[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

LTCUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,195 bars in 10.8ms

Net P&L
-27.34%
−$2,734.16
Max drawdown
-41.60%
Max run-up
+22.29%
Trades
150
27.3% win rate
Profit factor
0.73
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -41.60%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19-17.76%-32.90%8827%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-7.43%-21.93%3030%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-4.56%-9.63%3225%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.43
Sortino
-0.63
Calmar
-0.16
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.66
CAGR
-6.62%
Exposure
46.5%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$18.23 · -0.79%
Average win / loss
$176.03 / −$91.30
Payoff ratio
1.93
Largest win / loss
$633.27 / −$353.18
Longest losing streak(winning: 5)
14 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-41.60%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
1541 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$327.24
Funding
−$234.54
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-66.86%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 150 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-48.30%-27.34%+3.01%
Max drawdown-50.61%-33.87%-17.93%

93% of histories lost money, and 23% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -41.60%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

LTCUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

150 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
150short2026-08-31 00:00 @ 47.892026-09-01 00:00 @ 48.961d−$42.31-2.32%end of data
149long2026-08-19 16:00 @ 45.682026-08-26 00:00 @ 49.936d 8h$160.87+9.00%signal
148short2026-08-14 16:00 @ 43.882026-08-16 12:00 @ 44.661d 20h−$33.60-1.87%stop loss
147long2026-08-09 12:00 @ 46.262026-08-09 20:00 @ 45.488h−$32.11-1.78%stop loss
146short2026-08-01 00:00 @ 44.272026-08-06 00:00 @ 45.455d−$49.89-2.75%stop loss
145long2026-07-18 16:00 @ 46.232026-07-29 04:00 @ 45.2810d 12h−$42.08-2.30%signal
144long2026-07-03 20:00 @ 44.282026-07-08 04:00 @ 43.444d 8h−$37.84-2.06%signal
143short2026-06-23 16:00 @ 41.922026-06-27 08:00 @ 42.433d 16h−$24.50-1.33%signal
142long2026-06-15 00:00 @ 45.372026-06-18 08:00 @ 43.953d 8h−$60.46-3.26%stop loss
141short2026-05-18 00:00 @ 54.522026-06-13 12:00 @ 43.7726d 12h$348.12+19.67%signal
140long2026-05-08 20:00 @ 58.442026-05-12 16:00 @ 57.243d 20h−$39.24-2.20%signal
139long2026-04-16 16:00 @ 55.852026-04-19 20:00 @ 54.423d 4h−$48.21-2.69%stop loss
138long2026-04-08 00:00 @ 55.362026-04-08 16:00 @ 54.0316h−$45.55-2.53%stop loss
137short2026-04-02 12:00 @ 51.652026-04-03 16:00 @ 53.241d 4h−$57.88-3.18%stop loss
136short2026-03-22 12:00 @ 53.882026-03-23 08:00 @ 55.4320h−$54.94-3.00%stop loss
135long2026-03-16 08:00 @ 57.402026-03-18 12:00 @ 55.812d 4h−$53.88-2.92%stop loss
134long2026-02-25 16:00 @ 57.792026-02-26 12:00 @ 55.3520h−$80.99-4.34%stop loss
133short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 51.312026-02-25 08:00 @ 53.312d 4h−$75.91-4.03%stop loss
132short2026-01-30 04:00 @ 63.942026-02-13 16:00 @ 54.3414d 12h$270.72+14.90%signal
131short2026-01-12 00:00 @ 78.742026-01-25 12:00 @ 69.9713d 12h$197.23+11.16%signal
130long2026-01-02 20:00 @ 81.292026-01-11 20:00 @ 79.049d−$53.42-3.00%stop loss
129long2025-12-28 00:00 @ 80.302025-12-28 20:00 @ 77.8720h−$56.38-3.14%stop loss
128short2025-12-14 16:00 @ 78.852025-12-27 16:00 @ 78.6813d$4.35+0.24%signal
127short2025-12-01 04:00 @ 77.962025-12-02 12:00 @ 81.261d 8h−$79.04-4.36%stop loss
126short2025-11-17 20:00 @ 91.892025-11-24 20:00 @ 86.007d$113.22+6.34%signal
125long2025-11-10 00:00 @ 110.242025-11-11 12:00 @ 101.391d 12h−$148.63-8.16%stop loss
124long2025-11-09 00:00 @ 106.912025-11-09 08:00 @ 99.028h−$138.87-7.48%stop loss
123short2025-11-03 16:00 @ 87.632025-11-07 12:00 @ 92.753d 20h−$112.45-5.97%stop loss
122long2025-10-26 12:00 @ 98.632025-10-28 20:00 @ 95.432d 8h−$64.01-3.37%stop loss
121short2025-10-11 00:00 @ 96.772025-10-20 08:00 @ 95.089d 8h$31.55+1.67%signal
120long2025-10-10 00:00 @ 125.862025-10-10 20:00 @ 120.2020h−$88.51-4.62%stop loss
119long2025-10-01 16:00 @ 111.302025-10-07 16:00 @ 116.066d$75.85+4.00%signal
118short2025-09-22 04:00 @ 111.302025-09-28 20:00 @ 105.606d 16h$95.21+5.08%signal
117long2025-09-13 12:00 @ 120.612025-09-14 00:00 @ 117.0812h−$57.44-3.04%stop loss
116short2025-08-25 12:00 @ 111.402025-09-03 16:00 @ 112.829d 4h−$22.90-1.21%signal
115short2025-08-19 08:00 @ 114.952025-08-22 12:00 @ 120.443d 4h−$92.44-4.83%stop loss
114long2025-07-10 20:00 @ 92.542025-08-15 16:00 @ 117.5235d 20h$463.42+25.75%signal
113long2025-07-03 08:00 @ 91.052025-07-04 00:00 @ 88.2116h−$58.95-3.25%stop loss
112long2025-06-28 16:00 @ 86.482025-07-01 16:00 @ 84.283d−$49.24-2.70%signal
111short2025-06-22 00:00 @ 80.192025-06-23 20:00 @ 83.311d 20h−$73.41-3.98%stop loss
110long2025-06-10 12:00 @ 91.582025-06-12 08:00 @ 88.531d 20h−$64.86-3.48%stop loss
109short2025-05-30 04:00 @ 91.692025-06-10 00:00 @ 90.7110d 20h$20.74+1.12%signal
108short2025-05-20 08:00 @ 93.832025-05-22 00:00 @ 99.531d 16h−$116.30-6.17%stop loss
107long2025-05-09 00:00 @ 94.952025-05-15 08:00 @ 95.646d 8h$8.47+0.45%signal
106long2025-05-07 00:00 @ 91.592025-05-07 16:00 @ 87.1816h−$94.17-4.94%stop loss
105long2025-05-01 20:00 @ 89.262025-05-03 16:00 @ 85.641d 20h−$80.14-4.16%stop loss
104long2025-04-22 16:00 @ 82.582025-04-30 16:00 @ 82.788d$0.35+0.02%signal
103short2025-03-28 08:00 @ 88.282025-04-12 16:00 @ 79.0215d 8h$198.03+10.55%signal
102long2025-03-26 12:00 @ 96.102025-03-26 16:00 @ 92.414h−$74.69-3.94%stop loss
101short2025-03-04 04:00 @ 104.092025-03-15 12:00 @ 93.8411d 8h$181.91+9.83%signal
100short2025-02-25 00:00 @ 114.662025-02-26 08:00 @ 124.081d 8h−$157.62-8.34%stop loss
99long2025-02-11 04:00 @ 126.512025-02-12 00:00 @ 117.8820h−$133.49-6.94%stop loss
98short2025-02-03 04:00 @ 93.272025-02-03 16:00 @ 105.9012h−$271.89-13.66%stop loss
97long2025-01-30 16:00 @ 131.152025-02-01 12:00 @ 122.161d 20h−$141.95-7.00%stop loss
96short2025-01-27 08:00 @ 109.602025-01-29 20:00 @ 118.012d 12h−$159.81-7.73%stop loss
95long2025-01-16 04:00 @ 118.772025-01-19 20:00 @ 112.053d 16h−$123.24-5.88%stop loss
94short2025-01-13 12:00 @ 93.912025-01-14 00:00 @ 99.3812h−$126.26-5.93%stop loss
93long2025-01-03 20:00 @ 113.292025-01-07 12:00 @ 108.013d 16h−$104.96-4.87%stop loss
92short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 97.012024-12-24 00:00 @ 106.724d 4h−$220.99-10.00%signal
91long2024-12-01 16:00 @ 108.812024-12-09 08:00 @ 127.087d 16h$333.29+15.67%signal
90long2024-11-09 12:00 @ 73.682024-11-26 12:00 @ 90.3817d$433.79+21.49%signal
89short2024-11-03 16:00 @ 65.892024-11-06 00:00 @ 68.412d 8h−$78.44-3.85%stop loss
88long2024-10-15 20:00 @ 69.712024-10-21 16:00 @ 71.375d 20h$42.38+2.09%signal
87short2024-10-01 16:00 @ 65.242024-10-05 16:00 @ 66.134d−$28.74-1.41%signal
86long2024-09-21 20:00 @ 66.912024-09-30 12:00 @ 67.248d 16h$3.29+0.16%signal
85short2024-09-08 16:00 @ 60.572024-09-12 16:00 @ 63.024d−$85.17-4.14%stop loss
84long2024-09-05 08:00 @ 68.242024-09-05 12:00 @ 65.324h−$91.10-4.38%stop loss
83short2024-08-28 00:00 @ 60.332024-08-29 12:00 @ 62.751d 12h−$86.63-4.13%stop loss
82long2024-08-15 12:00 @ 65.242024-08-20 16:00 @ 63.615d 4h−$56.37-2.67%signal
81short2024-08-01 20:00 @ 67.162024-08-08 20:00 @ 59.777d$225.56+10.96%signal
80long2024-07-29 08:00 @ 74.912024-07-30 16:00 @ 72.331d 8h−$74.43-3.59%stop loss
79short2024-07-25 04:00 @ 68.682024-07-26 04:00 @ 71.441d−$86.08-4.10%stop loss
78long2024-07-15 04:00 @ 70.832024-07-19 12:00 @ 70.184d 8h−$22.88-1.09%signal
77short2024-07-05 00:00 @ 65.362024-07-08 12:00 @ 65.953d 12h−$21.06-1.00%signal
76long2024-06-29 20:00 @ 75.672024-07-03 12:00 @ 74.063d 16h−$49.06-2.31%signal
75short2024-06-07 20:00 @ 79.452024-06-27 20:00 @ 72.8920d$179.65+8.65%signal
74long2024-05-17 08:00 @ 83.512024-05-23 20:00 @ 81.166d 12h−$64.99-3.11%stop loss
73short2024-04-30 12:00 @ 79.642024-05-06 04:00 @ 83.355d 16h−$98.07-4.63%stop loss
72long2024-04-24 08:00 @ 86.882024-04-24 16:00 @ 83.468h−$86.46-4.04%stop loss
71short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 85.772024-04-20 16:00 @ 83.807d 20h$50.66+2.38%signal
70long2024-03-25 16:00 @ 91.222024-04-02 04:00 @ 96.137d 12h$87.86+4.18%signal
69long2024-03-11 16:00 @ 101.302024-03-12 16:00 @ 94.491d−$152.17-7.11%stop loss
68long2024-02-27 00:00 @ 72.042024-03-05 20:00 @ 77.557d 20h$120.12+5.69%signal
67long2024-02-09 00:00 @ 70.522024-02-13 12:00 @ 68.904d 12h−$54.19-2.55%stop loss
66short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 64.832024-01-27 16:00 @ 68.044d 4h−$105.94-4.92%stop loss
65long2024-01-12 12:00 @ 75.182024-01-12 20:00 @ 71.148h−$119.47-5.48%stop loss
64short2024-01-03 16:00 @ 65.852024-01-08 20:00 @ 67.225d 4h−$44.58-2.03%signal
63long2023-12-27 12:00 @ 75.392023-12-30 00:00 @ 72.552d 12h−$93.32-4.21%stop loss
62short2023-12-18 12:00 @ 68.762023-12-19 00:00 @ 71.3612h−$86.59-3.87%stop loss
61long2023-12-02 20:00 @ 72.462023-12-11 00:00 @ 70.808d 4h−$63.93-2.84%stop loss
60short2023-11-22 00:00 @ 66.162023-11-23 04:00 @ 69.431d 4h−$114.45-5.01%stop loss
59long2023-11-05 04:00 @ 71.452023-11-09 16:00 @ 68.934d 12h−$87.27-3.79%stop loss
58long2023-10-23 20:00 @ 67.132023-10-27 16:00 @ 64.853d 20h−$84.28-3.62%stop loss
57short2023-10-11 16:00 @ 61.442023-10-16 04:00 @ 63.014d 12h−$61.17-2.61%stop loss
56long2023-10-01 12:00 @ 67.382023-10-02 16:00 @ 65.701d 4h−$61.82-2.62%stop loss
55long2023-09-16 00:00 @ 65.862023-09-17 00:00 @ 63.581d−$85.51-3.60%stop loss
54short2023-09-11 20:00 @ 58.072023-09-12 00:00 @ 60.094h−$85.90-3.58%stop loss
53short2023-08-17 00:00 @ 74.522023-08-29 16:00 @ 68.1912d 16h$195.71+8.33%signal
52short2023-08-04 00:00 @ 82.492023-08-08 16:00 @ 83.994d 16h−$42.43-1.80%signal
51short2023-07-24 12:00 @ 88.992023-07-29 20:00 @ 92.465d 8h−$93.11-3.91%stop loss
50short2023-07-17 12:00 @ 91.012023-07-20 12:00 @ 94.333d−$88.15-3.66%signal
49long2023-06-30 20:00 @ 105.402023-07-05 12:00 @ 102.444d 16h−$74.11-3.06%signal
48long2023-06-30 04:00 @ 95.862023-06-30 12:00 @ 90.908h−$129.82-5.28%stop loss
47long2023-06-20 20:00 @ 79.882023-06-28 08:00 @ 84.717d 12h$138.50+5.72%signal
46short2023-06-10 08:00 @ 77.062023-06-18 20:00 @ 78.118d 12h−$33.54-1.38%signal
45short2023-06-05 16:00 @ 85.962023-06-06 16:00 @ 89.991d−$117.14-4.76%stop loss
44long2023-06-01 16:00 @ 94.922023-06-05 12:00 @ 91.623d 20h−$91.75-3.70%stop loss
43long2023-05-15 16:00 @ 88.142023-05-24 04:00 @ 89.218d 12h$22.91+0.93%signal
42short2023-05-06 16:00 @ 82.022023-05-14 16:00 @ 83.528d−$44.50-1.79%signal
41short2023-04-20 00:00 @ 90.402023-04-25 12:00 @ 89.145d 12h$34.60+1.40%signal
40long2023-04-18 12:00 @ 103.132023-04-19 08:00 @ 99.2020h−$98.59-3.94%stop loss
39long2023-04-16 16:00 @ 101.362023-04-17 00:00 @ 97.648h−$96.10-3.80%stop loss
38long2023-04-14 04:00 @ 97.712023-04-14 12:00 @ 94.548h−$85.46-3.35%stop loss
37long2023-04-11 08:00 @ 96.362023-04-12 00:00 @ 93.3716h−$82.88-3.22%stop loss
36long2023-03-23 12:00 @ 90.762023-03-28 04:00 @ 86.494d 16h−$127.75-4.91%signal
35short2023-03-03 04:00 @ 88.712023-03-13 16:00 @ 81.1110d 12h$219.25+8.61%signal
34long2023-02-16 00:00 @ 102.842023-02-16 20:00 @ 98.7020h−$106.81-4.15%stop loss
33short2023-02-09 20:00 @ 91.672023-02-15 04:00 @ 96.055d 8h−$123.78-4.75%stop loss
32long2023-01-09 00:00 @ 78.702023-02-05 16:00 @ 96.7627d 16h$540.32+21.88%signal
31long2023-01-02 08:00 @ 74.802023-01-06 08:00 @ 73.254d−$56.24-2.26%signal
30long2022-12-26 00:00 @ 69.112022-12-28 16:00 @ 66.972d 16h−$80.69-3.22%stop loss
29short2022-12-15 20:00 @ 72.702022-12-25 20:00 @ 67.2910d$182.23+7.41%signal
28long2022-12-05 08:00 @ 83.312022-12-05 20:00 @ 79.5012h−$116.62-4.69%stop loss
27long2022-11-22 16:00 @ 70.332022-11-28 04:00 @ 72.425d 12h$67.05+2.71%signal
26short2022-11-10 00:00 @ 50.632022-11-10 12:00 @ 57.5412h−$353.18-13.80%stop loss
25long2022-10-23 20:00 @ 53.122022-11-08 04:00 @ 64.5315d 8h$510.47+20.99%signal
24short2022-10-13 08:00 @ 50.812022-10-22 16:00 @ 52.219d 8h−$68.01-2.78%signal
23short2022-09-19 00:00 @ 52.602022-09-24 04:00 @ 55.925d 4h−$160.62-6.45%stop loss
22long2022-09-13 12:00 @ 66.332022-09-13 12:00 @ 62.530m−$147.11-5.83%stop loss
21long2022-09-10 16:00 @ 64.062022-09-12 00:00 @ 60.891d 8h−$130.29-5.09%stop loss
20long2022-09-02 16:00 @ 61.572022-09-06 16:00 @ 57.984d−$154.90-5.96%stop loss
19short2022-08-19 08:00 @ 55.912022-09-01 20:00 @ 56.7613d 12h−$41.27-1.58%signal
18long2022-08-13 16:00 @ 65.362022-08-14 16:00 @ 62.651d−$112.88-4.28%stop loss
17long2022-07-28 16:00 @ 61.982022-08-01 12:00 @ 58.523d 20h−$155.11-5.80%stop loss
16short2022-07-26 04:00 @ 53.532022-07-27 16:00 @ 56.681d 12h−$162.55-5.99%stop loss
15long2022-07-17 00:00 @ 55.062022-07-23 12:00 @ 54.856d 12h−$18.78-0.69%signal
14short2022-07-13 00:00 @ 47.262022-07-14 12:00 @ 49.881d 12h−$156.21-5.66%stop loss
13short2022-07-05 16:00 @ 48.292022-07-07 12:00 @ 51.431d 20h−$183.98-6.56%stop loss
12long2022-06-25 20:00 @ 58.702022-06-28 00:00 @ 54.542d 4h−$205.84-7.21%stop loss
11short2022-06-10 16:00 @ 57.432022-06-19 20:00 @ 55.139d 4h$106.67+3.77%signal
10short2022-05-09 12:00 @ 87.982022-05-30 08:00 @ 66.8220d 20h$633.27+23.71%signal
9long2022-05-04 20:00 @ 106.502022-05-05 12:00 @ 101.9516h−$118.51-4.39%stop loss
8short2022-04-25 04:00 @ 101.802022-05-04 12:00 @ 102.659d 8h−$22.68-0.84%signal
7short2022-04-06 04:00 @ 119.942022-04-17 00:00 @ 114.3210d 20h$123.96+4.63%signal
6long2022-03-18 20:00 @ 112.362022-03-31 16:00 @ 123.9912d 20h$258.43+9.90%signal
5short2022-02-17 20:00 @ 118.092022-03-01 04:00 @ 112.538d 8h$115.50+4.47%signal
4long2022-02-04 20:00 @ 118.272022-02-11 20:00 @ 129.147d$227.89+9.03%signal
3short2022-01-21 04:00 @ 122.222022-02-01 20:00 @ 113.9911d 16h$164.80+6.64%signal
2long2022-01-15 04:00 @ 147.162022-01-18 12:00 @ 141.883d 8h−$94.52-3.77%signal
1short2022-01-06 00:00 @ 135.192022-01-12 12:00 @ 133.726d 12h$29.07+1.16%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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