[Famous-Q] Time-series momentum (90-bar)

public
@djgambhir

SOLUSDT · 12h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 3,399 bars in 2.2ms

Net P&L
-8.37%
−$837.38
Max drawdown
-52.25%
Max run-up
+105.56%
Trades
139
30.9% win rate
Profit factor
0.95
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -52.25%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+6.30%-40.62%8132%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-14.24%-31.44%1916%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+0.51%-14.11%3936%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.05
Sortino
0.07
Calmar
-0.04
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.16
CAGR
-1.86%
Exposure
95.9%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$6.02 · +0.43%
Average win / loss
$382.24 / −$179.93
Payoff ratio
2.12
Largest win / loss
$6,296.97 / −$1,132.88
Longest losing streak(winning: 4)
9 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-52.25%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
981 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$353.48
Funding
−$1,349.09
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
92
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-40.42%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 139 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-64.96%-13.84%+195.19%
Max drawdown-68.89%-46.92%-26.18%

59% of histories lost money, and 37% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -52.25%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

roc90 length
90
Long entry: roc90 > ▢
0
Short entry: roc90 < ▢
0
Long exit: roc90 < ▢
0
Short exit: roc90 > ▢
0
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

SOLUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

139 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
139long2026-08-20 12:00 @ 87.202026-09-01 00:00 @ 102.2011d 12h$371.50+16.90%end of data
138short2026-08-16 12:00 @ 75.232026-08-20 00:00 @ 85.393d 12h−$308.71-13.57%signal
137long2026-08-07 00:00 @ 72.662026-08-16 00:00 @ 75.299d$77.01+3.41%signal
136long2026-08-03 00:00 @ 73.622026-08-06 12:00 @ 73.413d 12h−$10.28-0.46%signal
135short2026-08-02 00:00 @ 71.902026-08-02 12:00 @ 72.9712h−$36.19-1.60%signal
134short2026-08-01 00:00 @ 72.822026-08-01 12:00 @ 72.8612h−$3.35-0.15%signal
133long2026-07-19 12:00 @ 76.052026-07-31 12:00 @ 73.5112d−$79.71-3.48%signal
132short2026-07-18 12:00 @ 74.902026-07-19 00:00 @ 75.4912h−$20.29-0.88%signal
131short2026-05-29 00:00 @ 82.052026-07-18 00:00 @ 75.0050d$187.51+8.35%signal
130long2026-05-27 12:00 @ 83.902026-05-28 12:00 @ 80.801d−$85.43-3.77%signal
129long2026-05-24 12:00 @ 86.642026-05-27 00:00 @ 83.652d 12h−$80.93-3.54%signal
128short2026-05-23 12:00 @ 82.192026-05-24 00:00 @ 85.7412h−$102.79-4.44%signal
127long2026-05-09 12:00 @ 93.592026-05-23 00:00 @ 84.3413d 12h−$236.03-9.95%signal
126short2026-05-08 12:00 @ 88.572026-05-09 00:00 @ 91.9812h−$94.62-3.95%signal
125long2026-05-07 00:00 @ 89.132026-05-08 00:00 @ 88.381d−$22.76-0.95%signal
124short2026-04-27 12:00 @ 85.172026-05-06 12:00 @ 89.869d−$135.05-5.54%signal
123short2026-04-26 12:00 @ 86.432026-04-27 00:00 @ 86.9012h−$15.57-0.64%signal
122long2026-04-25 00:00 @ 86.152026-04-26 00:00 @ 86.111d−$3.45-0.14%signal
121long2026-04-21 12:00 @ 85.812026-04-24 12:00 @ 86.123d$5.98+0.25%signal
120short2026-04-19 00:00 @ 86.082026-04-21 00:00 @ 85.272d$19.97+0.82%signal
119long2026-04-16 12:00 @ 85.052026-04-18 12:00 @ 86.462d$37.57+1.55%signal
118short2026-04-15 12:00 @ 83.532026-04-16 00:00 @ 84.8812h−$41.68-1.71%signal
117long2026-04-14 12:00 @ 85.762026-04-15 00:00 @ 83.6412h−$63.07-2.57%signal
116short2026-04-12 12:00 @ 82.132026-04-14 00:00 @ 86.511d 12h−$134.68-5.42%signal
115long2026-04-10 00:00 @ 83.312026-04-12 00:00 @ 84.872d$43.52+1.76%signal
114short2026-04-08 12:00 @ 84.402026-04-09 12:00 @ 82.151d$63.60+2.59%signal
113short2026-03-31 12:00 @ 80.772026-04-08 00:00 @ 85.557d 12h−$152.84-6.12%signal
112long2026-03-28 12:00 @ 82.912026-03-31 00:00 @ 82.492d 12h−$12.07-0.48%signal
111short2026-03-27 12:00 @ 83.292026-03-28 00:00 @ 83.0512h$3.91+0.16%signal
110long2026-03-23 12:00 @ 88.762026-03-27 00:00 @ 86.453d 12h−$67.44-2.68%signal
109short2026-01-20 12:00 @ 128.702026-03-23 00:00 @ 86.1761d 12h$746.04+32.04%signal
108short2026-01-18 12:00 @ 142.302026-01-20 00:00 @ 133.411d 12h$141.27+6.16%signal
107long2026-01-13 12:00 @ 141.822026-01-18 00:00 @ 143.624d 12h$25.34+1.11%signal
106short2026-01-10 12:00 @ 136.482026-01-13 00:00 @ 139.162d 12h−$46.28-2.01%signal
105long2026-01-09 12:00 @ 138.262026-01-10 00:00 @ 135.8612h−$42.51-1.84%signal
104long2026-01-05 12:00 @ 135.722026-01-09 00:00 @ 138.263d 12h$39.83+1.73%signal
103short2025-10-14 12:00 @ 195.182026-01-05 00:00 @ 134.0882d 12h$669.50+31.41%signal
102short2025-10-11 12:00 @ 183.292025-10-14 00:00 @ 208.622d 12h−$320.21-14.48%signal
101long2025-09-29 00:00 @ 210.742025-10-11 00:00 @ 187.6212d−$252.10-11.08%signal
100long2025-09-06 12:00 @ 202.342025-09-28 12:00 @ 199.7222d−$36.38-1.59%signal
99long2025-07-15 00:00 @ 162.152025-09-06 00:00 @ 203.2553d$519.57+24.12%signal
98short2025-06-21 12:00 @ 141.952025-07-14 12:00 @ 166.5323d−$387.18-17.20%signal
97long2025-06-16 12:00 @ 156.422025-06-21 00:00 @ 139.984d 12h−$245.96-10.64%signal
96short2025-06-15 00:00 @ 144.522025-06-16 00:00 @ 152.911d−$138.33-5.90%signal
95long2025-06-14 00:00 @ 148.572025-06-14 12:00 @ 145.7412h−$47.50-2.01%signal
94long2025-06-10 00:00 @ 161.122025-06-13 12:00 @ 145.353d 12h−$240.20-9.93%signal
93short2025-06-09 00:00 @ 152.342025-06-09 12:00 @ 155.5712h−$53.73-2.21%signal
92short2025-06-07 12:00 @ 151.332025-06-08 12:00 @ 149.581d$25.68+1.06%signal
91long2025-04-23 00:00 @ 148.752025-06-07 00:00 @ 147.7445d−$25.30-1.04%signal
90short2025-02-17 00:00 @ 188.112025-04-22 12:00 @ 140.4064d 12h$571.96+24.99%signal
89long2025-02-14 00:00 @ 194.162025-02-16 12:00 @ 193.552d 12h−$9.78-0.43%signal
88long2025-02-09 12:00 @ 201.342025-02-13 12:00 @ 191.744d−$110.13-4.75%signal
87short2025-02-08 12:00 @ 194.272025-02-09 00:00 @ 199.2612h−$62.17-2.66%signal
86long2025-02-07 12:00 @ 198.402025-02-08 00:00 @ 191.8012h−$80.64-3.42%signal
85long2025-02-03 00:00 @ 203.462025-02-07 00:00 @ 189.414d−$165.47-6.91%signal
84long2025-01-19 00:00 @ 261.962025-02-02 12:00 @ 208.5814d 12h−$516.83-20.47%signal
83short2024-12-23 12:00 @ 183.462025-01-18 12:00 @ 238.9026d−$822.78-30.13%signal
82long2024-12-22 12:00 @ 186.592024-12-23 00:00 @ 180.3912h−$93.84-3.41%signal
81long2024-10-13 12:00 @ 146.422024-12-22 00:00 @ 181.3269d 12h$514.41+19.59%signal
80short2024-10-08 12:00 @ 144.372024-10-13 00:00 @ 146.354d 12h−$38.49-1.46%signal
79long2024-10-07 12:00 @ 147.362024-10-08 00:00 @ 143.8812h−$65.29-2.46%signal
78short2024-10-06 12:00 @ 143.942024-10-07 00:00 @ 146.4312h−$48.71-1.83%signal
77long2024-10-05 12:00 @ 143.382024-10-06 00:00 @ 142.5112h−$18.90-0.71%signal
76short2024-10-03 12:00 @ 136.762024-10-05 00:00 @ 143.191d 12h−$129.81-4.81%signal
75long2024-09-26 12:00 @ 152.902024-10-03 00:00 @ 140.056d 12h−$239.30-8.67%signal
74short2024-09-23 00:00 @ 144.562024-09-26 00:00 @ 147.923d−$66.42-2.39%signal
73long2024-09-22 00:00 @ 149.402024-09-22 12:00 @ 144.7512h−$90.51-3.23%signal
72long2024-09-20 00:00 @ 142.852024-09-21 12:00 @ 147.111d 12h$78.73+2.83%signal
71short2024-08-29 12:00 @ 145.492024-09-19 12:00 @ 139.3921d$113.94+4.14%signal
70long2024-08-21 12:00 @ 141.272024-08-29 00:00 @ 143.867d 12h$45.13+1.65%signal
69long2024-08-18 12:00 @ 144.552024-08-21 00:00 @ 142.182d 12h−$47.66-1.73%signal
68short2024-08-15 12:00 @ 143.022024-08-18 00:00 @ 141.862d 12h$19.37+0.70%signal
67long2024-08-12 12:00 @ 150.172024-08-15 00:00 @ 143.612d 12h−$124.53-4.48%signal
66long2024-08-07 00:00 @ 144.362024-08-12 00:00 @ 141.465d−$59.05-2.11%signal
65short2024-08-06 00:00 @ 129.752024-08-06 12:00 @ 139.3712h−$214.09-7.52%signal
64long2024-07-22 12:00 @ 180.522024-08-05 12:00 @ 115.8814d−$1,132.88-36.19%signal
63short2024-06-28 12:00 @ 145.392024-07-22 00:00 @ 184.5123d 12h−$891.72-26.59%signal
62short2024-06-18 12:00 @ 137.082024-06-28 00:00 @ 149.689d 12h−$313.66-9.14%signal
61long2024-05-28 12:00 @ 169.982024-06-18 00:00 @ 143.1720d 12h−$592.71-16.56%signal
60short2024-05-22 12:00 @ 178.032024-05-28 00:00 @ 170.285d 12h$156.01+4.41%signal
59long2024-05-21 00:00 @ 186.742024-05-22 00:00 @ 178.111d−$170.02-4.74%signal
58short2024-04-26 00:00 @ 144.762024-05-20 12:00 @ 177.7024d 12h−$851.67-22.43%signal
57long2024-02-26 00:00 @ 103.592024-04-25 12:00 @ 144.7259d 12h$1,101.59+31.29%signal
56long2024-02-17 00:00 @ 110.422024-02-25 12:00 @ 102.868d 12h−$273.30-7.61%signal
55long2024-02-13 00:00 @ 111.762024-02-16 12:00 @ 112.153d 12h$2.44+0.07%signal
54long2024-02-11 12:00 @ 109.722024-02-12 12:00 @ 104.201d−$187.45-5.16%signal
53short2024-02-06 12:00 @ 94.222024-02-11 00:00 @ 109.004d 12h−$592.60-15.66%signal
52long2023-10-02 12:00 @ 23.832024-02-06 00:00 @ 95.58126d 12h$6,296.97+285.02%signal
51short2023-08-25 12:00 @ 20.662023-10-02 00:00 @ 23.8837d 12h−$379.45-16.47%signal
50long2023-08-24 12:00 @ 21.772023-08-25 00:00 @ 21.0312h−$81.01-3.48%signal
49short2023-08-22 12:00 @ 20.922023-08-24 00:00 @ 21.721d 12h−$92.57-3.94%signal
48long2023-07-07 00:00 @ 19.602023-08-22 00:00 @ 21.1846d$163.22+7.08%signal
47short2023-05-19 12:00 @ 20.442023-07-06 12:00 @ 19.8948d$72.54+3.17%signal
46long2023-05-18 12:00 @ 20.832023-05-19 00:00 @ 20.3212h−$57.88-2.51%signal
45short2023-05-16 12:00 @ 20.862023-05-18 00:00 @ 21.051d 12h−$22.30-0.97%signal
44long2023-05-15 00:00 @ 20.922023-05-16 00:00 @ 20.971d$2.57+0.11%signal
43short2023-05-14 00:00 @ 20.832023-05-14 12:00 @ 20.9612h−$17.02-0.74%signal
42long2023-05-12 12:00 @ 20.272023-05-13 12:00 @ 21.061d$86.79+3.79%signal
41short2023-05-11 00:00 @ 20.902023-05-12 00:00 @ 20.171d$78.10+3.44%signal
40long2023-05-10 00:00 @ 20.652023-05-10 12:00 @ 20.7312h$5.97+0.26%signal
39short2023-05-08 12:00 @ 21.252023-05-09 12:00 @ 20.801d$44.74+1.98%signal
38long2023-05-06 12:00 @ 22.662023-05-08 00:00 @ 21.651d 12h−$103.56-4.53%signal
37short2023-05-05 00:00 @ 21.722023-05-06 00:00 @ 22.821d−$118.56-5.12%signal
36long2023-05-04 00:00 @ 22.232023-05-04 12:00 @ 22.2312h−$2.32-0.10%signal
35long2023-05-03 00:00 @ 22.252023-05-03 12:00 @ 21.3912h−$92.75-3.97%signal
34long2023-04-12 12:00 @ 23.492023-05-02 12:00 @ 21.9720d−$166.63-7.00%signal
33short2023-03-31 00:00 @ 20.542023-04-12 00:00 @ 23.0012d−$292.53-11.93%signal
32short2023-03-30 00:00 @ 21.082023-03-30 12:00 @ 20.6712h$45.65+1.87%signal
31short2023-03-27 12:00 @ 20.602023-03-29 12:00 @ 21.212d−$75.41-3.07%signal
30short2023-03-06 12:00 @ 20.682023-03-27 00:00 @ 20.9320d 12h−$32.00-1.30%signal
29long2023-03-05 12:00 @ 21.192023-03-06 00:00 @ 20.9612h−$30.56-1.23%signal
28short2023-03-01 00:00 @ 21.872023-03-05 00:00 @ 20.984d$99.37+4.05%signal
27long2023-01-10 00:00 @ 16.262023-02-28 12:00 @ 22.1849d 12h$789.01+35.01%signal
26short2023-01-08 00:00 @ 13.082023-01-09 12:00 @ 16.361d 12h−$608.81-25.31%signal
25long2023-01-04 12:00 @ 13.632023-01-07 12:00 @ 13.143d−$70.48-2.91%signal
24short2022-11-08 00:00 @ 29.572023-01-04 00:00 @ 13.3357d$779.22+34.97%signal
23long2022-11-05 00:00 @ 33.742022-11-07 12:00 @ 31.602d 12h−$147.25-6.50%signal
22short2022-11-04 00:00 @ 30.812022-11-04 12:00 @ 32.3112h−$113.41-4.94%signal
21short2022-11-02 12:00 @ 31.282022-11-03 12:00 @ 31.261d−$0.71-0.03%signal
20long2022-11-01 00:00 @ 32.542022-11-02 00:00 @ 32.171d−$27.54-1.20%signal
19short2022-10-13 12:00 @ 28.782022-10-31 12:00 @ 34.0318d−$436.70-18.12%signal
18short2022-10-11 12:00 @ 31.522022-10-13 00:00 @ 31.161d 12h$25.82+1.07%signal
17short2022-08-27 12:00 @ 31.962022-10-11 00:00 @ 31.9444d 12h$4.01+0.17%signal
16long2022-08-26 00:00 @ 35.242022-08-27 00:00 @ 31.671d−$250.41-10.16%signal
15short2022-08-21 12:00 @ 36.142022-08-25 12:00 @ 36.304d−$14.95-0.61%signal
14long2022-08-11 12:00 @ 44.072022-08-21 00:00 @ 35.249d 12h−$524.74-20.18%signal
13short2022-08-10 00:00 @ 40.292022-08-11 00:00 @ 42.461d−$143.74-5.45%signal
12long2022-07-27 00:00 @ 36.232022-08-09 12:00 @ 40.8413d 12h$315.57+12.34%signal
11short2022-07-26 00:00 @ 36.622022-07-26 12:00 @ 35.8012h$54.98+2.16%signal
10long2022-07-25 00:00 @ 40.922022-07-25 12:00 @ 38.8512h−$132.77-5.15%signal
9long2022-07-22 00:00 @ 43.122022-07-24 12:00 @ 40.862d 12h−$140.86-5.39%signal
8long2022-07-19 00:00 @ 43.542022-07-21 12:00 @ 41.712d 12h−$115.53-4.38%signal
7short2022-05-06 12:00 @ 81.162022-07-18 12:00 @ 41.6373d$1,128.84+47.87%signal
6long2022-05-04 12:00 @ 88.422022-05-06 00:00 @ 84.451d 12h−$109.60-4.59%signal
5long2022-05-03 12:00 @ 88.472022-05-04 00:00 @ 85.8012h−$74.78-3.11%signal
4long2022-04-19 00:00 @ 102.362022-05-03 00:00 @ 87.4214d−$368.48-14.76%signal
3long2022-03-31 12:00 @ 127.272022-04-18 12:00 @ 96.7316d−$645.61-24.29%signal
2short2022-03-30 00:00 @ 111.542022-03-31 00:00 @ 120.881d−$229.53-8.45%signal
1short2022-01-01 12:00 @ 171.542022-03-29 12:00 @ 113.3884d$861.37+34.45%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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