[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

DOTUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,225 bars in 10.8ms

Net P&L
-37.37%
−$3,737.32
Max drawdown
-44.27%
Max run-up
+24.14%
Trades
173
24.9% win rate
Profit factor
0.66
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -44.27%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-38.22%-42.81%10420%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-0.59%-20.31%3531%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+1.97%-12.82%3432%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.57
Sortino
-0.83
Calmar
-0.22
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.84
CAGR
-9.54%
Exposure
51.1%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$21.60 · -1.00%
Average win / loss
$168.84 / −$84.60
Payoff ratio
2.00
Largest win / loss
$920.75 / −$235.76
Longest losing streak(winning: 3)
19 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-44.27%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1573 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$316.52
Funding
−$374.07
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-96.84%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 173 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-58.37%-38.92%+0.82%
Max drawdown-60.97%-44.51%-25.32%

95% of histories lost money, and 51% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -44.27%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

DOTUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

173 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
173short2026-08-31 00:00 @ 0.822026-09-01 00:00 @ 0.861d−$80.43-5.07%stop loss
172long2026-08-20 12:00 @ 0.822026-08-26 00:00 @ 0.855d 12h$56.58+3.60%signal
171short2026-08-11 16:00 @ 0.782026-08-19 12:00 @ 0.787d 20h$8.52+0.54%signal
170long2026-08-04 04:00 @ 0.842026-08-06 12:00 @ 0.812d 8h−$51.10-3.23%stop loss
169short2026-07-28 00:00 @ 0.762026-08-02 00:00 @ 0.795d−$58.49-3.66%stop loss
168short2026-07-24 16:00 @ 0.802026-07-26 04:00 @ 0.821d 12h−$55.71-3.46%stop loss
167short2026-07-19 20:00 @ 0.812026-07-21 04:00 @ 0.841d 8h−$57.00-3.51%stop loss
166short2026-06-23 00:00 @ 0.942026-07-01 16:00 @ 0.858d 16h$150.79+9.50%signal
165long2026-06-15 12:00 @ 1.022026-06-18 04:00 @ 0.982d 16h−$74.57-4.64%stop loss
164short2026-05-28 04:00 @ 1.202026-06-13 08:00 @ 0.9916d 4h$258.76+16.79%signal
163short2026-05-23 08:00 @ 1.212026-05-23 16:00 @ 1.278h−$80.09-5.13%stop loss
162short2026-05-16 08:00 @ 1.262026-05-21 20:00 @ 1.305d 12h−$47.78-3.04%signal
161long2026-05-06 04:00 @ 1.312026-05-12 16:00 @ 1.316d 12h$2.14+0.14%signal
160short2026-04-29 16:00 @ 1.202026-05-04 00:00 @ 1.254d 8h−$60.93-3.84%stop loss
159short2026-04-13 08:00 @ 1.182026-04-16 04:00 @ 1.242d 20h−$106.39-6.59%stop loss
158short2026-04-02 04:00 @ 1.222026-04-06 04:00 @ 1.274d−$79.40-4.86%stop loss
157short2026-03-24 16:00 @ 1.382026-04-01 08:00 @ 1.297d 16h$96.67+6.00%signal
156long2026-03-16 08:00 @ 1.582026-03-19 12:00 @ 1.513d 4h−$81.17-4.98%stop loss
155short2026-03-14 20:00 @ 1.412026-03-16 00:00 @ 1.471d 4h−$81.88-4.96%stop loss
154short2026-03-07 20:00 @ 1.442026-03-09 16:00 @ 1.521d 20h−$106.32-6.34%stop loss
153long2026-02-25 16:00 @ 1.522026-03-06 16:00 @ 1.469d−$63.61-3.76%signal
152short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 1.252026-02-25 08:00 @ 1.312d 4h−$85.39-4.98%stop loss
151long2026-02-14 20:00 @ 1.432026-02-15 12:00 @ 1.3616h−$85.03-4.90%stop loss
150short2026-01-19 04:00 @ 1.982026-02-14 04:00 @ 1.3526d$507.23+31.52%signal
149long2026-01-01 20:00 @ 2.002026-01-09 12:00 @ 2.087d 16h$56.50+3.54%signal
148long2025-12-28 00:00 @ 1.912025-12-29 12:00 @ 1.821d 12h−$74.50-4.62%stop loss
147short2025-12-11 16:00 @ 2.022025-12-27 16:00 @ 1.8016d$165.03+10.49%signal
146short2025-11-17 20:00 @ 2.652025-12-04 00:00 @ 2.3616d 4h$157.31+10.26%signal
145long2025-11-07 20:00 @ 3.262025-11-12 12:00 @ 3.024d 16h−$114.94-7.36%stop loss
144short2025-11-03 08:00 @ 2.772025-11-07 04:00 @ 2.793d 20h−$21.88-1.40%signal
143short2025-10-30 20:00 @ 2.792025-11-01 12:00 @ 2.951d 16h−$93.46-5.87%stop loss
142long2025-10-27 00:00 @ 3.192025-10-28 16:00 @ 3.071d 16h−$61.47-3.83%stop loss
141short2025-10-10 20:00 @ 3.932025-10-20 08:00 @ 3.099d 12h$312.52+20.45%signal
140long2025-10-02 00:00 @ 4.122025-10-05 20:00 @ 4.103d 20h−$13.15-0.86%signal
139short2025-09-22 08:00 @ 3.982025-09-29 00:00 @ 4.006d 16h−$6.86-0.45%signal
138long2025-09-07 16:00 @ 3.972025-09-21 16:00 @ 4.2814d$111.06+7.38%signal
137short2025-09-01 04:00 @ 3.682025-09-01 08:00 @ 3.854h−$70.20-4.61%stop loss
136long2025-08-23 20:00 @ 4.242025-08-24 08:00 @ 4.0412h−$75.18-4.88%stop loss
135short2025-08-19 16:00 @ 3.772025-08-22 12:00 @ 3.982d 20h−$85.45-5.47%stop loss
134long2025-08-13 12:00 @ 4.262025-08-14 12:00 @ 4.051d−$79.33-5.01%stop loss
133long2025-08-08 20:00 @ 3.992025-08-11 20:00 @ 3.823d−$70.05-4.38%stop loss
132short2025-07-29 20:00 @ 3.852025-08-07 12:00 @ 3.798d 16h$27.76+1.74%signal
131long2025-07-10 20:00 @ 3.712025-07-23 16:00 @ 4.2412d 20h$210.17+13.64%signal
130long2025-07-03 08:00 @ 3.652025-07-03 12:00 @ 3.514h−$64.74-4.16%stop loss
129short2025-06-19 08:00 @ 3.572025-06-30 00:00 @ 3.5410d 16h$10.03+0.65%signal
128long2025-06-10 12:00 @ 4.232025-06-12 04:00 @ 4.071d 16h−$61.27-3.90%stop loss
127short2025-05-30 00:00 @ 4.332025-06-10 00:00 @ 4.1511d$63.05+4.06%signal
126short2025-05-25 16:00 @ 4.412025-05-28 12:00 @ 4.652d 20h−$87.66-5.56%stop loss
125short2025-05-19 08:00 @ 4.502025-05-21 16:00 @ 4.812d 8h−$112.72-7.03%stop loss
124long2025-05-09 00:00 @ 4.462025-05-15 08:00 @ 4.766d 8h$102.68+6.51%signal
123short2025-05-04 12:00 @ 3.962025-05-08 00:00 @ 4.123d 12h−$65.02-4.08%stop loss
122long2025-04-23 00:00 @ 4.012025-05-04 04:00 @ 4.0011d 4h−$8.40-0.53%signal
121long2025-04-20 00:00 @ 3.882025-04-22 00:00 @ 3.732d−$65.71-4.07%stop loss
120short2025-03-28 08:00 @ 4.302025-04-19 20:00 @ 3.7822d 12h$188.33+12.02%signal
119long2025-03-19 04:00 @ 4.522025-03-28 04:00 @ 4.319d−$78.25-4.93%stop loss
118short2025-03-10 20:00 @ 3.932025-03-14 12:00 @ 4.163d 16h−$96.78-6.01%signal
117short2025-02-25 00:00 @ 4.412025-02-25 20:00 @ 4.6820h−$101.65-6.22%stop loss
116long2025-02-12 20:00 @ 5.282025-02-16 04:00 @ 4.973d 8h−$99.42-5.99%signal
115short2025-02-02 20:00 @ 5.292025-02-11 04:00 @ 4.988d 8h$93.08+5.69%signal
114short2025-01-27 04:00 @ 5.982025-01-30 16:00 @ 6.223d 12h−$65.71-3.97%signal
113long2025-01-17 20:00 @ 7.482025-01-18 04:00 @ 7.078h−$93.28-5.56%stop loss
112short2025-01-13 08:00 @ 6.402025-01-15 04:00 @ 6.801d 20h−$107.67-6.32%stop loss
111long2025-01-03 12:00 @ 7.692025-01-07 12:00 @ 7.274d−$98.14-5.68%stop loss
110short2024-12-30 16:00 @ 6.612025-01-01 20:00 @ 7.062d 4h−$121.39-6.90%stop loss
109short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 6.962024-12-21 04:00 @ 7.701d 8h−$193.71-10.72%stop loss
108long2024-11-22 04:00 @ 6.172024-12-09 08:00 @ 9.8817d 4h$920.75+58.40%signal
107long2024-11-08 08:00 @ 4.322024-11-14 16:00 @ 4.836d 8h$172.88+11.27%signal
106short2024-10-25 20:00 @ 4.092024-11-06 04:00 @ 4.0811d 8h$8.13+0.53%signal
105long2024-10-20 16:00 @ 4.552024-10-21 12:00 @ 4.4020h−$52.49-3.40%stop loss
104long2024-10-14 08:00 @ 4.272024-10-17 20:00 @ 4.183d 12h−$37.72-2.43%signal
103short2024-10-01 20:00 @ 4.162024-10-07 04:00 @ 4.255d 8h−$34.09-2.18%signal
102long2024-09-24 12:00 @ 4.592024-09-30 12:00 @ 4.636d$8.49+0.54%signal
101short2024-09-18 16:00 @ 3.992024-09-18 20:00 @ 4.154h−$66.49-4.22%stop loss
100long2024-09-13 16:00 @ 4.422024-09-16 00:00 @ 4.282d 8h−$53.36-3.36%stop loss
99long2024-09-09 20:00 @ 4.322024-09-11 04:00 @ 4.161d 8h−$62.55-3.89%stop loss
98short2024-08-30 16:00 @ 4.122024-09-08 12:00 @ 4.198d 20h−$30.47-1.89%signal
97long2024-08-21 20:00 @ 4.732024-08-26 16:00 @ 4.654d 20h−$28.76-1.77%signal
96short2024-07-23 16:00 @ 5.942024-08-09 00:00 @ 4.8816d 8h$274.52+17.69%signal
95long2024-07-15 04:00 @ 6.512024-07-16 04:00 @ 6.261d−$63.36-4.04%stop loss
94short2024-07-05 00:00 @ 5.552024-07-06 08:00 @ 5.921d 8h−$108.11-6.78%stop loss
93long2024-06-27 16:00 @ 6.292024-07-03 20:00 @ 6.016d 4h−$74.24-4.60%stop loss
92short2024-06-18 04:00 @ 5.762024-06-25 12:00 @ 5.867d 8h−$30.78-1.90%signal
91short2024-06-07 20:00 @ 6.582024-06-12 16:00 @ 6.704d 20h−$30.46-1.87%signal
90long2024-05-27 16:00 @ 7.732024-05-28 04:00 @ 7.4312h−$67.23-4.08%stop loss
89long2024-05-20 20:00 @ 7.412024-05-23 12:00 @ 7.142d 16h−$64.37-3.87%stop loss
88long2024-05-17 08:00 @ 7.272024-05-19 12:00 @ 6.992d 4h−$67.83-4.04%stop loss
87short2024-05-11 12:00 @ 6.672024-05-15 16:00 @ 6.864d 4h−$48.80-2.89%signal
86short2024-04-30 12:00 @ 6.272024-05-01 12:00 @ 6.601d−$93.94-5.48%stop loss
85long2024-04-22 08:00 @ 7.432024-04-24 16:00 @ 7.002d 8h−$103.48-5.95%stop loss
84short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 6.912024-04-20 16:00 @ 6.977d 20h−$16.29-0.93%signal
83short2024-04-02 04:00 @ 8.752024-04-08 08:00 @ 8.796d 4h−$4.97-0.28%signal
82short2024-03-17 00:00 @ 9.692024-03-25 16:00 @ 9.748d 16h−$5.06-0.29%signal
81long2024-03-14 00:00 @ 11.392024-03-15 00:00 @ 10.641d−$120.77-6.80%stop loss
80long2024-03-11 20:00 @ 11.052024-03-12 16:00 @ 10.3220h−$124.06-6.86%stop loss
79long2024-03-02 04:00 @ 8.972024-03-05 16:00 @ 8.453d 12h−$124.14-6.75%stop loss
78long2024-02-28 00:00 @ 8.382024-02-28 16:00 @ 8.0116h−$85.48-4.59%stop loss
77long2024-02-20 00:00 @ 8.042024-02-20 08:00 @ 7.698h−$85.97-4.57%stop loss
76long2024-02-09 12:00 @ 7.162024-02-17 16:00 @ 7.478d 4h$71.22+3.82%signal
75long2024-01-29 20:00 @ 7.112024-01-31 00:00 @ 6.771d 4h−$90.16-4.78%stop loss
74short2024-01-22 16:00 @ 6.522024-01-26 12:00 @ 6.603d 20h−$23.77-1.26%signal
73short2024-01-03 16:00 @ 7.762024-01-11 00:00 @ 7.997d 8h−$55.03-2.89%signal
72long2023-12-24 04:00 @ 8.812023-12-29 00:00 @ 8.224d 20h−$137.23-7.07%stop loss
71long2023-12-21 20:00 @ 8.252023-12-23 00:00 @ 7.751d 4h−$125.10-6.34%stop loss
70long2023-11-30 16:00 @ 5.492023-12-18 00:00 @ 6.7917d 8h$424.17+22.73%signal
69short2023-11-22 00:00 @ 4.852023-11-22 16:00 @ 5.1716h−$125.74-6.63%stop loss
68long2023-10-23 04:00 @ 4.032023-11-14 20:00 @ 5.1422d 16h$476.64+26.80%signal
67long2023-10-21 20:00 @ 3.942023-10-22 04:00 @ 3.828h−$52.60-2.94%stop loss
66short2023-10-09 12:00 @ 3.842023-10-16 08:00 @ 3.806d 20h$11.13+0.62%signal
65long2023-10-01 08:00 @ 4.142023-10-02 16:00 @ 4.061d 8h−$35.97-2.00%stop loss
64short2023-09-11 12:00 @ 4.002023-09-15 12:00 @ 4.124d−$57.57-3.18%stop loss
63long2023-08-29 00:00 @ 4.612023-08-31 00:00 @ 4.492d−$45.97-2.52%stop loss
62short2023-08-15 20:00 @ 4.772023-08-28 16:00 @ 4.5712d 20h$65.09+3.60%signal
61short2023-07-31 20:00 @ 5.072023-08-02 00:00 @ 5.211d 4h−$52.76-2.90%stop loss
60long2023-07-13 20:00 @ 5.522023-07-14 16:00 @ 5.3320h−$67.06-3.65%stop loss
59long2023-07-01 12:00 @ 5.302023-07-05 12:00 @ 5.204d−$39.83-2.16%signal
58long2023-06-21 20:00 @ 4.802023-06-28 20:00 @ 4.877d$22.73+1.23%signal
57short2023-06-10 04:00 @ 4.812023-06-14 20:00 @ 4.724d 16h$25.60+1.40%signal
56short2023-06-05 16:00 @ 5.022023-06-06 16:00 @ 5.171d−$59.16-3.20%stop loss
55long2023-05-29 00:00 @ 5.502023-05-31 04:00 @ 5.382d 4h−$44.71-2.40%stop loss
54short2023-05-08 04:00 @ 5.462023-05-18 04:00 @ 5.4610d$1.98+0.11%signal
53short2023-04-26 20:00 @ 5.762023-04-27 16:00 @ 6.0420h−$95.47-5.07%stop loss
52short2023-04-20 20:00 @ 6.102023-04-26 12:00 @ 6.085d 16h$6.41+0.34%signal
51long2023-04-14 00:00 @ 6.642023-04-19 08:00 @ 6.425d 8h−$65.67-3.46%stop loss
50long2023-04-05 04:00 @ 6.562023-04-06 00:00 @ 6.3120h−$75.85-3.95%stop loss
49long2023-04-03 20:00 @ 6.452023-04-03 20:00 @ 6.180m−$81.77-4.22%stop loss
48long2023-04-02 04:00 @ 6.402023-04-02 16:00 @ 6.1812h−$69.37-3.55%stop loss
47short2023-03-25 20:00 @ 5.842023-03-29 04:00 @ 6.143d 8h−$103.26-5.21%stop loss
46long2023-03-18 00:00 @ 6.622023-03-20 04:00 @ 6.232d 4h−$120.60-5.99%stop loss
45long2023-03-14 16:00 @ 6.512023-03-14 20:00 @ 6.144h−$118.57-5.81%stop loss
44short2023-03-03 04:00 @ 6.032023-03-13 00:00 @ 5.899d 20h$42.37+2.09%signal
43long2023-02-17 20:00 @ 7.382023-02-22 08:00 @ 7.004d 12h−$111.74-5.43%stop loss
42long2023-02-02 20:00 @ 6.722023-02-07 00:00 @ 6.494d 4h−$74.02-3.56%signal
41long2023-01-08 16:00 @ 4.752023-01-30 20:00 @ 6.1422d 4h$554.96+28.62%signal
40long2023-01-04 04:00 @ 4.682023-01-05 08:00 @ 4.561d 4h−$50.68-2.60%stop loss
39short2022-12-28 08:00 @ 4.352023-01-02 04:00 @ 4.444d 20h−$41.38-2.11%signal
38short2022-12-17 00:00 @ 4.652022-12-27 00:00 @ 4.5710d$26.15+1.34%signal
37short2022-12-12 00:00 @ 5.162022-12-13 12:00 @ 5.291d 12h−$54.15-2.75%stop loss
36long2022-12-02 12:00 @ 5.612022-12-07 04:00 @ 5.404d 16h−$73.41-3.69%stop loss
35short2022-11-21 00:00 @ 5.292022-12-02 08:00 @ 5.5211d 8h−$103.90-5.16%stop loss
34short2022-11-10 00:00 @ 5.412022-11-10 12:00 @ 6.0212h−$235.76-11.38%stop loss
33long2022-11-07 20:00 @ 7.342022-11-08 00:00 @ 6.964h−$111.82-5.32%stop loss
32long2022-11-04 20:00 @ 6.992022-11-07 04:00 @ 6.672d 8h−$97.54-4.59%stop loss
31long2022-10-29 04:00 @ 6.662022-11-02 00:00 @ 6.453d 20h−$71.11-3.32%signal
30long2022-10-25 20:00 @ 6.542022-10-27 20:00 @ 6.312d−$79.01-3.65%stop loss
29short2022-10-13 04:00 @ 6.092022-10-17 20:00 @ 6.284d 16h−$72.66-3.33%stop loss
28short2022-09-19 00:00 @ 6.442022-09-27 04:00 @ 6.758d 4h−$114.80-5.20%signal
27long2022-09-09 08:00 @ 7.712022-09-13 12:00 @ 7.334d 4h−$113.50-5.07%stop loss
26long2022-09-05 04:00 @ 7.582022-09-05 16:00 @ 7.2612h−$98.22-4.34%stop loss
25short2022-08-27 00:00 @ 6.922022-08-30 04:00 @ 7.333d 4h−$145.99-6.35%stop loss
24short2022-08-17 16:00 @ 8.402022-08-23 12:00 @ 7.625d 20h$194.86+8.66%signal
23long2022-08-10 16:00 @ 9.532022-08-14 16:00 @ 8.964d−$136.86-5.99%stop loss
22long2022-08-08 12:00 @ 9.322022-08-09 12:00 @ 8.811d−$129.99-5.61%stop loss
21long2022-07-29 04:00 @ 8.132022-08-02 04:00 @ 7.684d−$130.43-5.55%signal
20short2022-07-26 00:00 @ 6.752022-07-27 16:00 @ 7.211d 16h−$172.84-7.23%stop loss
19long2022-07-18 08:00 @ 7.522022-07-23 12:00 @ 7.165d 4h−$112.76-4.66%signal
18short2022-07-12 00:00 @ 6.522022-07-15 08:00 @ 6.883d 8h−$145.10-5.91%stop loss
17short2022-06-30 04:00 @ 6.922022-07-04 16:00 @ 6.994d 12h−$38.18-1.55%signal
16long2022-06-26 12:00 @ 8.382022-06-27 16:00 @ 7.791d 4h−$177.26-7.06%stop loss
15short2022-06-07 04:00 @ 9.082022-06-16 00:00 @ 8.498d 20h$132.58+5.35%signal
14short2022-05-26 12:00 @ 9.192022-05-27 12:00 @ 9.981d−$222.00-8.77%stop loss
13short2022-05-08 00:00 @ 13.732022-05-16 00:00 @ 11.808d$331.03+13.51%signal
12short2022-04-26 20:00 @ 16.832022-05-04 20:00 @ 16.058d$100.01+4.12%signal
11long2022-04-20 12:00 @ 19.262022-04-21 20:00 @ 18.401d 8h−$112.53-4.59%stop loss
10short2022-04-06 16:00 @ 20.312022-04-20 08:00 @ 19.1113d 16h$131.12+5.42%signal
9long2022-03-17 00:00 @ 19.042022-03-31 20:00 @ 21.2914d 20h$283.66+12.07%signal
8short2022-03-07 20:00 @ 16.102022-03-09 00:00 @ 17.291d 4h−$181.26-7.57%stop loss
7long2022-03-01 00:00 @ 18.922022-03-04 00:00 @ 17.303d−$211.33-8.63%stop loss
6short2022-02-19 12:00 @ 17.522022-02-26 04:00 @ 17.906d 16h−$64.31-2.61%signal
5long2022-02-05 04:00 @ 21.752022-02-11 00:00 @ 20.495d 20h−$142.38-5.70%signal
4long2022-02-02 04:00 @ 20.302022-02-02 16:00 @ 18.9712h−$168.46-6.63%stop loss
3short2022-01-21 00:00 @ 22.972022-01-31 20:00 @ 19.0910d 20h$395.41+16.19%signal
2long2022-01-15 20:00 @ 28.252022-01-17 00:00 @ 26.511d 4h−$154.54-6.23%stop loss
1short2022-01-07 08:00 @ 24.932022-01-11 20:00 @ 25.674d 12h−$75.79-3.03%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

← Browse other results