[Famous-Q] Time-series momentum (90-bar)

public
@djgambhir

BNBUSDT · 12h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 3,409 bars in 2.3ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BNBUSDT returned +33.87% over the same period, against this strategy’s +24.92%.

Net P&L
+24.92%
$2,491.54
Max drawdown
-23.19%
Max run-up
+65.66%
Trades
158
34.8% win rate
Profit factor
1.32
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -23.19%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+20.81%-23.19%9933%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25+3.70%-10.35%2540%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-0.30%-14.35%3435%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.41
Sortino
0.60
Calmar
0.21
Return ÷ max drawdown
1.07
CAGR
+4.88%
Exposure
95.3%

Per trade

Expectancy
$15.77 · +0.68%
Average win / loss
$188.71 / −$76.58
Payoff ratio
2.46
Largest win / loss
$2,040.32 / −$417.25
Longest losing streak(winning: 3)
8 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-23.19%
Longest time under water
571 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
571 days
Under water at the end
329 days

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$429.27
Funding
−$63.99
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
92
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+33.87%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 158 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-20.71%+24.09%+102.51%
Max drawdown-31.65%-17.18%-9.68%

23% of histories lost money, and 23% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -23.19%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

roc90 length
90
Long entry: roc90 > ▢
0
Short entry: roc90 < ▢
0
Long exit: roc90 < ▢
0
Short exit: roc90 > ▢
0
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

BNBUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

158 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
1short2022-01-01 12:00 @ 513.602022-03-08 12:00 @ 385.7366d$546.79+21.87%signal
2long2022-03-09 00:00 @ 381.102022-03-12 00:00 @ 371.723d−$65.69-2.49%signal
3short2022-03-12 12:00 @ 375.932022-03-17 00:00 @ 385.324d 12h−$69.65-2.66%signal
4long2022-03-17 12:00 @ 384.872022-03-22 00:00 @ 395.744d 12h$71.03+2.73%signal
5short2022-03-22 12:00 @ 407.322022-03-26 00:00 @ 410.243d 12h−$21.44-0.82%signal
6short2022-03-26 12:00 @ 413.992022-03-28 00:00 @ 430.571d 12h−$107.40-4.11%signal
7long2022-03-28 12:00 @ 435.682022-05-01 00:00 @ 376.4433d 12h−$350.07-13.52%signal
8short2022-05-01 12:00 @ 383.342022-05-05 00:00 @ 402.383d 12h−$130.21-5.21%signal
9long2022-05-05 12:00 @ 404.662022-05-06 00:00 @ 377.9812h−$165.11-6.69%signal
10short2022-05-06 12:00 @ 374.782022-07-28 00:00 @ 271.5982d 12h$599.05+24.68%signal
11long2022-07-28 12:00 @ 269.452022-09-07 12:00 @ 263.3541d−$43.29-1.68%signal
12long2022-09-08 00:00 @ 279.022022-09-13 00:00 @ 293.745d$132.79+5.18%signal
13long2022-09-13 12:00 @ 295.422022-09-14 00:00 @ 277.1612h−$162.98-6.27%signal
14short2022-09-14 12:00 @ 279.422022-10-03 12:00 @ 286.3619d−$74.86-2.93%signal
15long2022-10-04 00:00 @ 286.902022-10-05 12:00 @ 291.851d 12h$41.41+1.63%signal
16short2022-10-06 00:00 @ 293.922022-10-22 00:00 @ 269.9416d$203.37+7.98%signal
17long2022-10-22 12:00 @ 269.712022-10-23 00:00 @ 270.2312h$2.81+0.11%signal
18short2022-10-23 12:00 @ 269.412022-10-29 00:00 @ 297.915d 12h−$278.57-10.71%signal
19long2022-10-29 12:00 @ 301.742022-11-10 00:00 @ 266.4811d 12h−$288.14-11.38%signal
20long2022-11-10 12:00 @ 275.202022-11-13 12:00 @ 280.533d$50.88+2.07%signal
21short2022-11-14 00:00 @ 276.342022-11-14 12:00 @ 284.4112h−$74.79-3.02%signal
22short2022-11-15 00:00 @ 278.792022-11-23 12:00 @ 296.518d 12h−$159.07-6.48%signal
23long2022-11-24 00:00 @ 298.522022-12-10 12:00 @ 287.5516d 12h−$47.97-1.99%signal
24short2022-12-11 00:00 @ 287.962022-12-11 12:00 @ 290.3612h−$22.40-0.93%signal
25short2022-12-12 00:00 @ 284.332023-01-06 00:00 @ 256.4825d$209.72+8.75%signal
26long2023-01-06 12:00 @ 256.282023-01-07 00:00 @ 259.6412h$30.15+1.23%signal
27short2023-01-07 12:00 @ 260.492023-01-14 12:00 @ 304.037d−$417.25-16.98%signal
28long2023-01-15 00:00 @ 305.322023-01-19 00:00 @ 286.384d−$148.40-6.31%signal
29short2023-01-19 12:00 @ 289.202023-01-20 00:00 @ 294.4512h−$44.34-1.92%signal
30short2023-01-20 12:00 @ 286.942023-01-21 00:00 @ 305.3012h−$149.79-6.50%signal
31long2023-01-21 12:00 @ 303.542023-02-28 12:00 @ 302.0938d−$10.00-0.44%signal
32short2023-03-01 00:00 @ 301.122023-03-01 12:00 @ 303.3712h−$19.77-0.87%signal
33long2023-03-02 00:00 @ 302.542023-03-03 12:00 @ 289.401d 12h−$98.92-4.38%signal
34short2023-03-04 00:00 @ 290.272023-03-05 00:00 @ 289.511d$2.94+0.13%signal
35long2023-03-05 12:00 @ 291.032023-03-06 00:00 @ 288.5312h−$21.40-0.96%signal
36short2023-03-06 12:00 @ 283.852023-03-15 00:00 @ 308.718d 12h−$202.83-9.10%signal
37short2023-03-15 12:00 @ 308.062023-03-16 12:00 @ 315.951d−$57.85-2.65%signal
38long2023-03-17 00:00 @ 329.122023-03-21 00:00 @ 332.014d$50.21+2.32%signal
39long2023-03-21 12:00 @ 334.172023-03-22 12:00 @ 324.191d−$56.79-2.61%signal
40short2023-03-23 00:00 @ 321.002023-03-24 00:00 @ 329.111d−$57.29-2.65%signal
41short2023-03-24 12:00 @ 320.442023-03-26 12:00 @ 327.212d−$48.33-2.25%signal
42long2023-03-27 00:00 @ 328.352023-04-02 00:00 @ 314.676d−$83.30-3.90%signal
43short2023-04-02 12:00 @ 314.592023-04-03 00:00 @ 313.6312h$4.01+0.19%signal
44long2023-04-03 12:00 @ 311.922023-04-04 00:00 @ 308.4112h−$25.53-1.21%signal
45short2023-04-04 12:00 @ 310.932023-04-05 12:00 @ 315.781d−$35.08-1.66%signal
46long2023-04-06 00:00 @ 313.912023-04-06 12:00 @ 311.9012h−$15.59-0.74%signal
47short2023-04-07 00:00 @ 311.982023-04-08 12:00 @ 311.661d 12h−$1.16-0.06%signal
48short2023-04-09 00:00 @ 310.312023-04-09 12:00 @ 310.4412h−$3.00-0.14%signal
49long2023-04-10 00:00 @ 312.682023-05-02 00:00 @ 328.1222d$135.92+6.48%signal
50short2023-05-02 12:00 @ 324.082023-05-06 12:00 @ 325.004d−$14.35-0.67%signal
51long2023-05-07 00:00 @ 321.822023-05-07 12:00 @ 323.1412h$6.80+0.32%signal
52short2023-05-08 00:00 @ 320.912023-05-18 00:00 @ 314.3510d$33.93+1.59%signal
53long2023-05-18 12:00 @ 314.262023-05-19 12:00 @ 309.001d−$37.92-1.77%signal
54short2023-05-20 00:00 @ 308.672023-05-23 12:00 @ 314.003d 12h−$38.93-1.83%signal
55long2023-05-24 00:00 @ 313.562023-05-24 12:00 @ 308.7312h−$34.76-1.64%signal
56short2023-05-25 00:00 @ 305.842023-07-26 12:00 @ 237.0962d 12h$446.26+21.16%signal
57long2023-07-27 00:00 @ 239.102023-07-28 12:00 @ 241.041d 12h$15.62+0.70%signal
58short2023-07-29 00:00 @ 241.882023-07-30 00:00 @ 242.701d−$9.52-0.43%signal
59long2023-07-30 12:00 @ 242.452023-08-01 12:00 @ 244.702d$17.54+0.79%signal
60long2023-08-02 00:00 @ 247.922023-08-02 12:00 @ 245.8312h−$20.98-0.94%signal
61short2023-08-03 00:00 @ 240.592023-08-04 12:00 @ 241.881d 12h−$14.11-0.63%signal
62short2023-08-05 00:00 @ 241.672023-08-07 00:00 @ 243.312d−$17.23-0.78%signal
63short2023-08-07 12:00 @ 242.512023-08-09 00:00 @ 245.291d 12h−$27.58-1.25%signal
64long2023-08-09 12:00 @ 244.212023-08-14 12:00 @ 240.365d−$32.97-1.49%signal
65short2023-08-15 00:00 @ 240.292023-10-02 00:00 @ 218.3348d$185.98+8.46%signal
66short2023-10-02 12:00 @ 218.952023-10-05 12:00 @ 212.473d$64.35+2.87%signal
67long2023-10-06 00:00 @ 210.832023-10-07 12:00 @ 212.631d 12h$16.75+0.74%signal
68short2023-10-08 00:00 @ 212.302023-10-17 00:00 @ 214.799d−$28.51-1.26%signal
69short2023-10-17 12:00 @ 212.572023-10-22 12:00 @ 214.165d−$17.82-0.79%signal
70long2023-10-23 00:00 @ 217.992024-02-11 00:00 @ 322.52111d$1,172.14+52.01%signal
71short2024-02-11 12:00 @ 321.932024-02-13 00:00 @ 327.731d 12h−$53.90-2.12%signal
72long2024-02-13 12:00 @ 326.352024-04-27 12:00 @ 587.4374d$2,040.32+80.54%signal
73short2024-04-28 00:00 @ 595.622024-04-29 12:00 @ 583.911d 12h$44.96+1.48%signal
74short2024-04-30 00:00 @ 592.492024-05-01 00:00 @ 577.841d$68.75+2.25%signal
75short2024-05-01 12:00 @ 551.132024-05-03 00:00 @ 560.321d 12h−$56.50-1.84%signal
76long2024-05-03 12:00 @ 562.582024-05-13 12:00 @ 594.4410d$181.50+5.94%signal
77short2024-05-14 00:00 @ 591.182024-05-17 12:00 @ 578.003d 12h$47.91+1.54%signal
78long2024-05-18 00:00 @ 580.652024-05-19 12:00 @ 580.441d 12h−$4.20-0.13%signal
79short2024-05-20 00:00 @ 574.212024-05-21 00:00 @ 599.841d−$142.69-4.58%signal
80long2024-05-21 12:00 @ 618.322024-05-26 00:00 @ 602.354d 12h−$85.12-2.77%signal
81long2024-05-26 12:00 @ 602.092024-05-27 00:00 @ 600.5312h−$10.98-0.36%signal
82short2024-05-27 12:00 @ 602.542024-05-28 00:00 @ 604.2512h−$11.13-0.36%signal
83long2024-05-28 12:00 @ 602.352024-06-18 12:00 @ 583.3821d−$111.01-3.64%signal
84long2024-06-19 00:00 @ 588.632024-06-21 00:00 @ 587.192d−$10.39-0.34%signal
85short2024-06-21 12:00 @ 585.842024-06-22 00:00 @ 586.2412h−$5.06-0.17%signal
86long2024-06-22 12:00 @ 587.342024-06-23 12:00 @ 589.191d$6.51+0.22%signal
87short2024-06-24 00:00 @ 577.292024-06-29 00:00 @ 567.815d$46.63+1.54%signal
88long2024-06-29 12:00 @ 573.882024-06-30 00:00 @ 570.2812h−$22.10-0.73%signal
89short2024-06-30 12:00 @ 575.302024-07-01 00:00 @ 582.7612h−$42.26-1.40%signal
90short2024-07-01 12:00 @ 577.612024-07-02 12:00 @ 579.921d−$14.95-0.50%signal
91long2024-07-03 00:00 @ 580.432024-07-03 12:00 @ 561.2312h−$103.04-3.42%signal
92short2024-07-04 00:00 @ 556.812024-08-18 12:00 @ 538.7345d 12h$94.01+3.15%signal
93long2024-08-19 00:00 @ 531.382024-08-29 00:00 @ 536.9410d$33.94+1.13%signal
94short2024-08-29 12:00 @ 543.702024-09-17 12:00 @ 542.6119d$1.87+0.06%signal
95long2024-09-18 00:00 @ 546.132024-10-04 00:00 @ 544.5316d−$9.52-0.32%signal
96short2024-10-04 12:00 @ 552.852024-10-05 12:00 @ 561.421d−$49.84-1.65%signal
97short2024-10-06 00:00 @ 563.032024-10-09 12:00 @ 582.623d 12h−$110.51-3.68%signal
98short2024-10-10 00:00 @ 570.242024-10-10 12:00 @ 570.1912h−$3.27-0.11%signal
99long2024-10-11 00:00 @ 563.732024-11-03 12:00 @ 557.2923d 12h−$39.27-1.32%signal
100short2024-11-04 00:00 @ 557.682024-11-06 12:00 @ 582.322d 12h−$134.03-4.52%signal
101long2024-11-07 00:00 @ 592.732024-11-08 00:00 @ 598.621d$25.01+0.85%signal
102short2024-11-08 12:00 @ 596.172024-11-09 12:00 @ 626.271d−$150.01-5.10%signal
103long2024-11-10 00:00 @ 625.202025-01-18 00:00 @ 721.9569d$400.21+13.79%signal
104short2025-01-18 12:00 @ 701.792025-01-24 00:00 @ 690.275d 12h$48.75+1.62%signal
105short2025-01-24 12:00 @ 689.302025-01-25 00:00 @ 680.6012h$35.08+1.16%signal
106short2025-01-25 12:00 @ 685.372025-02-13 00:00 @ 696.9118d 12h−$55.72-1.84%signal
107long2025-02-13 12:00 @ 710.232025-02-14 00:00 @ 664.2212h−$196.33-6.52%signal
108short2025-02-14 12:00 @ 663.622025-03-20 00:00 @ 618.1433d 12h$181.50+6.13%signal
109long2025-03-20 12:00 @ 625.212025-03-28 12:00 @ 633.458d$51.91+1.73%signal
110short2025-03-29 00:00 @ 619.112025-04-14 12:00 @ 592.3716d 12h$115.30+3.82%signal
111short2025-04-15 00:00 @ 583.972025-04-18 00:00 @ 590.483d−$37.98-1.25%signal
112long2025-04-18 12:00 @ 591.622025-04-19 12:00 @ 590.271d−$8.72-0.29%signal
113short2025-04-20 00:00 @ 591.452025-04-21 12:00 @ 600.881d 12h−$52.13-1.72%signal
114long2025-04-22 00:00 @ 597.002025-04-30 00:00 @ 600.558d$16.76+0.55%signal
115long2025-04-30 12:00 @ 602.542025-05-01 00:00 @ 599.0912h−$20.31-0.67%signal
116short2025-05-01 12:00 @ 603.692025-05-09 12:00 @ 636.898d−$174.13-5.76%signal
117long2025-05-10 00:00 @ 666.852025-06-23 00:00 @ 615.6044d−$227.20-7.63%signal
118short2025-06-23 12:00 @ 617.092025-06-30 00:00 @ 655.096d 12h−$183.83-6.29%signal
119short2025-06-30 12:00 @ 654.082025-07-01 00:00 @ 657.1212h−$16.26-0.57%signal
120long2025-07-01 12:00 @ 652.372025-07-06 00:00 @ 655.874d 12h$12.52+0.44%signal
121short2025-07-06 12:00 @ 656.132025-07-08 00:00 @ 661.181d 12h−$25.03-0.87%signal
122short2025-07-08 12:00 @ 661.082025-07-11 00:00 @ 686.442d 12h−$112.96-3.94%signal
123long2025-07-11 12:00 @ 688.722025-07-13 00:00 @ 685.961d 12h−$14.26-0.50%signal
124long2025-07-13 12:00 @ 691.612025-11-04 12:00 @ 958.05114d$1,079.54+38.06%signal
125short2025-11-05 00:00 @ 936.982025-11-09 12:00 @ 990.364d 12h−$180.16-5.80%signal
126long2025-11-10 00:00 @ 996.312025-11-12 00:00 @ 957.692d−$120.55-3.94%signal
127short2025-11-12 12:00 @ 970.942026-01-05 00:00 @ 896.1653d 12h$238.35+7.86%signal
128long2026-01-05 12:00 @ 909.782026-01-21 00:00 @ 884.5315d 12h−$93.78-3.03%signal
129short2026-01-21 12:00 @ 870.642026-01-23 12:00 @ 888.062d−$64.48-2.10%signal
130short2026-01-24 00:00 @ 891.912026-01-24 12:00 @ 893.2812h−$7.59-0.25%signal
131short2026-01-25 00:00 @ 887.472026-01-25 12:00 @ 881.1112h$18.95+0.62%signal
132short2026-01-26 00:00 @ 866.472026-01-28 00:00 @ 899.032d−$117.33-3.84%signal
133long2026-01-28 12:00 @ 908.352026-01-30 12:00 @ 842.662d−$221.94-7.34%signal
134short2026-01-31 00:00 @ 858.942026-03-23 00:00 @ 626.2151d$801.21+26.98%signal
135long2026-03-23 12:00 @ 638.292026-03-24 00:00 @ 639.1712h$1.22+0.04%signal
136long2026-03-24 12:00 @ 638.992026-03-25 00:00 @ 638.1812h−$7.16-0.23%signal
137long2026-03-25 12:00 @ 648.702026-03-27 00:00 @ 628.621d 12h−$101.16-3.19%signal
138short2026-03-27 12:00 @ 610.542026-03-28 12:00 @ 612.781d−$14.79-0.47%signal
139long2026-03-29 00:00 @ 611.022026-03-29 12:00 @ 613.2512h$8.29+0.26%signal
140short2026-03-30 00:00 @ 605.762026-03-30 12:00 @ 618.1512h−$67.45-2.15%signal
141short2026-03-31 00:00 @ 609.302026-04-10 00:00 @ 603.5110d$27.77+0.89%signal
142long2026-04-10 12:00 @ 602.892026-04-12 00:00 @ 607.401d 12h$19.98+0.64%signal
143short2026-04-12 12:00 @ 595.372026-04-14 00:00 @ 615.311d 12h−$108.24-3.45%signal
144long2026-04-14 12:00 @ 616.962026-04-15 00:00 @ 614.0512h−$17.89-0.58%signal
145short2026-04-15 12:00 @ 620.042026-04-16 00:00 @ 623.2012h−$18.84-0.61%signal
146short2026-04-16 12:00 @ 621.112026-04-17 12:00 @ 632.921d−$61.76-1.99%signal
147long2026-04-18 00:00 @ 643.652026-04-18 12:00 @ 633.5012h−$51.73-1.68%signal
148short2026-04-19 00:00 @ 630.102026-04-21 00:00 @ 629.702d−$0.88-0.03%signal
149long2026-04-21 12:00 @ 634.662026-04-24 12:00 @ 638.343d$14.20+0.46%signal
150short2026-04-25 00:00 @ 636.362026-05-06 00:00 @ 630.8811d$25.61+0.83%signal
151long2026-05-06 12:00 @ 652.982026-05-08 00:00 @ 637.191d 12h−$78.46-2.55%signal
152long2026-05-08 12:00 @ 641.442026-06-04 12:00 @ 595.4827d−$231.21-7.55%signal
153short2026-06-05 00:00 @ 604.722026-06-15 00:00 @ 617.3010d−$64.67-2.15%signal
154long2026-06-15 12:00 @ 621.212026-06-16 12:00 @ 614.561d−$35.03-1.17%signal
155short2026-06-17 00:00 @ 605.262026-07-21 12:00 @ 577.2334d 12h$147.34+4.95%signal
156short2026-07-22 00:00 @ 574.252026-08-03 00:00 @ 588.9812d−$74.94-2.48%signal
157long2026-08-03 12:00 @ 586.302026-08-06 12:00 @ 594.243d$36.63+1.22%signal
158long2026-08-07 00:00 @ 592.722026-09-01 00:00 @ 687.5525d$466.14+15.51%end of data

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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