[Famous-Q] Faber 200-bar SMA timing
publicmade in Claude CodeNEIROUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 4h · 2024-10-19 → 2026-09-01 · 4,090 bars in 1.5ms
The rules
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NEIROUSDT with every trade
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Month by month
4 of 24 months up · best +21.7% May 2025 · worst −9.2% Oct 2024 · 3 losing months in a row at worst
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | −9.2% | −3.8% | −3.1% | −15.4% |
| 2025 | 0.0% | −1.1% | −5.5% | +3.2% | +21.7% | −0.9% | −1.5% | 0.0% | −2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | −3.5% | +7.6% |
| 2026 | −1.9% | 0.0% | −2.0% | +7.2% | −2.1% | 0.0% | −4.4% | +7.6% | −0.0% | · | · | · | +3.7% |
Training · validation · out-of-sample
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Risk-adjusted
- Sharpe
- 0.06
- Sortino
- 0.10
- Calmar
- -0.11
- Return ÷ max drawdown
- -0.20
- CAGR
- -3.01%
- Exposure
- 28.9%
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A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.
Costs and mechanics
- Fees paid
- −$133.73
- Funding
- −$108.44
- Liquidations
- 0
- Warmup bars(the market’s first candles)
- 199
- Benchmark(buy and hold)
- -95.58%
Monte Carlo
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All 59 trades
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How this was run
Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.
The period asked for began 2022-01-01, and the archive has too little NEIROUSDT history before then to warm up on, so the test starts at 2024-10-19: the first candle with every indicator ready.