[Famous-Q] Time-series momentum (90-bar)

public
@djgambhir

LINKUSDT · 12h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 3,409 bars in 3.0ms

Underperformed the market. Holding LINKUSDT returned -41.54% over the same period, against this strategy’s -47.46%.

Net P&L
-47.46%
−$4,745.55
Max drawdown
-58.88%
Max run-up
+38.74%
Trades
156
21.2% win rate
Profit factor
0.56
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -58.88%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-55.96%-58.88%11019%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25+3.81%-26.37%2030%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+14.95%-12.64%2623%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.53
Sortino
-0.78
Calmar
-0.22
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.81
CAGR
-12.88%
Exposure
95.4%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$30.42 · -1.43%
Average win / loss
$185.98 / −$88.48
Payoff ratio
2.10
Largest win / loss
$1,024.18 / −$943.78
Longest losing streak(winning: 2)
15 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-58.88%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1704 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$226.38
Funding
−$166.89
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
92
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-41.54%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 156 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-72.55%-47.91%+1.82%
Max drawdown-74.30%-56.23%-32.67%

94% of histories lost money, and 43% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -58.88%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

roc90 length
90
Long entry: roc90 > ▢
0
Short entry: roc90 < ▢
0
Long exit: roc90 < ▢
0
Short exit: roc90 > ▢
0
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

LINKUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

156 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
156long2026-08-03 00:00 @ 8.382026-09-01 00:00 @ 11.4629d$432.76+35.90%end of data
155short2026-08-01 00:00 @ 8.172026-08-02 12:00 @ 8.281d 12h−$17.30-1.43%signal
154long2026-07-19 12:00 @ 8.352026-07-31 12:00 @ 8.2612d−$17.03-1.40%signal
153short2026-05-30 12:00 @ 9.132026-07-19 00:00 @ 8.3449d 12h$107.62+9.07%signal
152short2026-05-29 12:00 @ 8.942026-05-30 00:00 @ 9.0212h−$11.80-0.99%signal
151long2026-05-24 00:00 @ 9.562026-05-29 00:00 @ 9.005d−$73.30-6.07%signal
150long2026-05-04 00:00 @ 9.122026-05-23 12:00 @ 9.1819d 12h$1.88+0.16%signal
149short2026-04-30 12:00 @ 9.122026-05-03 12:00 @ 9.173d−$8.22-0.68%signal
148long2026-04-21 00:00 @ 9.282026-04-30 00:00 @ 9.119d−$26.28-2.16%signal
147short2026-04-19 12:00 @ 9.212026-04-20 12:00 @ 9.211d−$1.02-0.08%signal
146long2026-04-14 12:00 @ 9.172026-04-19 00:00 @ 9.284d 12h$11.45+0.94%signal
145short2026-04-12 12:00 @ 8.782026-04-14 00:00 @ 9.361d 12h−$83.21-6.74%signal
144long2026-04-08 12:00 @ 9.182026-04-12 00:00 @ 9.063d 12h−$17.42-1.41%signal
143short2026-04-07 12:00 @ 8.672026-04-08 00:00 @ 9.2912h−$90.22-7.15%signal
142long2026-04-06 12:00 @ 9.052026-04-07 00:00 @ 8.7912h−$37.00-2.91%signal
141short2026-04-05 12:00 @ 8.542026-04-06 00:00 @ 8.8212h−$43.67-3.41%signal
140short2026-04-02 12:00 @ 8.482026-04-05 00:00 @ 8.692d 12h−$33.69-2.61%signal
139short2026-03-31 00:00 @ 8.622026-04-02 00:00 @ 8.942d−$49.26-3.78%signal
138short2026-03-30 00:00 @ 8.412026-03-30 12:00 @ 8.8712h−$73.19-5.54%signal
137long2026-03-28 12:00 @ 8.542026-03-29 12:00 @ 8.501d−$6.84-0.52%signal
136long2026-03-23 12:00 @ 8.972026-03-28 00:00 @ 8.564d 12h−$63.09-4.71%signal
135short2026-01-18 00:00 @ 13.732026-03-23 00:00 @ 8.6964d$452.93+36.97%signal
134long2026-01-14 00:00 @ 14.062026-01-17 12:00 @ 13.703d 12h−$34.07-2.76%signal
133short2026-01-11 12:00 @ 13.202026-01-13 12:00 @ 13.262d−$6.79-0.55%signal
132long2026-01-05 12:00 @ 13.582026-01-11 00:00 @ 13.135d 12h−$44.24-3.55%signal
131short2025-09-25 12:00 @ 20.742026-01-05 00:00 @ 13.42101d 12h$414.25+36.25%signal
130long2025-09-24 12:00 @ 21.772025-09-25 00:00 @ 21.5912h−$10.76-0.94%signal
129long2025-07-14 12:00 @ 16.242025-09-24 00:00 @ 21.5071d 12h$323.27+30.36%signal
128short2025-06-13 00:00 @ 13.962025-07-14 00:00 @ 15.6531d−$130.13-11.86%signal
127long2025-06-11 00:00 @ 15.452025-06-12 12:00 @ 14.111d 12h−$98.58-8.79%signal
126short2025-06-06 12:00 @ 13.202025-06-10 12:00 @ 15.164d−$173.67-14.90%signal
125long2025-05-09 12:00 @ 16.222025-06-06 00:00 @ 12.8727d 12h−$259.02-21.06%signal
124short2025-05-04 00:00 @ 14.242025-05-09 00:00 @ 15.895d−$147.52-11.64%signal
123long2025-04-24 00:00 @ 15.012025-05-03 12:00 @ 14.299d 12h−$65.43-5.10%signal
122short2025-01-27 00:00 @ 24.862025-04-23 12:00 @ 15.0186d 12h$467.02+40.04%signal
121long2025-01-24 12:00 @ 26.172025-01-26 12:00 @ 25.292d−$40.86-3.47%signal
120short2025-01-23 00:00 @ 25.282025-01-24 00:00 @ 25.651d−$18.10-1.53%signal
119long2025-01-21 12:00 @ 25.672025-01-22 12:00 @ 25.851d$6.71+0.57%signal
118long2025-01-20 12:00 @ 25.742025-01-21 00:00 @ 25.0712h−$32.44-2.73%signal
117short2025-01-19 12:00 @ 22.402025-01-20 00:00 @ 24.3412h−$106.73-8.79%signal
116short2025-01-18 12:00 @ 24.422025-01-19 00:00 @ 24.1012h$14.40+1.19%signal
115short2025-01-17 12:00 @ 24.132025-01-18 00:00 @ 25.0912h−$50.15-4.10%signal
114long2025-01-14 00:00 @ 19.352025-01-17 00:00 @ 23.013d$218.92+18.73%signal
113long2024-11-07 00:00 @ 12.182025-01-13 12:00 @ 18.0967d 12h$454.61+43.09%signal
112short2024-11-04 00:00 @ 10.752024-11-06 12:00 @ 11.842d 12h−$110.10-10.17%signal
111long2024-10-29 12:00 @ 11.492024-11-03 12:00 @ 10.915d−$57.86-5.27%signal
110long2024-10-15 12:00 @ 11.372024-10-29 00:00 @ 11.1813d 12h−$24.64-2.23%signal
109short2024-10-07 00:00 @ 11.272024-10-15 00:00 @ 11.288d−$0.07-0.01%signal
108long2024-09-19 12:00 @ 11.262024-10-06 12:00 @ 11.2517d−$6.16-0.56%signal
107short2024-06-30 12:00 @ 13.542024-09-19 00:00 @ 10.8980d 12h$212.26+20.19%signal
106long2024-06-25 12:00 @ 13.912024-06-30 00:00 @ 13.534d 12h−$31.28-2.95%signal
105short2024-06-22 00:00 @ 13.842024-06-25 00:00 @ 13.613d$16.65+1.58%signal
104short2024-06-19 00:00 @ 13.972024-06-21 12:00 @ 14.512d 12h−$42.19-3.96%signal
103long2024-05-28 12:00 @ 18.242024-06-18 12:00 @ 13.6321d−$295.84-25.96%signal
102short2024-05-27 12:00 @ 17.342024-05-28 00:00 @ 18.8012h−$99.65-8.56%signal
101long2024-05-26 12:00 @ 17.362024-05-27 00:00 @ 17.0412h−$22.37-1.91%signal
100short2024-04-10 00:00 @ 17.372024-05-26 00:00 @ 17.4546d$2.52+0.22%signal
99long2024-04-09 00:00 @ 18.122024-04-09 12:00 @ 17.8412h−$19.55-1.66%signal
98short2024-03-28 00:00 @ 19.312024-04-08 12:00 @ 18.6211d 12h$49.36+4.25%signal
97long2024-03-25 12:00 @ 18.912024-03-27 12:00 @ 19.742d$46.58+4.05%signal
96short2024-03-24 12:00 @ 18.382024-03-25 00:00 @ 18.5412h−$11.34-0.98%signal
95long2024-03-23 12:00 @ 18.432024-03-24 00:00 @ 18.0712h−$23.98-2.07%signal
94short2024-03-21 12:00 @ 18.252024-03-23 00:00 @ 18.381d 12h−$9.03-0.78%signal
93short2024-03-20 00:00 @ 16.812024-03-21 00:00 @ 18.431d−$115.13-9.67%signal
92long2024-01-30 12:00 @ 15.232024-03-19 12:00 @ 17.3349d$93.16+7.98%signal
91short2024-01-28 00:00 @ 14.332024-01-30 00:00 @ 15.002d−$55.68-4.71%signal
90short2024-01-22 12:00 @ 15.162024-01-27 12:00 @ 14.245d$71.25+6.13%signal
89long2024-01-20 00:00 @ 16.132024-01-22 00:00 @ 15.392d−$55.22-4.69%signal
88short2024-01-18 12:00 @ 15.442024-01-19 12:00 @ 15.521d−$7.11-0.60%signal
87short2024-01-17 00:00 @ 15.272024-01-18 00:00 @ 15.761d−$39.63-3.33%signal
86long2024-01-15 00:00 @ 14.772024-01-16 12:00 @ 15.071d 12h$22.07+1.87%signal
85short2024-01-13 12:00 @ 14.222024-01-14 12:00 @ 15.101d−$74.80-6.22%signal
84long2024-01-11 12:00 @ 15.342024-01-13 00:00 @ 14.151d 12h−$96.13-7.84%signal
83short2024-01-07 00:00 @ 13.432024-01-11 00:00 @ 15.084d−$155.24-12.27%signal
82long2024-01-05 12:00 @ 14.202024-01-06 12:00 @ 13.571d−$58.17-4.55%signal
81short2024-01-04 12:00 @ 14.342024-01-05 00:00 @ 14.5312h−$18.52-1.44%signal
80long2023-12-28 12:00 @ 17.342024-01-04 00:00 @ 14.146d 12h−$254.82-18.91%signal
79short2023-12-27 12:00 @ 15.472023-12-28 00:00 @ 16.7312h−$112.93-8.21%signal
78long2023-09-28 00:00 @ 7.642023-12-27 00:00 @ 15.1090d$1,024.18+91.46%signal
77short2023-08-25 12:00 @ 5.982023-09-27 12:00 @ 7.6333d−$329.52-27.41%signal
76long2023-08-23 12:00 @ 6.242023-08-25 00:00 @ 6.081d 12h−$33.37-2.76%signal
75long2023-08-21 12:00 @ 6.212023-08-23 00:00 @ 6.111d 12h−$21.27-1.75%signal
74short2023-08-18 12:00 @ 6.252023-08-21 00:00 @ 6.222d 12h$5.70+0.47%signal
73long2023-07-14 12:00 @ 7.072023-08-18 00:00 @ 6.1834d 12h−$170.74-13.58%signal
72short2023-07-06 00:00 @ 6.302023-07-14 00:00 @ 7.138d−$171.38-13.18%signal
71long2023-07-03 12:00 @ 6.652023-07-05 12:00 @ 6.292d−$73.34-5.56%signal
70short2023-05-04 12:00 @ 7.062023-07-03 00:00 @ 6.5459d 12h$108.75+8.42%signal
69short2023-05-03 12:00 @ 6.902023-05-04 00:00 @ 7.1312h−$43.65-3.35%signal
68short2023-05-02 00:00 @ 6.892023-05-03 00:00 @ 6.981d−$18.94-1.45%signal
67long2023-04-14 00:00 @ 7.462023-05-01 12:00 @ 6.9617d 12h−$97.27-7.31%signal
66short2023-04-12 00:00 @ 7.302023-04-13 12:00 @ 7.361d 12h−$13.33-1.00%signal
65short2023-04-04 12:00 @ 7.392023-04-11 12:00 @ 7.387d$2.73+0.20%signal
64long2023-03-30 00:00 @ 7.382023-04-04 00:00 @ 7.245d−$29.36-2.19%signal
63short2023-03-28 12:00 @ 6.852023-03-29 12:00 @ 7.291d−$88.91-6.52%signal
62long2023-03-27 12:00 @ 7.172023-03-28 00:00 @ 6.8612h−$60.95-4.42%signal
61short2023-03-25 12:00 @ 7.112023-03-27 00:00 @ 7.261d 12h−$30.12-2.17%signal
60long2023-03-22 12:00 @ 7.482023-03-25 00:00 @ 7.192d 12h−$57.33-4.09%signal
59short2023-03-21 00:00 @ 7.042023-03-22 00:00 @ 7.371d−$67.42-4.76%signal
58short2023-03-19 12:00 @ 7.102023-03-20 12:00 @ 7.291d−$38.35-2.69%signal
57long2023-03-18 00:00 @ 7.212023-03-19 00:00 @ 6.921d−$59.22-4.11%signal
56short2023-03-08 12:00 @ 6.792023-03-17 12:00 @ 7.139d−$70.36-4.82%signal
55short2023-03-07 12:00 @ 6.802023-03-08 00:00 @ 6.8812h−$18.81-1.28%signal
54long2023-01-26 12:00 @ 6.892023-03-07 00:00 @ 6.8539d 12h−$27.77-1.89%signal
53short2023-01-25 12:00 @ 6.702023-01-26 00:00 @ 6.9612h−$59.88-4.03%signal
52long2023-01-24 00:00 @ 7.022023-01-25 00:00 @ 6.661d−$79.73-5.29%signal
51short2023-01-22 00:00 @ 6.862023-01-23 12:00 @ 7.151d 12h−$64.72-4.25%signal
50short2023-01-05 12:00 @ 5.722023-01-21 12:00 @ 6.9516d−$340.16-21.17%signal
49short2022-12-10 12:00 @ 6.852023-01-05 00:00 @ 5.8125d 12h$240.38+15.54%signal
48long2022-12-09 12:00 @ 7.032022-12-10 00:00 @ 6.8612h−$38.74-2.49%signal
47short2022-12-08 12:00 @ 6.922022-12-09 00:00 @ 7.0012h−$20.15-1.29%signal
46long2022-11-29 12:00 @ 7.382022-12-08 00:00 @ 6.888d 12h−$110.53-6.95%signal
45short2022-11-28 12:00 @ 6.792022-11-29 00:00 @ 7.1912h−$97.77-6.06%signal
44long2022-11-27 12:00 @ 7.122022-11-28 00:00 @ 6.9012h−$51.92-3.19%signal
43short2022-11-10 00:00 @ 6.232022-11-27 00:00 @ 7.1517d−$247.72-14.67%signal
42long2022-11-04 00:00 @ 7.722022-11-09 12:00 @ 6.815d 12h−$209.20-12.02%signal
41short2022-11-02 00:00 @ 7.682022-11-03 12:00 @ 7.871d 12h−$45.34-2.59%signal
40long2022-10-30 12:00 @ 7.582022-11-01 12:00 @ 7.742d$34.17+1.96%signal
39short2022-10-29 12:00 @ 7.152022-10-30 00:00 @ 7.6312h−$121.19-6.83%signal
38short2022-10-23 12:00 @ 6.852022-10-29 00:00 @ 7.115d 12h−$67.98-3.80%signal
37long2022-10-22 12:00 @ 6.872022-10-23 00:00 @ 6.8612h−$1.84-0.10%signal
36short2022-10-20 00:00 @ 6.772022-10-22 00:00 @ 6.812d−$11.55-0.64%signal
35long2022-10-04 00:00 @ 7.322022-10-19 12:00 @ 6.9515d 12h−$97.20-5.34%signal
34short2022-09-20 00:00 @ 7.292022-10-03 12:00 @ 7.1813d 12h$32.07+1.77%signal
33long2022-09-17 00:00 @ 7.652022-09-19 12:00 @ 7.142d 12h−$128.10-6.95%signal
32short2022-09-14 12:00 @ 7.272022-09-16 12:00 @ 7.742d−$122.76-6.55%signal
31long2022-09-13 12:00 @ 7.892022-09-14 00:00 @ 7.0212h−$215.85-11.20%signal
30long2022-09-09 00:00 @ 7.402022-09-13 00:00 @ 7.754d$85.41+4.48%signal
29short2022-09-07 12:00 @ 6.752022-09-08 12:00 @ 7.251d−$146.33-7.53%signal
28long2022-09-06 00:00 @ 7.372022-09-07 00:00 @ 6.651d−$197.62-9.92%signal
27long2022-09-05 00:00 @ 7.152022-09-05 12:00 @ 7.1412h−$5.03-0.25%signal
26short2022-09-02 00:00 @ 6.922022-09-04 12:00 @ 7.062d 12h−$43.00-2.15%signal
25long2022-08-31 12:00 @ 6.802022-09-01 12:00 @ 6.731d−$21.05-1.05%signal
24long2022-08-29 12:00 @ 6.362022-08-31 00:00 @ 6.551d 12h$58.54+2.94%signal
23long2022-07-28 12:00 @ 6.882022-08-29 00:00 @ 6.2531d 12h−$199.87-9.78%signal
22short2022-07-20 12:00 @ 7.322022-07-28 00:00 @ 6.857d 12h$130.47+6.49%signal
21long2022-07-19 00:00 @ 7.042022-07-20 00:00 @ 7.251d$58.17+2.91%signal
20short2022-06-28 00:00 @ 6.552022-07-18 12:00 @ 6.9420d 12h−$115.54-5.70%signal
19long2022-06-26 12:00 @ 7.352022-06-27 12:00 @ 6.841d−$146.78-7.12%signal
18short2022-04-28 12:00 @ 12.772022-06-26 00:00 @ 7.2658d 12h$804.77+43.23%signal
17short2022-04-27 12:00 @ 12.552022-04-28 00:00 @ 12.7312h−$29.92-1.60%signal
16long2022-04-26 00:00 @ 13.432022-04-27 00:00 @ 12.361d−$154.91-8.12%signal
15long2022-04-25 00:00 @ 13.262022-04-25 12:00 @ 12.8812h−$56.99-2.97%signal
14short2022-04-24 00:00 @ 13.312022-04-24 12:00 @ 13.3712h−$10.85-0.56%signal
13long2022-04-19 12:00 @ 14.062022-04-23 12:00 @ 13.574d−$71.12-3.66%signal
12short2022-04-15 12:00 @ 13.912022-04-19 00:00 @ 14.053d 12h−$19.69-1.01%signal
11long2022-04-14 12:00 @ 13.902022-04-15 00:00 @ 13.6312h−$39.48-2.02%signal
10short2022-04-12 12:00 @ 14.142022-04-14 00:00 @ 14.191d 12h−$8.07-0.41%signal
9long2022-04-02 00:00 @ 17.362022-04-12 00:00 @ 13.7510d−$437.27-21.14%signal
8long2022-03-29 12:00 @ 17.222022-04-01 12:00 @ 16.723d−$64.08-3.07%signal
7short2022-01-22 00:00 @ 17.412022-03-29 00:00 @ 16.5066d$132.34+6.45%signal
6long2022-01-18 00:00 @ 23.782022-01-21 12:00 @ 19.413d 12h−$399.73-18.58%signal
5long2022-01-17 00:00 @ 25.512022-01-17 12:00 @ 24.6912h−$72.23-3.33%signal
4short2022-01-15 12:00 @ 25.682022-01-16 12:00 @ 25.841d−$14.42-0.66%signal
3short2022-01-14 12:00 @ 24.222022-01-15 00:00 @ 25.7112h−$137.57-6.23%signal
2long2022-01-10 00:00 @ 27.542022-01-14 00:00 @ 24.854d−$225.39-9.95%signal
1short2022-01-01 12:00 @ 19.602022-01-09 12:00 @ 27.048d−$943.78-37.75%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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