%stop loss
11short2022-04-25 08:00 @ 0.022022-04-25 12:00 @ 0.024h−$134.33-5.37%stop loss
12short2022-04-29 20:00 @ 0.022022-05-23 08:00 @ 0.0123d 12h$1,037.11+42.02%signal
13short2022-05-26 12:00 @ 0.012022-05-29 12:00 @ 0.013d−$214.09-7.85%stop loss
14short2022-06-11 12:00 @ 0.012022-06-21 12:00 @ 0.0110d$164.21+6.14%signal
15long2022-06-21 16:00 @ 0.012022-06-22 08:00 @ 0.0116h−$278.41-10.25%stop loss
16long2022-07-08 00:00 @ 0.012022-07-11 20:00 @ 0.013d 20h−$153.28-5.79%stop loss
17long2022-07-20 08:00 @ 0.012022-07-20 20:00 @ 0.0112h−$196.73-7.55%stop loss
18short2022-07-26 04:00 @ 0.012022-07-27 16:00 @ 0.011d 12h−$176.55-6.90%stop loss
19long2022-08-14 08:00 @ 0.012022-08-18 00:00 @ 0.013d 16h$36.23+1.44%signal
20short2022-08-27 00:00 @ 0.012022-09-04 12:00 @ 0.018d 12h−$114.27-4.53%signal
21short2022-09-19 00:00 @ 0.012022-09-23 16:00 @ 0.014d 16h−$173.36-6.95%stop loss
22short2022-10-11 00:00 @ 0.012022-10-13 16:00 @ 0.012d 16h−$109.05-4.45%stop loss
23long2022-10-27 04:00 @ 0.012022-10-27 12:00 @ 0.018h−$112.01-4.62%stop loss
24long2022-10-29 16:00 @ 0.012022-10-29 16:00 @ 0.010m−$217.06-9.06%stop loss
25short2022-11-08 04:00 @ 0.012022-12-03 16:00 @ 0.0125d 12h$342.60+14.63%signal
26long2022-12-05 08:00 @ 0.012022-12-05 12:00 @ 0.014h−$94.30-3.89%stop loss
27short2022-12-12 04:00 @ 0.012022-12-13 12:00 @ 0.011d 8h−$83.27-3.46%stop loss
28short2022-12-17 00:00 @ 0.012022-12-18 00:00 @ 0.011d−$115.16-4.83%stop loss
29long2023-01-05 00:00 @ 0.012023-01-25 00:00 @ 0.0120d$756.39+32.13%signal
30long2023-02-02 16:00 @ 0.012023-02-08 20:00 @ 0.016d 4h$242.19+9.52%signal
31short2023-03-03 04:00 @ 0.012023-03-08 16:00 @ 0.015d 12h−$71.74-2.76%signal
32short2023-03-09 20:00 @ 0.012023-03-14 12:00 @ 0.014d 16h−$161.90-6.26%stop loss
33long2023-03-14 16:00 @ 0.012023-03-14 20:00 @ 0.014h−$156.59-6.15%stop loss
34long2023-04-01 16:00 @ 0.012023-04-03 00:00 @ 0.011d 8h−$101.43-4.05%stop loss
35long2023-04-16 00:00 @ 0.012023-04-19 08:00 @ 0.013d 8h−$96.24-3.88%stop loss
36short2023-04-21 20:00 @ 0.012023-04-26 12:00 @ 0.014d 16h−$79.84-3.25%signal
37short2023-05-06 16:00 @ 0.012023-05-22 12:00 @ 0.0115d 20h$152.03+6.24%signal
38long2023-05-23 12:00 @ 0.012023-05-24 00:00 @ 0.0112h−$79.62-3.22%stop loss
39short2023-06-05 16:00 @ 0.012023-06-18 12:00 @ 0.0112d 20h$243.56+9.92%signal
40long2023-06-22 04:00 @ 0.012023-06-22 08:00 @ 0.014h−$129.92-5.16%stop loss
41long2023-07-13 20:00 @ 0.012023-07-14 16:00 @ 0.0120h−$98.33-3.96%stop loss
42long2023-07-28 16:00 @ 0.012023-07-30 20:00 @ 0.012d 4h−$89.43-3.64%stop loss
43long2023-08-04 16:00 @ 0.012023-08-15 20:00 @ 0.0111d 4h$274.23+11.26%signal
44short2023-08-17 12:00 @ 0.012023-08-23 20:00 @ 0.016d 8h$83.05+3.32%signal
45short2023-09-03 20:00 @ 0.012023-09-14 20:00 @ 0.0111d$91.08+3.61%signal
46short2023-10-09 12:00 @ 0.012023-10-14 08:00 @ 0.014d 20h−$66.65-2.62%stop loss
47long2023-10-24 00:00 @ 0.012023-10-24 12:00 @ 0.0112h−$88.43-3.49%stop loss
48long2023-10-26 04:00 @ 0.012023-10-26 12:00 @ 0.018h−$129.96-5.18%stop loss
49long2023-11-05 12:00 @ 0.012023-11-09 16:00 @ 0.014d 4h−$111.34-4.50%stop loss
50long2023-11-11 04:00 @ 0.012023-11-14 00:00 @ 0.012d 20h−$165.52-6.76%stop loss
51short2023-11-22 00:00 @ 0.012023-11-24 08:00 @ 0.012d 8h−$160.29-6.66%stop loss
52long2023-12-03 20:00 @ 0.012023-12-04 08:00 @ 0.0112h−$92.24-3.90%stop loss
53long2023-12-06 08:00 @ 0.012023-12-11 00:00 @ 0.014d 16h−$172.89-7.37%stop loss
54long2023-12-17 00:00 @ 0.012023-12-17 00:00 @ 0.010m−$155.88-6.77%stop loss
55short2024-01-03 16:00 @ 0.012024-01-11 08:00 @ 0.017d 16h−$144.12-6.37%stop loss
56short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 0.012024-01-26 08:00 @ 0.012d 20h−$116.88-5.25%stop loss
57long2024-02-10 04:00 @ 0.012024-02-10 08:00 @ 0.014h−$57.66-2.62%stop loss
58long2024-02-11 08:00 @ 0.012024-02-12 00:00 @ 0.0116h−$58.43-2.68%stop loss
59long2024-02-13 00:00 @ 0.012024-02-13 12:00 @ 0.0112h−$70.52-3.25%stop loss
60long2024-02-14 20:00 @ 0.012024-02-17 12:00 @ 0.012d 16h−$77.58-3.61%stop loss
61long2024-02-26 20:00 @ 0.012024-02-28 16:00 @ 0.011d 20h−$83.87-3.94%stop loss
62long2024-02-29 08:00 @ 0.012024-02-29 20:00 @ 0.0112h−$190.85-9.04%stop loss
63long2024-03-01 20:00 @ 0.012024-03-16 20:00 @ 0.0215d$1,275.11+61.82%signal
64long2024-03-26 12:00 @ 0.032024-04-01 04:00 @ 0.035d 16h−$211.32-8.87%stop loss
65short2024-04-02 04:00 @ 0.032024-04-07 04:00 @ 0.035d−$153.94-6.61%signal
66short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 0.022024-04-19 12:00 @ 0.026d 16h$43.13+1.88%signal
67short2024-04-30 12:00 @ 0.022024-05-03 12:00 @ 0.023d−$164.82-7.16%stop loss
68short2024-05-13 04:00 @ 0.022024-05-13 08:00 @ 0.024h−$111.54-4.94%stop loss
69long2024-05-16 00:00 @ 0.032024-05-19 16:00 @ 0.023d 16h−$103.99-4.66%signal
70long2024-05-21 00:00 @ 0.032024-05-23 12:00 @ 0.022d 12h−$113.65-5.15%stop loss
71long2024-05-29 04:00 @ 0.032024-05-29 12:00 @ 0.038h−$134.30-6.17%stop loss
72short2024-06-04 08:00 @ 0.022024-06-05 00:00 @ 0.0316h−$124.57-5.81%stop loss
73short2024-06-14 20:00 @ 0.022024-07-07 00:00 @ 0.0222d 4h$267.80+12.68%signal
74long2024-07-15 00:00 @ 0.022024-07-18 12:00 @ 0.023d 12h−$49.49-2.27%signal
75short2024-07-25 04:00 @ 0.022024-07-27 00:00 @ 0.021d 20h−$127.37-5.88%stop loss
76short2024-08-01 16:00 @ 0.022024-08-09 00:00 @ 0.017d 8h$139.14+6.52%signal
77long2024-08-22 00:00 @ 0.012024-08-27 20:00 @ 0.015d 20h−$87.79-4.05%stop loss
78short2024-09-02 00:00 @ 0.012024-09-03 00:00 @ 0.011d−$103.00-4.79%stop loss
79long2024-09-13 16:00 @ 0.012024-09-15 20:00 @ 0.012d 4h−$76.48-3.60%stop loss
80long2024-09-19 12:00 @ 0.012024-09-30 16:00 @ 0.0211d 4h$530.95+25.24%signal
81short2024-10-26 00:00 @ 0.022024-10-28 16:00 @ 0.022d 16h−$129.41-5.79%stop loss
82long2024-11-10 00:00 @ 0.022024-11-20 20:00 @ 0.0210d 20h$318.72+14.46%signal
83long2024-11-23 04:00 @ 0.032024-11-24 12:00 @ 0.021d 8h−$195.27-8.55%stop loss
84long2024-12-01 04:00 @ 0.032024-12-03 12:00 @ 0.032d 8h−$162.82-7.29%stop loss
85short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 0.022024-12-21 04:00 @ 0.021d 8h−$200.53-9.14%stop loss
86short2024-12-30 16:00 @ 0.022025-01-02 00:00 @ 0.022d 8h−$129.06-6.02%stop loss
87long2025-01-03 16:00 @ 0.022025-01-07 12:00 @ 0.023d 20h−$106.00-5.02%stop loss
88short2025-01-13 12:00 @ 0.022025-01-13 20:00 @ 0.028h−$130.60-6.26%stop loss
89long2025-01-17 08:00 @ 0.022025-01-18 08:00 @ 0.021d−$119.41-5.82%stop loss
90short2025-01-27 00:00 @ 0.022025-01-31 16:00 @ 0.024d 16h−$53.11-2.63%signal
91short2025-02-02 04:00 @ 0.022025-02-09 04:00 @ 0.027d$85.23+4.24%signal
92long2025-02-13 00:00 @ 0.022025-02-13 16:00 @ 0.0216h−$124.24-6.12%stop loss
93short2025-02-24 16:00 @ 0.012025-03-02 16:00 @ 0.026d−$96.82-4.84%stop loss
94short2025-03-03 20:00 @ 0.012025-03-16 08:00 @ 0.0112d 12h−$35.73-1.81%signal
95long2025-03-26 00:00 @ 0.012025-03-28 04:00 @ 0.012d 4h−$81.06-4.12%stop loss
96short2025-03-31 04:00 @ 0.012025-04-01 08:00 @ 0.011d 4h−$107.71-5.54%stop loss
97short2025-04-06 20:00 @ 0.012025-04-09 20:00 @ 0.013d−$114.21-5.95%stop loss
98long2025-04-12 16:00 @ 0.012025-04-13 16:00 @ 0.011d−$102.73-5.43%stop loss
99long2025-04-22 16:00 @ 0.012025-04-30 16:00 @ 0.018d−$6.66-0.36%signal
100short2025-05-04 20:00 @ 0.012025-05-08 00:00 @ 0.013d 4h−$80.24-4.31%stop loss
101long2025-05-08 20:00 @ 0.012025-05-17 04:00 @ 0.018d 8h$32.16+1.75%signal
102short2025-05-30 00:00 @ 0.012025-06-10 00:00 @ 0.0111d$97.92+5.29%signal
103long2025-06-11 16:00 @ 0.012025-06-11 20:00 @ 0.014h−$85.57-4.56%stop loss
104short2025-06-13 04:00 @ 0.012025-06-16 20:00 @ 0.013d 16h−$88.76-4.79%signal
105short2025-06-20 20:00 @ 0.012025-06-24 04:00 @ 0.013d 8h−$82.49-4.50%stop loss
106long2025-07-03 08:00 @ 0.012025-07-04 04:00 @ 0.0120h−$66.70-3.68%stop loss
107long2025-07-09 20:00 @ 0.012025-07-23 16:00 @ 0.0113d 20h$260.27+14.50%signal
108short2025-07-30 12:00 @ 0.012025-08-07 12:00 @ 0.018d$1.27+0.07%signal
109long2025-08-08 20:00 @ 0.012025-08-12 08:00 @ 0.013d 12h−$77.98-4.19%stop loss
110long2025-08-14 04:00 @ 0.012025-08-14 12:00 @ 0.018h−$87.43-4.75%stop loss
111short2025-08-19 04:00 @ 0.012025-08-22 12:00 @ 0.013d 8h−$83.27-4.58%stop loss
112long2025-09-08 12:00 @ 0.012025-09-15 12:00 @ 0.017d$49.03+2.73%signal
113short2025-09-22 00:00 @ 0.012025-09-29 00:00 @ 0.017d$98.37+5.43%signal
114long2025-10-02 04:00 @ 0.012025-10-07 16:00 @ 0.015d 12h−$59.35-3.23%stop loss
115short2025-10-10 16:00 @ 0.012025-10-20 08:00 @ 0.019d 16h$201.17+11.05%signal
116long2025-10-27 00:00 @ 0.012025-10-28 12:00 @ 0.011d 12h−$61.01-3.26%stop loss
117short2025-10-30 20:00 @ 0.012025-10-31 00:00 @ 0.014h−$90.53-4.88%stop loss
118short2025-11-03 16:00 @ 0.012025-11-07 08:00 @ 0.013d 16h−$39.80-2.17%signal
119short2025-11-16 20:00 @ 0.012025-11-24 20:00 @ 0.018d$93.35+5.12%signal
120short2025-12-15 16:00 @ 0.012025-12-28 00:00 @ 0.0112d 8h$114.89+6.22%signal
121short2025-12-31 20:00 @ 0.012026-01-01 12:00 @ 0.0116h−$63.40-3.38%stop loss
122long2026-01-02 16:00 @ 0.012026-01-12 00:00 @ 0.019d 8h$148.43+7.99%signal
123short2026-01-16 16:00 @ 0.012026-01-16 20:00 @ 0.014h−$93.72-4.94%stop loss
124short2026-01-19 00:00 @ 0.012026-02-13 16:00 @ 0.0125d 16h$417.51+22.30%signal
125long2026-02-14 16:00 @ 0.012026-02-18 16:00 @ 0.014d−$99.25-5.02%stop loss
126short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 0.012026-02-25 12:00 @ 0.012d 8h−$84.26-4.32%stop loss
127short2026-02-27 12:00 @ 0.012026-03-04 20:00 @ 0.015d 8h$6.24+0.32%signal
128long2026-03-10 16:00 @ 0.012026-03-10 20:00 @ 0.014h−$98.23-5.08%stop loss
129long2026-03-13 12:00 @ 0.012026-03-13 20:00 @ 0.018h−$92.28-4.84%stop loss
130long2026-03-16 08:00 @ 0.012026-03-16 12:00 @ 0.014h−$84.68-4.49%stop loss
131short2026-04-12 16:00 @ 0.012026-04-13 20:00 @ 0.011d 4h−$63.88-3.43%stop loss
132long2026-04-16 20:00 @ 0.012026-04-17 04:00 @ 0.018h−$68.89-3.73%stop loss
133long2026-04-29 12:00 @ 0.012026-04-29 12:00 @ 0.010m−$64.71-3.54%stop loss
134long2026-05-10 16:00 @ 0.012026-05-12 12:00 @ 0.011d 20h−$56.66-3.12%stop loss
135short2026-05-15 16:00 @ 0.012026-05-21 20:00 @ 0.016d 4h$72.97+4.05%signal
136short2026-05-23 08:00 @ 0.012026-05-23 20:00 @ 0.0112h−$62.10-3.42%stop loss
137short2026-05-28 00:00 @ 0.012026-06-11 20:00 @ 0.0014d 20h$190.40+10.56%signal
138long2026-06-15 16:00 @ 0.012026-06-16 00:00 @ 0.008h−$69.55-3.76%stop loss
139short2026-06-23 08:00 @ 0.002026-07-04 00:00 @ 0.0010d 16h$34.93+1.91%signal
140long2026-07-25 16:00 @ 0.002026-07-29 04:00 @ 0.003d 12h−$78.42-4.26%stop loss
141short2026-08-11 00:00 @ 0.002026-08-14 16:00 @ 0.003d 16h−$59.71-3.28%signal
142long2026-08-20 00:00 @ 0.002026-08-31 00:00 @ 0.0011d$74.10+4.10%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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