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[Famous-Q] Faber 200-bar SMA timing

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

XRPUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 4h · 2022-01-01 → 2026-09-01 · 10,195 bars in 5.9ms

Underperformed the market. Holding XRPUSDT returned +64.83% over the same period, against this strategy’s +31.77%.

Net P&L
+31.77%
$3,176.80
Max drawdown
-29.02%
Max run-up
+108.23%
Trades
171
13.5% won (23 of 171)
Profit factor
1.43

The rules

The rules

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

XRPUSDT with every trade

XRPUSDT with every trade

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

2022-01-01drawdown · worst -29.02%2026-09-01

Month by month

15 of 57 months up · best +65.8% Nov 2024 · worst −9.6% Aug 2024 · 4 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
20220.0%−0.9%−3.8%−0.6%0.0%−1.4%+0.6%−2.3%+7.3%−1.3%−1.2%−2.0%−5.9%
2023+3.1%−4.1%+8.2%−3.4%+2.0%−3.9%+4.3%−2.6%−0.6%+2.8%−0.2%−5.7%−1.0%
2024−0.5%+3.2%−3.3%−1.5%−3.4%−2.4%+9.2%−9.6%+1.2%−3.2%+65.8%−1.6%+45.6%
2025+5.9%−3.6%−6.1%+0.4%−0.2%−0.6%+7.1%−1.7%−2.3%−0.6%−1.2%0.0%−3.7%
2026−0.5%0.0%−2.4%−0.9%−0.3%0.0%−2.2%+7.4%−0.0%···+0.8%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.40
Sortino
0.62
Calmar
0.21
Return ÷ max drawdown
1.09
CAGR
+6.09%
Exposure
40.5%
Per-trade detail

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$460.04
Funding
−$610.89
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
202
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+64.83%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 171 trades

All 171 trades

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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