[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

ADAUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,225 bars in 34.7ms

Net P&L
+27.49%
$2,749.43
Max drawdown
-22.04%
Max run-up
+51.86%
Trades
156
32.1% win rate
Profit factor
1.20
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -22.04%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+1.26%-22.04%9229%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25+21.66%-20.31%2839%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01+3.49%-14.36%3633%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.38
Sortino
0.59
Calmar
0.24
Return ÷ max drawdown
1.25
CAGR
+5.34%
Exposure
50.5%

Per trade

Expectancy
$17.62 · +0.85%
Average win / loss
$335.30 / −$132.22
Payoff ratio
2.54
Largest win / loss
$3,513.75 / −$360.61
Longest losing streak(winning: 4)
12 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-22.04%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
647 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
339 days

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$445.44
Funding
−$377.90
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-84.84%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 156 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-29.58%+25.36%+174.89%
Max drawdown-41.79%-23.68%-13.34%

28% of histories lost money, and 59% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -22.04%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

ADAUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

156 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
156short2026-08-31 00:00 @ 0.192026-09-01 00:00 @ 0.201d−$141.46-4.39%end of data
155long2026-08-20 12:00 @ 0.192026-08-26 00:00 @ 0.215d 12h$251.72+7.97%signal
154short2026-08-16 00:00 @ 0.182026-08-19 12:00 @ 0.183d 12h−$104.70-3.29%stop loss
153long2026-08-02 04:00 @ 0.182026-08-11 00:00 @ 0.198d 20h$175.84+5.60%signal
152short2026-07-27 16:00 @ 0.162026-07-28 20:00 @ 0.161d 4h−$118.12-3.72%stop loss
151long2026-07-21 04:00 @ 0.172026-07-24 12:00 @ 0.173d 8h−$139.21-4.34%stop loss
150short2026-07-13 00:00 @ 0.162026-07-15 12:00 @ 0.172d 12h−$151.74-4.68%stop loss
149long2026-07-02 16:00 @ 0.162026-07-08 00:00 @ 0.175d 8h$263.30+8.28%signal
148short2026-06-22 00:00 @ 0.162026-07-01 04:00 @ 0.159d 4h$135.31+4.30%signal
147long2026-06-15 00:00 @ 0.182026-06-16 12:00 @ 0.171d 12h−$183.54-5.75%stop loss
146short2026-05-15 16:00 @ 0.262026-06-08 20:00 @ 0.1724d 4h$981.50+33.33%signal
145long2026-05-05 08:00 @ 0.262026-05-13 16:00 @ 0.268d 8h$52.79+1.80%signal
144short2026-04-29 20:00 @ 0.242026-05-01 00:00 @ 0.251d 4h−$98.35-3.33%stop loss
143long2026-04-17 16:00 @ 0.262026-04-18 08:00 @ 0.2516h−$131.18-4.39%stop loss
142short2026-04-12 16:00 @ 0.242026-04-13 20:00 @ 0.251d 4h−$125.52-4.16%stop loss
141long2026-04-08 00:00 @ 0.262026-04-08 12:00 @ 0.2512h−$131.68-4.31%stop loss
140long2026-04-06 04:00 @ 0.262026-04-06 20:00 @ 0.2516h−$120.32-3.90%stop loss
139short2026-03-27 12:00 @ 0.252026-04-06 00:00 @ 0.269d 12h−$139.01-4.46%stop loss
138short2026-03-22 00:00 @ 0.262026-03-24 08:00 @ 0.272d 8h−$143.41-4.55%stop loss
137long2026-03-16 08:00 @ 0.292026-03-18 12:00 @ 0.282d 4h−$144.89-4.54%stop loss
136short2026-03-06 16:00 @ 0.262026-03-10 12:00 @ 0.263d 20h−$106.25-3.30%signal
135long2026-02-25 20:00 @ 0.302026-02-26 16:00 @ 0.2920h−$173.31-5.32%stop loss
134short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 0.262026-02-23 12:00 @ 0.278h−$157.37-4.77%stop loss
133long2026-02-14 16:00 @ 0.292026-02-18 16:00 @ 0.274d−$171.07-5.12%stop loss
132short2026-01-30 04:00 @ 0.322026-02-14 04:00 @ 0.2815d$462.96+14.35%signal
131short2026-01-19 00:00 @ 0.382026-01-28 00:00 @ 0.369d$123.36+3.86%signal
130long2026-01-02 20:00 @ 0.392026-01-16 16:00 @ 0.3813d 20h−$72.13-2.24%signal
129short2025-12-31 20:00 @ 0.332026-01-01 12:00 @ 0.3516h−$149.32-4.59%stop loss
128short2025-12-14 12:00 @ 0.402025-12-28 00:00 @ 0.3713d 12h$262.52+8.24%signal
127long2025-12-09 16:00 @ 0.472025-12-11 00:00 @ 0.441d 8h−$169.62-5.25%stop loss
126long2025-12-03 08:00 @ 0.442025-12-05 16:00 @ 0.422d 8h−$167.49-5.12%stop loss
125short2025-12-01 04:00 @ 0.392025-12-02 12:00 @ 0.411d 8h−$178.88-5.40%stop loss
124short2025-11-15 00:00 @ 0.502025-11-24 20:00 @ 0.439d 20h$457.67+14.30%signal
123short2025-10-30 16:00 @ 0.602025-11-07 20:00 @ 0.588d 4h$119.53+3.77%signal
122short2025-10-10 16:00 @ 0.782025-10-20 08:00 @ 0.679d 16h$437.90+14.31%signal
121long2025-10-01 16:00 @ 0.842025-10-05 20:00 @ 0.834d 4h−$46.05-1.50%signal
120short2025-09-22 08:00 @ 0.822025-09-29 00:00 @ 0.816d 16h$31.09+1.01%signal
119long2025-09-08 12:00 @ 0.852025-09-15 08:00 @ 0.886d 20h$78.50+2.58%signal
118short2025-08-22 12:00 @ 0.832025-08-22 12:00 @ 0.890m−$229.75-7.41%stop loss
117long2025-08-12 20:00 @ 0.852025-08-18 12:00 @ 0.905d 16h$166.34+5.43%signal
116long2025-08-08 04:00 @ 0.802025-08-12 00:00 @ 0.773d 20h−$97.02-3.14%signal
115short2025-08-02 20:00 @ 0.692025-08-04 00:00 @ 0.741d 4h−$199.54-6.36%stop loss
114long2025-07-09 20:00 @ 0.622025-07-30 12:00 @ 0.7620d 16h$616.78+20.69%signal
113long2025-07-02 20:00 @ 0.602025-07-04 16:00 @ 0.571d 20h−$138.54-4.59%stop loss
112short2025-06-17 16:00 @ 0.612025-06-30 00:00 @ 0.5812d 8h$166.63+5.60%signal
111long2025-06-11 00:00 @ 0.722025-06-12 04:00 @ 0.691d 4h−$129.61-4.31%stop loss
110short2025-05-30 00:00 @ 0.722025-06-09 20:00 @ 0.6810d 20h$162.93+5.49%signal
109long2025-05-23 04:00 @ 0.842025-05-23 08:00 @ 0.804h−$157.21-5.23%stop loss
108long2025-05-08 16:00 @ 0.732025-05-15 08:00 @ 0.776d 16h$135.45+4.56%signal
107short2025-05-05 12:00 @ 0.662025-05-08 00:00 @ 0.702d 12h−$153.38-5.10%stop loss
106long2025-04-23 00:00 @ 0.682025-04-30 16:00 @ 0.687d 16h−$23.15-0.77%signal
105short2025-03-29 08:00 @ 0.682025-04-12 16:00 @ 0.6614d 8h$96.04+3.21%signal
104long2025-03-25 12:00 @ 0.762025-03-26 16:00 @ 0.721d 4h−$135.92-4.49%stop loss
103long2025-03-02 16:00 @ 0.862025-03-04 00:00 @ 0.771d 8h−$342.84-11.02%stop loss
102short2025-02-24 16:00 @ 0.722025-03-02 12:00 @ 0.765d 20h−$189.24-5.99%stop loss
101short2025-02-02 20:00 @ 0.822025-02-11 04:00 @ 0.758d 8h$239.31+7.72%signal
100short2025-01-27 04:00 @ 0.932025-01-30 16:00 @ 0.983d 12h−$162.21-5.17%signal
99long2025-01-02 12:00 @ 0.972025-01-07 16:00 @ 1.045d 4h$225.70+7.32%signal
98short2024-12-30 16:00 @ 0.842025-01-01 16:00 @ 0.902d−$208.09-6.64%stop loss
97short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 0.882024-12-21 04:00 @ 0.961d 8h−$326.17-10.14%stop loss
96short2024-12-10 00:00 @ 1.002024-12-11 12:00 @ 1.111d 12h−$360.61-10.91%stop loss
95long2024-12-02 16:00 @ 1.212024-12-09 12:00 @ 1.106d 20h−$315.59-9.32%signal
94long2024-11-07 04:00 @ 0.372024-11-26 12:00 @ 0.9119d 8h$3,513.75+140.19%signal
93short2024-10-25 20:00 @ 0.342024-10-29 04:00 @ 0.353d 8h−$100.38-3.97%signal
92short2024-10-02 20:00 @ 0.342024-10-07 00:00 @ 0.364d 4h−$141.34-5.51%signal
91long2024-09-24 08:00 @ 0.372024-09-30 04:00 @ 0.395d 20h$137.29+5.42%signal
90long2024-09-12 00:00 @ 0.352024-09-15 12:00 @ 0.353d 12h−$32.99-1.30%signal
89short2024-08-30 16:00 @ 0.342024-09-09 04:00 @ 0.349d 12h−$37.66-1.48%signal
88long2024-08-21 04:00 @ 0.352024-08-26 20:00 @ 0.375d 16h$130.48+5.18%signal
87short2024-08-01 16:00 @ 0.382024-08-09 00:00 @ 0.357d 8h$172.30+6.96%signal
86short2024-07-23 20:00 @ 0.412024-07-27 16:00 @ 0.423d 20h−$83.57-3.35%signal
85long2024-07-12 20:00 @ 0.422024-07-18 16:00 @ 0.435d 20h$53.36+2.15%signal
84short2024-07-05 00:00 @ 0.362024-07-08 12:00 @ 0.383d 12h−$105.73-4.21%signal
83long2024-07-01 20:00 @ 0.402024-07-04 00:00 @ 0.392d 4h−$94.64-3.74%stop loss
82long2024-06-29 04:00 @ 0.402024-06-29 20:00 @ 0.3816h−$108.24-4.23%stop loss
81short2024-06-14 20:00 @ 0.402024-06-25 16:00 @ 0.3910d 20h$62.84+2.47%signal
80short2024-06-11 16:00 @ 0.422024-06-12 12:00 @ 0.4420h−$112.26-4.37%stop loss
79long2024-06-07 12:00 @ 0.482024-06-07 16:00 @ 0.474h−$82.57-3.19%stop loss
78long2024-05-21 00:00 @ 0.502024-05-22 04:00 @ 0.481d 4h−$101.44-3.88%stop loss
77long2024-05-17 08:00 @ 0.482024-05-20 00:00 @ 0.462d 16h−$102.21-3.87%stop loss
76short2024-05-13 04:00 @ 0.432024-05-13 08:00 @ 0.454h−$112.56-4.21%stop loss
75short2024-04-30 12:00 @ 0.432024-05-01 16:00 @ 0.451d 4h−$142.11-5.25%stop loss
74short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 0.482024-04-20 04:00 @ 0.487d 8h$24.30+0.90%signal
73short2024-04-01 16:00 @ 0.612024-04-08 12:00 @ 0.616d 20h$5.89+0.22%signal
72short2024-03-16 20:00 @ 0.672024-03-25 16:00 @ 0.668d 20h$25.45+0.95%signal
71long2024-03-14 12:00 @ 0.802024-03-14 12:00 @ 0.740m−$183.27-6.69%stop loss
70long2024-03-02 00:00 @ 0.722024-03-05 16:00 @ 0.673d 16h−$214.33-7.68%stop loss
69long2024-02-29 08:00 @ 0.682024-02-29 20:00 @ 0.6412h−$183.60-6.47%stop loss
68long2024-02-09 12:00 @ 0.542024-02-21 12:00 @ 0.5912d$193.70+6.94%signal
67short2024-02-07 08:00 @ 0.482024-02-07 20:00 @ 0.5012h−$106.61-3.79%stop loss
66long2024-01-29 20:00 @ 0.522024-01-31 08:00 @ 0.501d 12h−$119.58-4.20%stop loss
65short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 0.462024-01-26 08:00 @ 0.482d 20h−$164.82-5.71%stop loss
64short2024-01-08 04:00 @ 0.472024-01-08 12:00 @ 0.518h−$228.48-7.76%stop loss
63long2023-12-28 04:00 @ 0.662023-12-28 12:00 @ 0.628h−$194.40-6.49%stop loss
62long2023-12-03 00:00 @ 0.402023-12-18 00:00 @ 0.5815d$1,205.03+44.76%signal
61long2023-11-16 08:00 @ 0.402023-11-16 16:00 @ 0.378h−$172.45-6.30%stop loss
60long2023-10-21 20:00 @ 0.262023-11-14 00:00 @ 0.3623d 4h$899.68+35.84%signal
59short2023-10-19 04:00 @ 0.242023-10-19 16:00 @ 0.2512h−$62.24-2.46%stop loss
58short2023-10-10 16:00 @ 0.252023-10-16 08:00 @ 0.255d 16h−$42.28-1.67%signal
57long2023-10-01 12:00 @ 0.262023-10-04 00:00 @ 0.262d 12h−$64.32-2.52%stop loss
56long2023-09-19 12:00 @ 0.262023-09-21 04:00 @ 0.251d 16h−$77.05-3.00%stop loss
55short2023-09-10 04:00 @ 0.252023-09-15 04:00 @ 0.255d−$39.69-1.54%signal
54long2023-08-29 16:00 @ 0.272023-08-30 04:00 @ 0.2612h−$86.96-3.34%stop loss
53short2023-08-18 00:00 @ 0.252023-08-19 12:00 @ 0.271d 12h−$138.81-5.26%stop loss
52short2023-08-04 00:00 @ 0.292023-08-08 16:00 @ 0.304d 16h−$89.28-3.36%stop loss
51long2023-07-13 16:00 @ 0.312023-07-17 12:00 @ 0.313d 20h−$4.54-0.17%signal
50long2023-06-22 04:00 @ 0.302023-06-26 16:00 @ 0.284d 12h−$129.94-4.82%stop loss
49short2023-06-05 16:00 @ 0.362023-06-21 00:00 @ 0.2715d 8h$603.49+23.73%signal
48long2023-05-28 12:00 @ 0.382023-06-01 00:00 @ 0.373d 12h−$74.45-2.91%stop loss
47long2023-05-17 20:00 @ 0.382023-05-20 00:00 @ 0.372d 4h−$89.41-3.46%stop loss
46short2023-05-06 16:00 @ 0.382023-05-14 16:00 @ 0.378d$23.87+0.93%signal
45short2023-04-21 20:00 @ 0.382023-04-26 08:00 @ 0.404d 12h−$134.84-5.16%stop loss
44long2023-04-13 20:00 @ 0.422023-04-19 08:00 @ 0.415d 12h−$106.40-4.03%stop loss
43long2023-04-11 08:00 @ 0.412023-04-11 16:00 @ 0.408h−$86.24-3.24%stop loss
42long2023-03-31 12:00 @ 0.392023-04-03 00:00 @ 0.372d 12h−$133.27-4.95%stop loss
41long2023-03-29 12:00 @ 0.392023-03-30 16:00 @ 0.371d 4h−$131.29-4.82%stop loss
40long2023-03-22 00:00 @ 0.372023-03-27 04:00 @ 0.355d 4h−$169.83-6.13%stop loss
39long2023-03-13 16:00 @ 0.352023-03-15 12:00 @ 0.331d 20h−$153.41-5.47%stop loss
38short2023-02-24 16:00 @ 0.372023-03-13 00:00 @ 0.3316d 8h$308.47+11.30%signal
37long2023-02-16 00:00 @ 0.422023-02-16 12:00 @ 0.4012h−$125.32-4.54%stop loss
36short2023-02-10 00:00 @ 0.362023-02-14 12:00 @ 0.384d 12h−$143.39-5.13%stop loss
35long2023-02-02 04:00 @ 0.412023-02-05 16:00 @ 0.393d 12h−$117.45-4.16%signal
34long2023-01-28 00:00 @ 0.392023-01-30 16:00 @ 0.372d 16h−$151.65-5.29%stop loss
33long2023-01-04 16:00 @ 0.272023-01-25 00:00 @ 0.3620d 8h$874.53+33.06%signal
32short2022-12-29 04:00 @ 0.252023-01-02 04:00 @ 0.254d−$93.64-3.51%stop loss
31short2022-12-16 12:00 @ 0.292022-12-27 00:00 @ 0.2710d 12h$185.32+7.07%signal
30short2022-12-12 04:00 @ 0.302022-12-13 12:00 @ 0.311d 8h−$67.50-2.56%stop loss
29long2022-12-05 12:00 @ 0.332022-12-05 16:00 @ 0.324h−$79.23-2.98%stop loss
28short2022-11-08 20:00 @ 0.372022-12-03 12:00 @ 0.3224d 16h$318.43+12.34%signal
27long2022-10-25 20:00 @ 0.412022-10-26 00:00 @ 0.404h−$118.91-4.56%stop loss
26short2022-10-11 00:00 @ 0.402022-10-24 00:00 @ 0.3613d$231.79+9.08%signal
25short2022-10-02 12:00 @ 0.422022-10-04 20:00 @ 0.442d 8h−$71.90-2.80%signal
24short2022-09-19 00:00 @ 0.452022-09-23 00:00 @ 0.474d−$142.17-5.46%stop loss
23long2022-09-10 04:00 @ 0.522022-09-13 00:00 @ 0.492d 20h−$127.20-4.82%stop loss
22long2022-09-04 04:00 @ 0.492022-09-06 16:00 @ 0.472d 12h−$122.85-4.61%stop loss
21short2022-08-27 00:00 @ 0.432022-08-30 08:00 @ 0.463d 8h−$171.85-6.34%stop loss
20short2022-08-19 04:00 @ 0.492022-08-26 08:00 @ 0.487d 4h$45.16+1.67%signal
19long2022-08-13 08:00 @ 0.562022-08-17 12:00 @ 0.544d 4h−$112.38-4.12%stop loss
18long2022-07-30 16:00 @ 0.552022-08-01 08:00 @ 0.511d 16h−$179.56-6.48%stop loss
17long2022-07-18 12:00 @ 0.492022-07-26 04:00 @ 0.477d 16h−$116.42-4.16%signal
16short2022-07-12 00:00 @ 0.432022-07-16 16:00 @ 0.454d 16h−$141.43-4.99%stop loss
15long2022-07-08 04:00 @ 0.482022-07-08 12:00 @ 0.468h−$133.39-4.65%stop loss
14short2022-06-30 08:00 @ 0.452022-07-07 16:00 @ 0.487d 8h−$197.50-6.76%stop loss
13short2022-06-12 04:00 @ 0.522022-06-26 08:00 @ 0.5214d 4h−$16.65-0.57%signal
12long2022-05-31 00:00 @ 0.572022-06-10 20:00 @ 0.5710d 20h$12.01+0.41%signal
11short2022-05-26 12:00 @ 0.482022-05-30 04:00 @ 0.513d 16h−$183.96-6.20%signal
10short2022-05-09 04:00 @ 0.712022-05-23 08:00 @ 0.5514d 4h$607.12+21.57%signal
9short2022-04-25 04:00 @ 0.872022-05-04 12:00 @ 0.829d 8h$154.87+5.58%signal
8short2022-04-06 16:00 @ 1.102022-04-20 12:00 @ 0.9713d 20h$315.93+11.71%signal
7long2022-03-19 04:00 @ 0.872022-03-31 20:00 @ 1.1512d 16h$802.02+32.12%signal
6short2022-03-07 04:00 @ 0.812022-03-17 00:00 @ 0.849d 20h−$93.34-3.70%signal
5short2022-02-18 16:00 @ 1.002022-02-28 16:00 @ 0.9410d$148.58+5.98%signal
4long2022-02-05 04:00 @ 1.142022-02-11 20:00 @ 1.116d 16h−$69.21-2.77%signal
3short2022-01-22 00:00 @ 1.122022-02-02 00:00 @ 1.1011d$42.09+1.69%signal
2long2022-01-16 08:00 @ 1.372022-01-20 00:00 @ 1.343d 16h−$65.83-2.63%signal
1short2022-01-05 20:00 @ 1.262022-01-12 12:00 @ 1.246d 16h$24.18+0.97%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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