[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

TRXUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,195 bars in 10.7ms

Underperformed the market. Holding TRXUSDT returned +337.59% over the same period, against this strategy’s -13.27%.

Net P&L
-13.27%
−$1,327.38
Max drawdown
-30.16%
Max run-up
+39.77%
Trades
149
28.9% win rate
Profit factor
0.79
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -30.16%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-15.86%-30.16%8729%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25+0.48%-17.94%3126%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+2.58%-3.03%3132%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.20
Sortino
-0.34
Calmar
-0.10
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.44
CAGR
-3.01%
Exposure
47.0%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$8.91 · -0.35%
Average win / loss
$115.24 / −$59.27
Payoff ratio
1.94
Largest win / loss
$753.16 / −$525.02
Longest losing streak(winning: 4)
17 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-30.16%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1681 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$317.60
Funding
−$479.91
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+337.59%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 149 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-32.72%-13.98%+12.55%
Max drawdown-35.96%-21.75%-11.49%

83% of histories lost money, and 17% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -30.16%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

TRXUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

149 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
149short2026-08-31 16:00 @ 0.332026-09-01 00:00 @ 0.338h$0.22+0.01%end of data
148long2026-08-20 16:00 @ 0.342026-08-22 04:00 @ 0.331d 12h−$26.94-1.24%stop loss
147long2026-08-10 12:00 @ 0.332026-08-15 12:00 @ 0.335d−$8.29-0.38%signal
146short2026-07-28 04:00 @ 0.322026-07-29 08:00 @ 0.331d 4h−$23.76-1.09%stop loss
145long2026-07-24 08:00 @ 0.332026-07-27 16:00 @ 0.333d 8h−$20.84-0.95%signal
144short2026-07-16 04:00 @ 0.322026-07-19 08:00 @ 0.333d 4h−$32.05-1.46%stop loss
143long2026-07-05 16:00 @ 0.332026-07-13 12:00 @ 0.337d 20h−$16.43-0.75%signal
142short2026-06-30 12:00 @ 0.322026-07-03 12:00 @ 0.323d−$36.79-1.67%stop loss
141long2026-06-21 08:00 @ 0.332026-06-24 20:00 @ 0.333d 12h−$12.49-0.56%signal
140short2026-05-28 12:00 @ 0.352026-06-20 00:00 @ 0.3222d 12h$108.55+4.97%signal
139long2026-05-02 16:00 @ 0.332026-05-28 08:00 @ 0.3625d 16h$169.63+7.92%signal
138long2026-04-12 12:00 @ 0.322026-04-24 16:00 @ 0.3312d 4h$23.76+1.11%signal
137long2026-04-09 20:00 @ 0.322026-04-10 16:00 @ 0.3220h−$23.48-1.10%stop loss
136long2026-03-14 00:00 @ 0.292026-04-07 12:00 @ 0.3124d 12h$147.92+7.02%signal
135long2026-03-08 16:00 @ 0.292026-03-09 08:00 @ 0.2916h−$26.76-1.27%stop loss
134long2026-02-20 16:00 @ 0.292026-02-23 16:00 @ 0.283d−$31.18-1.47%stop loss
133long2026-02-17 00:00 @ 0.282026-02-17 08:00 @ 0.288h−$27.67-1.30%stop loss
132long2026-02-14 12:00 @ 0.282026-02-15 12:00 @ 0.281d−$30.05-1.41%stop loss
131short2026-01-27 16:00 @ 0.292026-02-13 20:00 @ 0.2817d 4h$63.05+2.98%signal
130short2026-01-21 00:00 @ 0.302026-01-22 16:00 @ 0.301d 16h−$53.27-2.50%stop loss
129long2026-01-02 00:00 @ 0.292026-01-20 08:00 @ 0.3118d 8h$137.77+6.57%signal
128long2025-12-21 04:00 @ 0.282025-12-24 16:00 @ 0.283d 12h−$15.89-0.76%signal
127short2025-12-12 16:00 @ 0.272025-12-15 00:00 @ 0.282d 8h−$34.58-1.64%stop loss
126long2025-12-04 20:00 @ 0.282025-12-08 20:00 @ 0.284d−$4.81-0.23%signal
125long2025-11-30 16:00 @ 0.282025-12-01 00:00 @ 0.288h−$26.98-1.27%stop loss
124short2025-11-18 08:00 @ 0.292025-11-27 12:00 @ 0.289d 4h$70.51+3.36%signal
123long2025-11-11 12:00 @ 0.302025-11-12 16:00 @ 0.291d 4h−$41.49-1.97%stop loss
122short2025-10-25 04:00 @ 0.302025-11-07 20:00 @ 0.2913d 16h$34.35+1.63%signal
121long2025-10-21 16:00 @ 0.322025-10-22 08:00 @ 0.3216h−$43.12-2.04%stop loss
120short2025-10-10 16:00 @ 0.332025-10-20 08:00 @ 0.329d 16h$29.55+1.40%signal
119long2025-10-02 20:00 @ 0.342025-10-07 16:00 @ 0.344d 20h−$29.95-1.42%stop loss
118short2025-09-22 08:00 @ 0.332025-09-22 08:00 @ 0.340m−$46.43-2.19%stop loss
117long2025-09-11 04:00 @ 0.342025-09-15 12:00 @ 0.354d 8h$11.90+0.56%signal
116short2025-09-05 16:00 @ 0.332025-09-09 08:00 @ 0.343d 16h−$49.77-2.33%stop loss
115short2025-08-29 16:00 @ 0.332025-08-31 04:00 @ 0.341d 12h−$51.63-2.40%stop loss
114short2025-08-26 00:00 @ 0.342025-08-26 12:00 @ 0.3512h−$54.58-2.53%stop loss
113long2025-08-11 16:00 @ 0.342025-08-16 16:00 @ 0.355d$2.63+0.12%signal
112long2025-07-29 08:00 @ 0.332025-08-02 16:00 @ 0.324d 8h−$66.62-3.06%stop loss
111long2025-06-28 12:00 @ 0.282025-07-22 04:00 @ 0.3123d 16h$246.46+11.65%signal
110short2025-06-22 16:00 @ 0.272025-06-23 16:00 @ 0.271d−$60.37-2.83%stop loss
109long2025-06-06 00:00 @ 0.282025-06-11 20:00 @ 0.285d 20h−$21.31-1.00%signal
108long2025-05-22 12:00 @ 0.282025-05-23 00:00 @ 0.2712h−$69.01-3.20%stop loss
107long2025-05-08 16:00 @ 0.252025-05-18 20:00 @ 0.2610d 4h$76.78+3.60%signal
106long2025-04-26 12:00 @ 0.252025-04-27 20:00 @ 0.251d 8h−$53.02-2.47%stop loss
105long2025-04-12 08:00 @ 0.252025-04-17 04:00 @ 0.244d 20h−$38.68-1.79%signal
104short2025-04-07 04:00 @ 0.232025-04-08 00:00 @ 0.2320h−$66.25-3.05%stop loss
103short2025-03-11 16:00 @ 0.222025-03-18 20:00 @ 0.237d 4h−$87.71-4.00%signal
102long2025-03-08 08:00 @ 0.252025-03-09 08:00 @ 0.241d−$73.17-3.31%stop loss
101short2025-02-25 08:00 @ 0.232025-03-01 04:00 @ 0.243d 20h−$47.92-2.15%signal
100long2025-02-21 04:00 @ 0.252025-02-21 16:00 @ 0.2412h−$60.91-2.72%stop loss
99short2025-02-02 20:00 @ 0.232025-02-06 12:00 @ 0.233d 16h−$26.89-1.20%signal
98short2025-01-08 08:00 @ 0.252025-01-16 12:00 @ 0.248d 4h$89.36+4.02%signal
97long2025-01-03 20:00 @ 0.272025-01-05 08:00 @ 0.261d 12h−$60.04-2.68%stop loss
96short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 0.252024-12-24 16:00 @ 0.264d 20h−$92.93-4.11%signal
95long2024-12-03 00:00 @ 0.222024-12-09 08:00 @ 0.306d 8h$753.16+36.29%signal
94short2024-11-26 12:00 @ 0.192024-11-27 04:00 @ 0.2016h−$120.56-5.73%stop loss
93long2024-11-23 12:00 @ 0.222024-11-24 08:00 @ 0.2120h−$88.81-4.17%stop loss
92long2024-11-12 12:00 @ 0.182024-11-20 20:00 @ 0.198d 8h$191.72+9.22%signal
91long2024-11-12 00:00 @ 0.172024-11-12 08:00 @ 0.178h−$39.64-1.90%stop loss
90short2024-11-05 00:00 @ 0.162024-11-10 04:00 @ 0.165d 4h−$40.67-1.94%stop loss
89long2024-10-24 04:00 @ 0.162024-11-03 04:00 @ 0.1610d$14.51+0.69%signal
88short2024-10-19 20:00 @ 0.162024-10-21 16:00 @ 0.161d 20h−$29.12-1.38%stop loss
87long2024-10-08 20:00 @ 0.162024-10-15 08:00 @ 0.166d 12h−$23.16-1.10%signal
86long2024-09-26 20:00 @ 0.152024-10-06 04:00 @ 0.159d 8h−$6.65-0.31%signal
85short2024-09-02 00:00 @ 0.162024-09-08 04:00 @ 0.156d 4h$35.49+1.69%signal
84long2024-08-14 08:00 @ 0.132024-09-01 04:00 @ 0.1617d 20h$387.08+19.30%signal
83short2024-07-31 16:00 @ 0.132024-08-08 16:00 @ 0.138d$34.56+1.73%signal
82long2024-07-26 16:00 @ 0.142024-07-29 12:00 @ 0.142d 20h−$35.31-1.76%stop loss
81long2024-07-10 16:00 @ 0.132024-07-16 04:00 @ 0.145d 12h$63.80+3.21%signal
80long2024-06-21 12:00 @ 0.122024-07-05 04:00 @ 0.1213d 16h$65.69+3.33%signal
79long2024-06-09 12:00 @ 0.122024-06-15 16:00 @ 0.116d 4h−$30.66-1.55%signal
78short2024-05-18 12:00 @ 0.122024-06-02 08:00 @ 0.1114d 20h$157.10+8.09%signal
77long2024-05-09 08:00 @ 0.122024-05-14 08:00 @ 0.135d$13.15+0.68%signal
76long2024-04-25 12:00 @ 0.122024-05-06 12:00 @ 0.1211d$67.68+3.52%signal
75short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 0.112024-04-23 00:00 @ 0.1110d 4h$10.66+0.56%signal
74long2024-04-10 08:00 @ 0.122024-04-10 08:00 @ 0.120m−$39.47-2.05%stop loss
73short2024-04-02 12:00 @ 0.122024-04-03 08:00 @ 0.1220h−$36.73-1.90%stop loss
72long2024-03-31 00:00 @ 0.122024-04-01 12:00 @ 0.121d 12h−$37.98-1.95%stop loss
71short2024-03-14 16:00 @ 0.132024-03-26 12:00 @ 0.1211d 20h$102.92+5.36%signal
70short2024-03-05 20:00 @ 0.142024-03-06 04:00 @ 0.148h−$43.33-2.24%stop loss
69long2024-02-27 12:00 @ 0.142024-02-28 16:00 @ 0.141d 4h−$31.69-1.63%stop loss
68long2024-01-26 00:00 @ 0.112024-02-24 16:00 @ 0.1429d 16h$397.69+21.61%signal
67long2024-01-13 08:00 @ 0.112024-01-18 16:00 @ 0.115d 8h−$57.29-3.09%stop loss
66long2024-01-02 12:00 @ 0.112024-01-03 08:00 @ 0.1120h−$43.32-2.32%stop loss
65long2023-12-31 20:00 @ 0.112024-01-01 04:00 @ 0.118h−$40.85-2.18%stop loss
64long2023-12-23 20:00 @ 0.112023-12-26 04:00 @ 0.102d 8h−$40.50-2.15%stop loss
63short2023-12-18 12:00 @ 0.102023-12-19 00:00 @ 0.1012h−$50.18-2.64%stop loss
62long2023-12-08 20:00 @ 0.112023-12-11 00:00 @ 0.102d 4h−$44.02-2.30%stop loss
61long2023-11-25 04:00 @ 0.112023-11-27 12:00 @ 0.102d 8h−$47.67-2.48%stop loss
60short2023-11-21 00:00 @ 0.102023-11-24 08:00 @ 0.103d 8h−$39.45-2.04%signal
59long2023-11-10 12:00 @ 0.112023-11-14 16:00 @ 0.104d 4h−$72.07-3.70%stop loss
58long2023-10-24 00:00 @ 0.092023-11-07 16:00 @ 0.1014d 16h$69.21+3.58%signal
57long2023-10-20 12:00 @ 0.092023-10-22 12:00 @ 0.092d−$32.11-1.66%stop loss
56long2023-09-14 20:00 @ 0.082023-10-06 12:00 @ 0.0921d 16h$65.56+3.41%signal
55long2023-09-12 16:00 @ 0.082023-09-13 00:00 @ 0.088h−$40.86-2.11%stop loss
54long2023-09-06 12:00 @ 0.082023-09-11 12:00 @ 0.085d−$30.64-1.58%stop loss
53short2023-07-30 20:00 @ 0.082023-08-23 16:00 @ 0.0823d 20h$53.59+2.78%signal
52long2023-06-30 08:00 @ 0.082023-07-30 12:00 @ 0.0830d 4h$156.94+8.31%signal
51short2023-06-09 20:00 @ 0.072023-06-22 04:00 @ 0.0712d 8h−$48.65-2.56%signal
50long2023-06-03 00:00 @ 0.082023-06-04 04:00 @ 0.081d 4h−$54.21-2.83%stop loss
49short2023-06-01 04:00 @ 0.072023-06-02 04:00 @ 0.081d−$45.60-2.37%stop loss
48long2023-05-20 16:00 @ 0.072023-05-26 12:00 @ 0.085d 20h$89.15+4.68%signal
47long2023-05-17 20:00 @ 0.072023-05-18 16:00 @ 0.0720h−$35.24-1.84%stop loss
46long2023-04-29 08:00 @ 0.072023-05-08 04:00 @ 0.078d 20h$39.62+2.08%signal
45short2023-04-12 04:00 @ 0.062023-04-12 12:00 @ 0.078h−$59.04-3.08%stop loss
44long2023-04-11 00:00 @ 0.072023-04-11 16:00 @ 0.0716h−$35.64-1.85%stop loss
43short2023-03-22 20:00 @ 0.062023-03-22 20:00 @ 0.060m−$123.95-6.33%stop loss
42short2023-03-09 00:00 @ 0.072023-03-13 00:00 @ 0.074d−$61.06-3.10%stop loss
41long2023-02-20 04:00 @ 0.072023-02-21 20:00 @ 0.071d 16h−$72.14-3.62%stop loss
40long2023-02-08 04:00 @ 0.072023-02-09 00:00 @ 0.0620h−$57.56-2.87%stop loss
39long2023-01-27 20:00 @ 0.062023-01-28 12:00 @ 0.0616h−$67.17-3.32%stop loss
38long2023-01-13 04:00 @ 0.062023-01-18 16:00 @ 0.065d 12h$97.96+4.90%signal
37short2023-01-06 04:00 @ 0.052023-01-06 12:00 @ 0.058h−$62.39-3.10%stop loss
36long2023-01-02 12:00 @ 0.062023-01-04 20:00 @ 0.052d 8h−$36.89-1.82%stop loss
35long2022-12-14 16:00 @ 0.062022-12-16 08:00 @ 0.051d 16h−$55.69-2.74%stop loss
34short2022-12-12 08:00 @ 0.052022-12-12 08:00 @ 0.050m−$51.00-2.49%stop loss
33long2022-11-27 16:00 @ 0.052022-11-28 00:00 @ 0.058h−$63.89-3.09%stop loss
32short2022-11-14 04:00 @ 0.052022-11-14 12:00 @ 0.058h−$220.48-10.40%stop loss
31short2022-11-10 00:00 @ 0.052022-11-10 04:00 @ 0.064h−$170.98-7.91%stop loss
30short2022-11-08 20:00 @ 0.062022-11-09 04:00 @ 0.068h−$98.10-4.48%stop loss
29short2022-11-08 04:00 @ 0.062022-11-08 16:00 @ 0.0612h−$66.46-3.02%stop loss
28long2022-11-06 12:00 @ 0.072022-11-06 20:00 @ 0.068h−$53.30-2.40%stop loss
27long2022-10-30 08:00 @ 0.062022-10-30 12:00 @ 0.064h−$49.28-2.21%stop loss
26long2022-10-27 04:00 @ 0.062022-10-27 20:00 @ 0.0616h−$47.22-2.11%stop loss
25short2022-10-13 08:00 @ 0.062022-10-14 12:00 @ 0.061d 4h−$71.68-3.17%stop loss
24long2022-10-05 00:00 @ 0.062022-10-11 04:00 @ 0.066d 4h−$29.15-1.29%signal
23short2022-09-19 04:00 @ 0.062022-09-29 20:00 @ 0.0610d 16h−$69.92-3.06%stop loss
22long2022-09-10 20:00 @ 0.062022-09-13 12:00 @ 0.062d 16h−$57.62-2.51%stop loss
21short2022-09-06 20:00 @ 0.062022-09-09 04:00 @ 0.062d 8h−$68.66-2.96%stop loss
20short2022-08-18 04:00 @ 0.072022-08-30 16:00 @ 0.0712d 12h$60.18+2.62%signal
19short2022-07-25 04:00 @ 0.072022-07-27 16:00 @ 0.072d 12h−$77.77-3.35%stop loss
18long2022-07-09 12:00 @ 0.072022-07-10 04:00 @ 0.0716h−$77.69-3.32%stop loss
17long2022-06-27 04:00 @ 0.072022-06-29 04:00 @ 0.062d−$104.29-4.41%stop loss
16short2022-06-11 16:00 @ 0.082022-06-21 16:00 @ 0.0710d$224.42+9.72%signal
15long2022-05-23 00:00 @ 0.082022-06-04 04:00 @ 0.0812d 4h−$42.93-1.85%signal
14short2022-05-11 12:00 @ 0.062022-05-11 12:00 @ 0.080m−$525.02-21.42%stop loss
13long2022-05-04 08:00 @ 0.082022-05-09 20:00 @ 0.075d 12h−$123.18-4.96%signal
12long2022-05-02 00:00 @ 0.072022-05-02 12:00 @ 0.0712h−$143.68-5.71%stop loss
11long2022-04-21 12:00 @ 0.062022-04-25 04:00 @ 0.063d 16h−$31.85-1.26%signal
10short2022-04-07 00:00 @ 0.062022-04-17 12:00 @ 0.0610d 12h$22.01+0.87%signal
9long2022-03-22 04:00 @ 0.062022-04-06 04:00 @ 0.0713d$170.09+6.86%signal
8long2022-03-19 16:00 @ 0.062022-03-21 00:00 @ 0.061d 8h−$55.74-2.24%stop loss
7short2022-02-24 04:00 @ 0.062022-02-24 20:00 @ 0.0616h−$136.54-5.40%stop loss
6short2022-02-20 08:00 @ 0.062022-02-23 16:00 @ 0.063d 8h−$103.92-4.07%stop loss
5long2022-02-04 08:00 @ 0.062022-02-11 12:00 @ 0.077d 4h$76.46+3.02%signal
4long2022-02-02 12:00 @ 0.062022-02-02 20:00 @ 0.068h−$96.77-3.78%stop loss
3short2022-01-21 16:00 @ 0.062022-01-30 00:00 @ 0.068d 8h$162.93+6.47%signal
2long2022-01-17 12:00 @ 0.072022-01-18 04:00 @ 0.0716h−$93.53-3.68%stop loss
1short2022-01-05 20:00 @ 0.072022-01-15 16:00 @ 0.079d 20h$159.56+6.38%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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