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[Mine-Q] ADX-gated EMA 20/100 trend

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

BTCUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 12h · 2021-12-30 → 2026-08-31 · 3,411 bars in 4.4ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BTCUSDT returned +66.79% over the same period, against this strategy’s +18.00%.

Net P&L
+18.00%
$1,799.71
Max drawdown
-13.34%
Max run-up
+21.46%
Trades
59
39.0% won (23 of 59)
Profit factor
1.41

The rules

The rules

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BTCUSDT with every trade

BTCUSDT with every trade

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2021-12-30drawdown · worst -13.34%2026-08-31

Month by month

25 of 57 months up · best +7.1% Feb 2024 · worst −6.2% Jul 2022 · 3 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2021···········0.0%0.0%
2022+2.3%−0.5%+0.5%−1.5%+3.6%+7.0%−6.2%−1.3%+0.1%−0.8%−3.1%−0.7%−1.0%
2023+5.6%−3.0%+0.6%−0.2%−1.1%+0.3%−1.0%−0.9%−0.7%+4.7%+0.6%+1.6%+6.4%
2024−2.5%+7.1%+0.4%−2.3%−1.8%−0.6%+0.3%−2.9%−1.1%−1.6%+5.2%−1.0%−1.3%
20250.0%+1.2%−0.5%−0.7%+2.6%−0.2%+1.8%−0.2%−1.2%+0.2%+4.4%−0.8%+6.7%
2026−1.3%+3.2%+0.1%−0.6%+0.2%+4.7%−2.0%+2.2%····+6.4%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

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Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.41
Sortino
0.60
Calmar
0.27
Return ÷ max drawdown
1.35
CAGR
+3.61%
Exposure
61.4%
Per-trade detail

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Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$155.38
Funding
−$316.55
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
99
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+66.79%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 59 trades

All 59 trades

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How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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