[Famous-PA] Williams volatility breakout
publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhirBTCUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 1h · 2022-01-01 → 2026-09-01 · 40,897 bars in 17.2ms
Underperformed the market. Holding BTCUSDT returned +68.53% over the same period, against this strategy’s -93.33%.
The rules
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BTCUSDT with every trade
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Month by month
3 of 57 months up · best +2.6% Mar 2023 · worst −11.6% Dec 2024 · 19 losing months in a row at worst
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | −8.2% | −2.2% | −3.6% | −4.8% | −8.8% | −2.6% | −4.2% | −4.1% | −9.4% | −6.9% | −5.8% | −6.3% | −49.9% |
| 2023 | −3.5% | −6.5% | +2.6% | −2.8% | −4.5% | −2.3% | −4.3% | −2.3% | −5.4% | −6.4% | −7.7% | −3.0% | −37.8% |
| 2024 | −2.2% | −3.3% | −6.5% | +0.1% | −3.2% | −4.0% | −5.8% | −1.7% | −7.3% | −9.9% | −6.4% | −11.6% | −47.4% |
| 2025 | −2.7% | +1.4% | −9.4% | −3.2% | −7.3% | −5.3% | −6.3% | −3.9% | −3.8% | −4.7% | −6.0% | −3.7% | −43.2% |
| 2026 | −3.4% | −4.2% | −2.3% | −4.0% | −5.4% | −6.1% | −6.4% | −0.6% | −0.0% | · | · | · | −28.4% |
Forward test
Running since 2026-09-26 21:50 UTC
1,010 bars · 173 trades · -6.94% · full record
Training · validation · out-of-sample
A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.
Risk-adjusted
- Sharpe
- -5.88
- Sortino
- -8.55
- Calmar
- -0.47
- Return ÷ max drawdown
- -1.00
- CAGR
- -44.03%
- Exposure
- 52.8%
A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.
A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.
Costs and mechanics
- Fees paid
- −$5,629.83
- Funding
- $9.61
- Liquidations
- 0
- Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
- 17
- Benchmark(buy and hold)
- +68.53%
Monte Carlo
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All 6777 trades
A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.
How this was run
Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.
Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.