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[Famous-Q] Time-series momentum (90-bar)

publicmade in Claude Code
@djgambhir

BTCUSDT · Binance USD-M perpetual · 1h · 2021-12-31 → 2026-08-31 · 40,898 bars in 14.6ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BTCUSDT returned +69.66% over the same period, against this strategy’s -31.09%.

Net P&L
-31.09%
−$3,108.97
Max drawdown
-42.89%
Max run-up
+21.20%
Trades
1,595
22.6% won (361 of 1595)
Profit factor
0.88

The rules

The rules

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

BTCUSDT with every trade

BTCUSDT with every trade

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

2021-12-31drawdown · worst -42.89%2026-08-31

Month by month

24 of 57 months up · best +7.4% Nov 2024 · worst −6.8% Feb 2026 · 10 losing months in a row at worst

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYear
2021···········+0.0%+0.0%
2022+1.3%+0.8%+3.9%−1.1%+0.1%+4.8%+2.1%−3.2%−3.2%−3.4%−0.4%−3.9%−2.8%
2023+2.1%+2.1%+1.2%+2.9%−3.7%−1.3%−3.4%−1.8%−4.2%+5.1%−5.0%+2.9%−3.7%
2024+1.0%−0.0%+0.8%+4.0%+0.3%−0.7%+4.3%−2.3%−0.9%+1.3%+7.4%−5.5%+9.6%
2025−4.8%−3.3%−2.7%−1.5%−1.4%−4.9%−2.7%−0.8%−0.2%+0.8%+3.3%−4.8%−21.0%
2026+1.3%−6.8%−4.0%−0.7%−2.2%−1.8%−6.3%+4.8%····−15.0%

Training · validation · out-of-sample

Training · validation · out-of-sample

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.60
Sortino
-0.87
Calmar
-0.18
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.72
CAGR
-7.67%
Exposure
96.1%
Per-trade detail

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

Time under water

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Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$3,713.50
Funding
−$180.95
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
90
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+69.66%

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo

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All 1595 trades

All 1595 trades

A Pro feature. Pro isn’t on sale yet; beta testers get it free — ask on the pricing page.

How this was run

Orders fill at the next candle’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one candle’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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