[Mine-Q] Trend + momentum ensemble

public
@djgambhir

TRXUSDT · 12h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 3,399 bars in 4.0ms

Underperformed the market. Holding TRXUSDT returned +333.69% over the same period, against this strategy’s -27.50%.

Net P&L
-27.50%
−$2,750.06
Max drawdown
-36.31%
Max run-up
+50.32%
Trades
158
20.3% win rate
Profit factor
0.65
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -36.31%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-25.51%-36.31%9821%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-4.40%-33.26%3716%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+1.81%-5.54%2322%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.33
Sortino
-0.60
Calmar
-0.18
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.76
CAGR
-6.66%
Exposure
74.2%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$17.41 · -0.75%
Average win / loss
$156.70 / −$61.62
Payoff ratio
2.54
Largest win / loss
$927.02 / −$319.43
Longest losing streak(winning: 4)
14 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-36.31%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1681 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$302.77
Funding
−$550.90
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
202
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+333.69%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 158 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-49.02%-28.28%+3.83%
Max drawdown-50.38%-34.48%-18.24%

93% of histories lost money, and 42% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -36.31%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

ema200 length
200
ema50 length
50
roc20 length
20
macd fast length
12
macd slow length
26
macd signal length
9
atr14 length
14
Long entry: roc20 > ▢
0
Long entry: macd.hist > ▢
0
Short entry: roc20 < ▢
0
Short entry: macd.hist < ▢
0
Stop loss (× atr14)
3
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

TRXUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

158 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
1short2022-01-01 12:00 @ 0.082022-02-04 12:00 @ 0.0634d$406.11+16.24%signal
2short2022-02-15 00:00 @ 0.062022-02-15 12:00 @ 0.0712h−$81.66-3.14%signal
3short2022-02-17 12:00 @ 0.072022-03-17 00:00 @ 0.0624d 12h$145.53+5.64%signal
4long2022-03-28 12:00 @ 0.072022-04-06 12:00 @ 0.077d−$193.17-7.38%signal
5short2022-04-07 00:00 @ 0.062022-04-21 12:00 @ 0.0614d 12h−$52.88-2.06%signal
6long2022-04-22 00:00 @ 0.072022-04-25 00:00 @ 0.063d−$300.05-11.74%stop loss
7short2022-04-27 00:00 @ 0.062022-04-29 00:00 @ 0.072d−$319.43-12.88%stop loss
8short2022-05-01 00:00 @ 0.062022-05-01 12:00 @ 0.0712h−$127.60-5.31%signal
9long2022-05-02 12:00 @ 0.072022-05-11 12:00 @ 0.069d−$234.98-9.92%signal
10short2022-05-13 00:00 @ 0.072022-05-13 12:00 @ 0.0712h−$268.04-11.60%signal
11short2022-05-16 12:00 @ 0.072022-05-18 00:00 @ 0.071d 12h−$117.85-5.25%signal
12long2022-05-20 00:00 @ 0.072022-05-21 00:00 @ 0.071d−$74.97-3.39%signal
13long2022-05-21 12:00 @ 0.072022-06-11 00:00 @ 0.0820d 12h$196.83+8.97%signal
14short2022-06-13 12:00 @ 0.062022-06-27 12:00 @ 0.0714d−$298.98-13.32%signal
15short2022-07-03 12:00 @ 0.062022-07-04 12:00 @ 0.071d−$140.08-6.46%signal
16long2022-07-09 12:00 @ 0.072022-07-11 12:00 @ 0.072d−$136.03-6.37%signal
17short2022-07-12 00:00 @ 0.062022-07-15 12:00 @ 0.073d 12h−$89.65-4.27%signal
18short2022-07-16 00:00 @ 0.072022-07-17 00:00 @ 0.071d−$62.82-3.02%signal
19long2022-07-18 12:00 @ 0.072022-07-21 00:00 @ 0.072d 12h−$69.04-3.35%signal
20short2022-07-25 12:00 @ 0.072022-07-28 00:00 @ 0.072d 12h−$114.21-5.58%signal
21long2022-07-29 00:00 @ 0.072022-08-04 00:00 @ 0.076d−$56.10-2.78%signal
22long2022-08-06 00:00 @ 0.072022-08-09 12:00 @ 0.073d 12h−$22.99-1.15%reverse
23short2022-08-10 00:00 @ 0.072022-08-10 12:00 @ 0.0712h−$17.84-0.89%signal
24long2022-08-11 12:00 @ 0.072022-08-15 12:00 @ 0.074d−$66.15-3.32%signal
25short2022-08-16 00:00 @ 0.072022-08-17 00:00 @ 0.071d−$29.29-1.48%signal
26short2022-08-18 00:00 @ 0.072022-09-11 00:00 @ 0.0624d$71.75+3.64%signal
27short2022-09-14 12:00 @ 0.062022-10-02 12:00 @ 0.0618d−$16.98-0.85%signal
28short2022-10-13 12:00 @ 0.062022-10-14 12:00 @ 0.061d−$154.01-7.77%stop loss
29short2022-10-16 00:00 @ 0.062022-10-17 00:00 @ 0.061d−$6.22-0.32%signal
30short2022-10-17 12:00 @ 0.062022-10-18 00:00 @ 0.0612h−$7.71-0.40%signal
31short2022-10-20 00:00 @ 0.062022-10-20 12:00 @ 0.0612h−$22.93-1.18%signal
32short2022-10-21 00:00 @ 0.062022-10-26 00:00 @ 0.065d−$10.92-0.56%signal
33long2022-10-29 12:00 @ 0.062022-11-02 12:00 @ 0.064d−$52.89-2.74%signal
34short2022-11-03 00:00 @ 0.062022-11-04 12:00 @ 0.061d 12h−$30.27-1.58%signal
35long2022-11-05 12:00 @ 0.062022-11-07 12:00 @ 0.062d−$62.82-3.29%signal
36short2022-11-08 00:00 @ 0.062022-11-30 12:00 @ 0.0522d 12h$209.42+11.05%signal
37short2022-12-06 12:00 @ 0.052022-12-09 00:00 @ 0.052d 12h−$70.61-3.63%signal
38short2022-12-12 12:00 @ 0.052022-12-14 00:00 @ 0.051d 12h−$69.75-3.61%signal
39short2022-12-17 00:00 @ 0.052022-12-18 00:00 @ 0.051d−$75.02-3.92%signal
40short2022-12-19 00:00 @ 0.052022-12-20 12:00 @ 0.051d 12h−$20.62-1.09%signal
41short2022-12-24 12:00 @ 0.052022-12-25 00:00 @ 0.0512h−$10.40-0.55%signal
42short2022-12-25 12:00 @ 0.052022-12-26 00:00 @ 0.0512h−$14.25-0.76%signal
43short2022-12-28 00:00 @ 0.052022-12-31 00:00 @ 0.053d−$14.39-0.76%signal
44short2022-12-31 12:00 @ 0.052023-01-01 00:00 @ 0.0512h$6.54+0.35%signal
45short2023-01-06 00:00 @ 0.052023-01-09 00:00 @ 0.053d−$42.82-2.28%signal
46long2023-01-13 00:00 @ 0.062023-03-03 12:00 @ 0.0749d 12h$315.95+16.90%signal
47short2023-03-10 00:00 @ 0.062023-03-13 00:00 @ 0.063d−$224.68-11.53%stop loss
48long2023-03-15 00:00 @ 0.072023-03-16 00:00 @ 0.071d−$53.45-2.82%signal
49long2023-03-17 12:00 @ 0.072023-03-21 00:00 @ 0.063d 12h−$56.24-2.99%signal
50long2023-03-21 12:00 @ 0.072023-03-22 12:00 @ 0.061d−$183.00-9.81%stop loss
51short2023-03-23 00:00 @ 0.062023-03-31 12:00 @ 0.078d 12h−$193.72-10.65%signal
52long2023-04-02 00:00 @ 0.072023-04-12 12:00 @ 0.0610d 12h−$57.95-3.27%signal
53long2023-04-17 00:00 @ 0.072023-04-18 00:00 @ 0.071d−$25.93-1.48%signal
54long2023-04-18 12:00 @ 0.072023-04-19 12:00 @ 0.071d−$28.01-1.60%signal
55long2023-04-23 12:00 @ 0.072023-04-25 12:00 @ 0.072d−$19.97-1.15%signal
56long2023-04-26 12:00 @ 0.072023-04-27 00:00 @ 0.0612h−$34.48-1.98%signal
57long2023-04-29 12:00 @ 0.072023-05-12 00:00 @ 0.0712d 12h$16.04+0.93%signal
58long2023-05-17 00:00 @ 0.072023-06-10 00:00 @ 0.0724d$53.76+3.10%signal
59short2023-06-10 12:00 @ 0.072023-06-21 00:00 @ 0.0710d 12h−$85.11-4.87%reverse
60long2023-06-21 12:00 @ 0.072023-06-22 00:00 @ 0.0712h$36.31+2.10%signal
61long2023-06-22 12:00 @ 0.072023-06-23 00:00 @ 0.0712h$0.70+0.04%signal
62long2023-06-23 12:00 @ 0.072023-06-24 12:00 @ 0.071d$2.98+0.17%signal
63long2023-06-25 00:00 @ 0.072023-07-31 00:00 @ 0.0836d$185.86+10.71%signal
64long2023-08-13 00:00 @ 0.082023-08-13 12:00 @ 0.0812h−$2.89-0.16%signal
65long2023-08-14 12:00 @ 0.082023-08-15 00:00 @ 0.0812h−$3.36-0.19%signal
66long2023-08-15 12:00 @ 0.082023-08-16 00:00 @ 0.0812h−$21.59-1.21%signal
67short2023-08-17 00:00 @ 0.072023-08-23 12:00 @ 0.086d 12h−$75.06-4.23%stop loss
68long2023-08-24 00:00 @ 0.082023-08-25 00:00 @ 0.081d−$24.86-1.42%signal
69long2023-08-25 12:00 @ 0.082023-08-29 00:00 @ 0.083d 12h−$21.23-1.21%signal
70long2023-08-29 12:00 @ 0.082023-08-30 12:00 @ 0.081d−$2.84-0.16%signal
71short2023-08-31 00:00 @ 0.082023-09-01 00:00 @ 0.081d−$28.96-1.66%signal
72long2023-09-04 00:00 @ 0.082023-10-12 12:00 @ 0.0938d 12h$208.21+11.99%signal
73long2023-10-16 12:00 @ 0.092023-11-22 00:00 @ 0.1036d 12h$154.73+8.65%signal
74long2023-11-25 00:00 @ 0.102023-12-13 00:00 @ 0.1018d−$26.18-1.43%signal
75long2023-12-22 00:00 @ 0.102023-12-27 00:00 @ 0.105d−$39.25-2.16%signal
76long2023-12-28 12:00 @ 0.112024-01-05 12:00 @ 0.108d−$40.03-2.21%signal
77long2024-01-13 12:00 @ 0.112024-01-23 12:00 @ 0.1110d−$108.47-6.02%signal
78long2024-01-26 00:00 @ 0.112024-03-10 12:00 @ 0.1444d 12h$327.27+18.45%signal
79short2024-03-19 12:00 @ 0.122024-03-30 12:00 @ 0.1211d−$21.93-1.18%reverse
80long2024-03-31 00:00 @ 0.122024-03-31 12:00 @ 0.1212h−$5.92-0.32%signal
81long2024-04-01 00:00 @ 0.122024-04-01 12:00 @ 0.1212h−$28.73-1.55%signal
82short2024-04-03 00:00 @ 0.122024-04-08 00:00 @ 0.125d−$63.14-3.43%reverse
83long2024-04-08 12:00 @ 0.122024-04-10 00:00 @ 0.121d 12h−$32.91-1.80%signal
84long2024-04-12 12:00 @ 0.122024-04-12 12:00 @ 0.110m−$123.03-6.77%stop loss
85short2024-04-13 00:00 @ 0.112024-04-26 00:00 @ 0.1213d−$45.28-2.53%signal
86long2024-04-27 00:00 @ 0.122024-05-07 00:00 @ 0.1210d−$26.96-1.52%reverse
87long2024-05-09 12:00 @ 0.132024-05-19 12:00 @ 0.1210d−$67.22-3.80%signal
88short2024-05-23 00:00 @ 0.122024-06-09 12:00 @ 0.1217d 12h$52.30+2.98%signal
89short2024-06-20 00:00 @ 0.122024-06-20 12:00 @ 0.1212h−$17.94-1.02%signal
90short2024-06-21 00:00 @ 0.122024-06-21 12:00 @ 0.1212h−$27.05-1.54%signal
91long2024-06-22 00:00 @ 0.122024-07-31 00:00 @ 0.1339d$224.05+12.77%signal
92short2024-08-03 00:00 @ 0.122024-08-10 12:00 @ 0.137d 12h−$92.14-5.09%signal
93long2024-08-11 00:00 @ 0.132024-08-11 12:00 @ 0.1312h−$10.31-0.58%signal
94long2024-08-12 12:00 @ 0.132024-08-13 00:00 @ 0.1312h−$11.34-0.64%signal
95long2024-08-13 12:00 @ 0.132024-08-14 00:00 @ 0.1312h$24.14+1.35%signal
96long2024-08-14 12:00 @ 0.132024-09-06 00:00 @ 0.1522d 12h$260.20+14.55%signal
97long2024-09-23 12:00 @ 0.152024-09-25 12:00 @ 0.152d−$24.80-1.34%signal
98long2024-09-26 12:00 @ 0.152024-10-20 00:00 @ 0.1623d 12h$51.35+2.78%signal
99long2024-10-24 12:00 @ 0.162024-11-05 12:00 @ 0.1612d−$25.40-1.37%signal
100long2024-11-12 00:00 @ 0.172024-12-19 00:00 @ 0.2637d$927.02+50.03%signal
101long2024-12-29 00:00 @ 0.262024-12-30 00:00 @ 0.261d−$6.98-0.33%signal
102long2024-12-30 12:00 @ 0.262024-12-31 00:00 @ 0.2512h−$31.02-1.49%signal
103long2024-12-31 12:00 @ 0.262025-01-01 00:00 @ 0.2512h−$12.11-0.58%signal
104long2025-01-01 12:00 @ 0.252025-01-02 00:00 @ 0.2612h$14.11+0.68%signal
105long2025-01-02 12:00 @ 0.262025-01-08 00:00 @ 0.255d 12h−$85.27-4.11%signal
106short2025-01-13 12:00 @ 0.222025-01-16 12:00 @ 0.243d−$228.27-11.11%stop loss
107long2025-01-22 00:00 @ 0.242025-01-27 00:00 @ 0.255d$4.05+0.20%signal
108long2025-01-31 12:00 @ 0.252025-02-02 00:00 @ 0.241d 12h−$84.14-4.21%signal
109short2025-02-03 00:00 @ 0.232025-02-11 00:00 @ 0.258d−$187.76-9.50%signal
110long2025-02-12 12:00 @ 0.242025-02-13 12:00 @ 0.241d−$54.00-2.80%signal
111long2025-02-14 00:00 @ 0.232025-02-14 12:00 @ 0.2312h−$20.40-1.06%signal
112long2025-02-16 12:00 @ 0.242025-02-18 00:00 @ 0.241d 12h−$5.81-0.30%signal
113long2025-02-18 12:00 @ 0.242025-02-22 00:00 @ 0.243d 12h$14.07+0.74%signal
114long2025-02-24 00:00 @ 0.252025-02-25 00:00 @ 0.241d−$50.37-2.63%signal
115short2025-02-25 12:00 @ 0.232025-03-03 00:00 @ 0.245d 12h−$110.30-5.80%signal
116long2025-03-05 00:00 @ 0.242025-03-10 00:00 @ 0.235d−$84.86-4.53%signal
117short2025-03-11 00:00 @ 0.232025-03-19 00:00 @ 0.248d−$84.12-4.54%signal
118long2025-03-21 00:00 @ 0.232025-03-24 00:00 @ 0.233d−$32.39-1.77%signal
119long2025-03-27 12:00 @ 0.232025-03-28 12:00 @ 0.231d−$39.18-2.15%signal
120long2025-03-29 12:00 @ 0.232025-03-30 12:00 @ 0.231d−$22.56-1.24%signal
121short2025-03-31 00:00 @ 0.232025-03-31 12:00 @ 0.2312h−$15.30-0.85%signal
122long2025-04-01 00:00 @ 0.242025-04-03 12:00 @ 0.232d 12h−$54.01-2.99%signal
123long2025-04-04 00:00 @ 0.242025-04-07 00:00 @ 0.233d−$64.11-3.58%signal
124short2025-04-07 12:00 @ 0.222025-04-08 12:00 @ 0.231d−$77.38-4.36%signal
125short2025-04-09 00:00 @ 0.232025-04-10 00:00 @ 0.241d−$63.63-3.62%signal
126long2025-04-10 12:00 @ 0.242025-04-19 00:00 @ 0.248d 12h−$16.22-0.93%signal
127long2025-04-27 00:00 @ 0.252025-05-06 12:00 @ 0.249d 12h−$57.72-3.33%signal
128long2025-05-08 12:00 @ 0.252025-05-31 00:00 @ 0.2722d 12h$99.73+5.80%signal
129long2025-06-05 00:00 @ 0.272025-06-12 12:00 @ 0.277d 12h−$18.65-1.07%signal
130long2025-06-25 00:00 @ 0.272025-06-25 12:00 @ 0.2712h−$8.21-0.47%signal
131long2025-06-26 12:00 @ 0.272025-06-27 00:00 @ 0.2712h−$6.74-0.39%signal
132long2025-06-28 00:00 @ 0.272025-08-26 00:00 @ 0.3459d$408.61+23.52%signal
133short2025-09-07 00:00 @ 0.312025-09-09 00:00 @ 0.342d−$157.08-8.54%stop loss
134long2025-09-11 12:00 @ 0.352025-09-17 12:00 @ 0.346d−$35.29-1.96%signal
135long2025-09-19 00:00 @ 0.352025-09-22 00:00 @ 0.343d−$44.90-2.51%signal
136long2025-10-02 12:00 @ 0.342025-10-08 00:00 @ 0.345d 12h−$22.03-1.24%signal
137short2025-10-11 00:00 @ 0.322025-12-05 00:00 @ 0.2955d$168.11+9.47%signal
138short2025-12-09 12:00 @ 0.282025-12-15 12:00 @ 0.286d−$14.00-0.77%signal
139short2025-12-16 00:00 @ 0.282025-12-21 00:00 @ 0.285d−$26.43-1.46%signal
140short2025-12-25 12:00 @ 0.282025-12-28 00:00 @ 0.282d 12h−$42.88-2.37%signal
141long2026-01-04 00:00 @ 0.302026-01-21 00:00 @ 0.3017d$1.73+0.10%signal
142short2026-01-21 12:00 @ 0.302026-01-22 00:00 @ 0.3012h−$25.97-1.45%signal
143short2026-01-24 12:00 @ 0.292026-02-17 00:00 @ 0.2823d 12h$38.08+2.13%signal
144short2026-02-24 12:00 @ 0.282026-02-25 12:00 @ 0.291d−$35.19-1.96%signal
145short2026-02-28 12:00 @ 0.282026-03-04 12:00 @ 0.284d−$37.84-2.11%signal
146long2026-03-12 00:00 @ 0.292026-05-28 12:00 @ 0.3577d 12h$355.41+19.95%signal
147short2026-06-04 12:00 @ 0.332026-06-22 00:00 @ 0.3317d 12h−$35.44-1.90%reverse
148long2026-06-22 12:00 @ 0.332026-06-25 00:00 @ 0.332d 12h−$22.01-1.18%signal
149long2026-06-25 12:00 @ 0.332026-06-26 00:00 @ 0.3212h−$28.55-1.54%signal
150short2026-06-28 00:00 @ 0.322026-07-04 12:00 @ 0.336d 12h−$35.20-1.90%signal
151long2026-07-06 00:00 @ 0.332026-07-14 00:00 @ 0.328d−$30.76-1.67%signal
152short2026-07-14 12:00 @ 0.332026-07-15 12:00 @ 0.331d−$16.83-0.92%signal
153short2026-07-16 00:00 @ 0.322026-07-19 12:00 @ 0.333d 12h−$25.08-1.37%signal
154long2026-07-24 00:00 @ 0.332026-07-28 00:00 @ 0.324d−$24.94-1.37%signal
155short2026-07-29 00:00 @ 0.322026-07-30 12:00 @ 0.331d 12h−$25.51-1.41%signal
156short2026-07-31 12:00 @ 0.332026-08-01 12:00 @ 0.331d−$8.72-0.48%signal
157short2026-08-02 12:00 @ 0.332026-08-03 12:00 @ 0.331d−$10.53-0.58%signal
158long2026-08-08 12:00 @ 0.332026-08-31 00:00 @ 0.3422d 12h$33.40+1.85%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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