[Famous-Q] Time-series momentum (90-bar)

public
@djgambhir

DOTUSDT · 12h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 3,409 bars in 2.2ms

Net P&L
-31.17%
−$3,117.45
Max drawdown
-39.39%
Max run-up
+32.83%
Trades
136
23.5% win rate
Profit factor
0.74
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -39.39%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-16.93%-27.35%7528%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-5.83%-22.63%2722%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-12.02%-19.16%3415%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.31
Sortino
-0.44
Calmar
-0.20
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.79
CAGR
-7.70%
Exposure
96.0%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$22.92 · -0.93%
Average win / loss
$279.05 / −$115.84
Payoff ratio
2.41
Largest win / loss
$1,039.01 / −$615.40
Longest losing streak(winning: 4)
17 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-39.39%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1650 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$288.51
Funding
−$554.17
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
92
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-96.79%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 136 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-57.53%-31.01%+15.84%
Max drawdown-60.71%-42.07%-22.60%

88% of histories lost money, and 58% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -39.39%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

roc90 length
90
Long entry: roc90 > ▢
0
Short entry: roc90 < ▢
0
Long exit: roc90 < ▢
0
Short exit: roc90 > ▢
0
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

DOTUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

136 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
136short2026-08-31 00:00 @ 0.822026-09-01 00:00 @ 0.871d−$108.72-6.22%end of data
135short2026-08-29 12:00 @ 0.842026-08-30 12:00 @ 0.851d−$28.80-1.64%signal
134long2026-08-26 12:00 @ 0.852026-08-29 00:00 @ 0.852d 12h−$8.09-0.46%signal
133long2026-08-22 00:00 @ 0.942026-08-26 00:00 @ 0.854d−$174.92-9.71%signal
132short2026-06-01 00:00 @ 1.192026-08-21 12:00 @ 0.8881d 12h$435.39+25.73%signal
131long2026-05-29 12:00 @ 1.202026-05-31 12:00 @ 1.192d−$14.84-0.88%signal
130long2026-05-28 00:00 @ 1.232026-05-29 00:00 @ 1.211d−$25.39-1.49%signal
129short2026-05-25 12:00 @ 1.262026-05-27 12:00 @ 1.262d−$2.49-0.15%signal
128long2026-05-24 12:00 @ 1.282026-05-25 00:00 @ 1.2412h−$47.96-2.80%signal
127short2026-05-23 12:00 @ 1.212026-05-24 00:00 @ 1.3012h−$119.00-6.82%signal
126long2026-05-22 00:00 @ 1.292026-05-23 00:00 @ 1.261d−$49.21-2.80%signal
125long2026-05-21 00:00 @ 1.252026-05-21 12:00 @ 1.2512h−$2.69-0.15%signal
124short2026-05-20 00:00 @ 1.222026-05-20 12:00 @ 1.2312h−$10.92-0.62%signal
123long2026-05-19 00:00 @ 1.252026-05-19 12:00 @ 1.2312h−$38.13-2.15%signal
122long2026-05-17 00:00 @ 1.272026-05-18 12:00 @ 1.241d 12h−$46.09-2.59%signal
121long2026-05-11 00:00 @ 1.382026-05-16 12:00 @ 1.265d 12h−$163.62-8.98%signal
120short2026-04-12 00:00 @ 1.282026-05-10 12:00 @ 1.3628d 12h−$131.39-7.08%signal
119long2026-04-10 12:00 @ 1.292026-04-11 12:00 @ 1.281d−$13.78-0.74%signal
118short2026-04-07 00:00 @ 1.242026-04-10 00:00 @ 1.303d−$94.03-5.00%signal
117short2026-03-31 00:00 @ 1.242026-04-06 12:00 @ 1.306d 12h−$103.34-5.42%signal
116short2026-03-30 00:00 @ 1.262026-03-30 12:00 @ 1.2812h−$34.44-1.80%signal
115long2026-03-22 12:00 @ 1.432026-03-29 12:00 @ 1.277d−$221.07-11.21%signal
114short2026-03-21 12:00 @ 1.492026-03-22 00:00 @ 1.4712h$30.07+1.53%signal
113long2026-03-20 12:00 @ 1.532026-03-21 00:00 @ 1.5012h−$41.65-2.11%signal
112long2026-03-18 12:00 @ 1.602026-03-20 00:00 @ 1.521d 12h−$104.20-5.21%signal
111short2026-01-17 12:00 @ 2.182026-03-18 00:00 @ 1.6259d 12h$459.26+24.36%signal
110long2026-01-15 12:00 @ 2.202026-01-17 00:00 @ 2.121d 12h−$70.93-3.73%signal
109short2026-01-14 12:00 @ 2.252026-01-15 00:00 @ 2.2212h$21.99+1.16%signal
108short2025-10-11 12:00 @ 3.222026-01-14 00:00 @ 2.2894d 12h$484.15+27.25%signal
107long2025-10-08 12:00 @ 4.152025-10-11 00:00 @ 2.942d 12h−$564.21-29.42%signal
106long2025-10-02 12:00 @ 4.252025-10-08 00:00 @ 4.145d 12h−$57.72-2.99%signal
105short2025-10-01 12:00 @ 4.082025-10-02 00:00 @ 4.1212h−$22.97-1.19%signal
104long2025-09-30 12:00 @ 3.902025-10-01 00:00 @ 3.9112h−$0.16-0.01%signal
103short2025-09-29 12:00 @ 3.932025-09-30 00:00 @ 3.9812h−$25.30-1.30%signal
102short2025-09-25 00:00 @ 3.992025-09-29 00:00 @ 4.004d−$3.94-0.20%signal
101short2025-09-24 00:00 @ 3.962025-09-24 12:00 @ 4.0712h−$52.29-2.67%signal
100long2025-09-12 12:00 @ 4.172025-09-23 12:00 @ 4.0211d−$80.57-4.07%signal
99short2025-09-11 00:00 @ 4.222025-09-12 00:00 @ 4.241d−$14.42-0.73%signal
98long2025-09-10 00:00 @ 4.142025-09-10 12:00 @ 4.0812h−$30.08-1.51%signal
97short2025-08-29 12:00 @ 3.822025-09-09 12:00 @ 4.1511d−$169.40-8.34%signal
96short2025-08-26 00:00 @ 3.732025-08-29 00:00 @ 3.983d−$139.56-6.75%signal
95long2025-08-04 00:00 @ 3.602025-08-25 12:00 @ 3.9021d 12h$155.85+7.68%signal
94short2025-07-31 00:00 @ 3.802025-08-03 12:00 @ 3.603d 12h$104.33+5.21%signal
93long2025-07-28 00:00 @ 4.242025-07-30 12:00 @ 3.762d 12h−$238.20-11.55%signal
92short2025-07-25 00:00 @ 4.002025-07-27 12:00 @ 4.152d 12h−$79.38-3.81%signal
91long2025-07-16 12:00 @ 4.122025-07-24 12:00 @ 4.028d−$58.59-2.80%signal
90short2025-06-13 00:00 @ 3.922025-07-16 00:00 @ 4.0833d−$85.20-4.02%signal
89long2025-06-11 12:00 @ 4.232025-06-12 12:00 @ 4.011d−$113.11-5.27%signal
88short2025-06-09 00:00 @ 4.022025-06-11 00:00 @ 4.292d−$148.12-6.79%signal
87short2025-06-07 12:00 @ 4.022025-06-08 12:00 @ 4.041d−$11.22-0.51%signal
86long2025-05-10 00:00 @ 4.802025-06-07 00:00 @ 3.8828d−$449.52-19.56%signal
85short2025-04-30 00:00 @ 4.142025-05-09 12:00 @ 4.699d 12h−$312.76-13.16%signal
84long2025-04-25 12:00 @ 4.302025-04-29 12:00 @ 4.254d−$33.17-1.39%signal
83short2025-04-24 12:00 @ 4.002025-04-25 00:00 @ 4.2712h−$167.08-6.89%signal
82short2025-03-26 12:00 @ 4.752025-04-24 00:00 @ 4.0928d 12h$321.85+13.72%signal
81long2025-03-25 12:00 @ 4.672025-03-26 00:00 @ 4.6312h−$21.13-0.90%signal
80short2025-03-24 12:00 @ 4.692025-03-25 00:00 @ 4.6212h$34.41+1.47%signal
79short2025-01-08 00:00 @ 7.012025-03-24 00:00 @ 4.5075d$778.61+36.25%signal
78long2024-11-11 00:00 @ 5.242025-01-07 12:00 @ 7.7257d 12h$841.83+43.46%signal
77short2024-10-25 12:00 @ 4.162024-11-10 12:00 @ 5.1616d−$493.25-23.94%signal
76long2024-10-19 12:00 @ 4.332024-10-25 00:00 @ 4.215d 12h−$65.19-3.14%signal
75short2024-10-18 00:00 @ 4.192024-10-19 00:00 @ 4.311d−$62.30-2.98%signal
74long2024-10-15 00:00 @ 4.382024-10-17 12:00 @ 4.182d 12h−$97.40-4.60%signal
73short2024-10-02 12:00 @ 4.152024-10-14 12:00 @ 4.2812d−$65.36-3.06%signal
72long2024-09-26 12:00 @ 4.762024-10-02 00:00 @ 4.155d 12h−$290.16-13.16%signal
71short2024-09-21 00:00 @ 4.342024-09-26 00:00 @ 4.645d−$154.33-6.88%signal
70long2024-09-20 00:00 @ 4.252024-09-20 12:00 @ 4.3212h$34.76+1.55%signal
69short2024-06-15 00:00 @ 6.162024-09-19 12:00 @ 4.2196d 12h$659.31+31.84%signal
68short2024-06-13 12:00 @ 6.472024-06-14 12:00 @ 6.401d$18.68+0.90%signal
67short2024-06-07 00:00 @ 7.152024-06-13 00:00 @ 6.746d$117.91+5.79%signal
66long2024-06-05 12:00 @ 7.212024-06-06 12:00 @ 7.221d−$0.52-0.03%signal
65long2024-05-31 00:00 @ 7.002024-06-05 00:00 @ 7.185d$47.25+2.33%signal
64long2024-05-28 12:00 @ 7.402024-05-30 12:00 @ 7.052d−$101.76-4.96%signal
63short2024-04-13 12:00 @ 7.212024-05-28 00:00 @ 7.6544d 12h−$118.71-5.71%signal
62long2024-02-27 12:00 @ 8.112024-04-13 00:00 @ 7.2345d 12h−$346.04-15.97%signal
61short2024-02-25 12:00 @ 7.762024-02-27 00:00 @ 8.121d 12h−$100.92-4.60%signal
60long2024-02-19 12:00 @ 7.832024-02-25 00:00 @ 7.825d 12h−$13.01-0.59%signal
59long2024-02-18 12:00 @ 7.782024-02-19 00:00 @ 7.8612h$20.65+0.94%signal
58short2024-02-04 00:00 @ 6.822024-02-18 00:00 @ 7.7114d−$285.79-12.64%signal
57long2024-02-03 00:00 @ 6.952024-02-03 12:00 @ 6.8912h−$20.25-0.89%signal
56short2024-02-02 00:00 @ 6.792024-02-02 12:00 @ 6.9112h−$41.32-1.82%signal
55short2024-01-30 12:00 @ 7.042024-02-01 12:00 @ 6.642d$126.32+5.63%signal
54short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 6.092024-01-30 00:00 @ 7.036d 12h−$357.91-15.33%signal
53long2023-10-25 12:00 @ 4.202024-01-23 00:00 @ 6.3489d 12h$942.59+44.91%signal
52long2023-10-24 12:00 @ 4.292023-10-25 00:00 @ 4.1812h−$56.63-2.68%signal
51short2023-08-15 00:00 @ 4.992023-10-24 00:00 @ 4.3670d$211.43+10.26%signal
50long2023-08-13 00:00 @ 5.042023-08-14 12:00 @ 4.991d 12h−$21.87-1.06%signal
49short2023-08-09 12:00 @ 5.062023-08-12 12:00 @ 5.033d$11.86+0.58%signal
48short2023-08-08 12:00 @ 5.012023-08-09 00:00 @ 5.0612h−$21.18-1.02%signal
47long2023-07-21 00:00 @ 5.352023-08-08 00:00 @ 4.9718d−$150.11-7.13%signal
46short2023-07-19 00:00 @ 5.182023-07-20 12:00 @ 5.451d 12h−$112.95-5.29%signal
45long2023-07-18 00:00 @ 5.302023-07-18 12:00 @ 5.1812h−$48.53-2.26%signal
44long2023-07-14 12:00 @ 5.632023-07-17 12:00 @ 5.263d−$143.71-6.59%signal
43short2023-07-05 12:00 @ 5.202023-07-14 00:00 @ 5.558d 12h−$151.63-6.83%signal
42long2023-07-03 12:00 @ 5.452023-07-05 00:00 @ 5.341d 12h−$46.50-2.08%signal
41short2023-07-02 00:00 @ 5.352023-07-03 00:00 @ 5.501d−$63.88-2.84%signal
40short2023-04-30 12:00 @ 6.012023-07-01 12:00 @ 5.3062d$260.92+11.96%signal
39short2023-04-28 12:00 @ 5.842023-04-30 00:00 @ 6.041d 12h−$76.89-3.49%signal
38long2023-04-27 12:00 @ 5.902023-04-28 00:00 @ 5.9712h$23.21+1.06%signal
37long2023-04-14 12:00 @ 6.772023-04-27 00:00 @ 5.8412d 12h−$318.36-13.99%signal
36short2023-04-02 00:00 @ 6.342023-04-14 00:00 @ 6.6412d−$103.58-4.50%signal
35long2023-03-31 12:00 @ 6.192023-04-01 12:00 @ 6.261d$24.27+1.06%signal
34long2023-03-30 12:00 @ 6.162023-03-31 00:00 @ 6.1212h−$18.34-0.80%signal
33short2023-03-19 12:00 @ 6.442023-03-30 00:00 @ 6.1810d 12h$92.70+4.07%signal
32long2023-03-18 00:00 @ 6.622023-03-19 00:00 @ 6.311d−$110.70-4.80%signal
31short2023-03-07 12:00 @ 5.812023-03-17 12:00 @ 6.5310d−$297.54-12.51%signal
30long2023-01-14 12:00 @ 6.052023-03-07 00:00 @ 5.9151d 12h−$70.62-2.95%signal
29short2023-01-13 12:00 @ 5.212023-01-14 00:00 @ 5.4012h−$88.74-3.67%signal
28short2022-11-10 00:00 @ 5.412023-01-13 00:00 @ 5.2364d$53.30+2.22%signal
27long2022-11-04 00:00 @ 6.422022-11-09 12:00 @ 6.255d 12h−$61.48-2.54%signal
26short2022-09-13 12:00 @ 7.882022-11-03 12:00 @ 6.3851d$413.64+17.85%signal
25long2022-09-12 12:00 @ 7.922022-09-13 00:00 @ 7.6512h−$79.60-3.41%signal
24long2022-09-09 00:00 @ 7.382022-09-12 00:00 @ 7.693d$93.94+4.06%signal
23short2022-09-07 12:00 @ 6.962022-09-08 12:00 @ 7.231d−$92.72-3.97%signal
22long2022-09-06 12:00 @ 7.622022-09-07 00:00 @ 6.8712h−$236.92-9.89%signal
21short2022-09-02 00:00 @ 7.182022-09-06 00:00 @ 7.374d−$66.59-2.76%signal
20long2022-08-31 12:00 @ 7.202022-09-01 12:00 @ 7.061d−$47.68-1.97%signal
19long2022-07-31 12:00 @ 8.312022-08-31 00:00 @ 7.0030d 12h−$356.74-14.19%signal
18long2022-07-28 12:00 @ 7.682022-07-31 00:00 @ 8.212d 12h$167.87+6.79%signal
17short2022-06-27 00:00 @ 7.832022-07-28 00:00 @ 7.6731d$6.24+0.25%signal
16short2022-04-27 00:00 @ 16.662022-06-26 12:00 @ 8.3860d 12h$1,039.01+47.01%signal
15long2022-04-26 00:00 @ 18.092022-04-26 12:00 @ 17.8412h−$33.14-1.49%signal
14long2022-04-19 12:00 @ 18.232022-04-25 12:00 @ 17.446d−$98.78-4.40%signal
13short2022-04-18 00:00 @ 17.712022-04-19 00:00 @ 18.151d−$58.39-2.59%signal
12short2022-04-15 12:00 @ 18.212022-04-17 12:00 @ 18.592d−$50.96-2.24%signal
11long2022-04-14 12:00 @ 18.022022-04-15 00:00 @ 17.8912h−$18.31-0.80%signal
10short2022-04-12 12:00 @ 17.792022-04-14 00:00 @ 18.191d 12h−$55.61-2.43%signal
9long2022-03-28 12:00 @ 22.992022-04-12 00:00 @ 17.1914d 12h−$615.40-25.19%signal
8short2022-03-21 12:00 @ 18.862022-03-28 00:00 @ 22.446d 12h−$494.91-19.28%signal
7long2022-03-20 12:00 @ 18.692022-03-21 00:00 @ 18.6412h−$9.80-0.38%signal
6short2022-03-18 12:00 @ 18.382022-03-20 00:00 @ 19.391d 12h−$147.12-5.65%signal
5long2022-03-17 12:00 @ 18.792022-03-18 00:00 @ 18.7312h−$11.24-0.43%signal
4short2022-03-13 12:00 @ 17.862022-03-17 00:00 @ 19.043d 12h−$180.43-6.80%signal
3short2022-03-12 00:00 @ 17.682022-03-13 00:00 @ 18.141d−$73.44-2.75%signal
2short2022-03-11 00:00 @ 16.952022-03-11 12:00 @ 18.2212h−$207.95-7.63%signal
1short2022-01-01 12:00 @ 27.012022-03-10 12:00 @ 16.9268d$895.92+35.84%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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