[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

BNBUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,225 bars in 39.5ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BNBUSDT returned +33.93% over the same period, against this strategy’s -7.36%.

Net P&L
-7.36%
−$736.01
Max drawdown
-21.69%
Max run-up
+26.40%
Trades
151
27.8% win rate
Profit factor
0.91
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -21.69%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+5.79%-13.23%8532%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25-8.79%-13.49%3219%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-4.00%-11.38%3426%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
-0.10
Sortino
-0.14
Calmar
-0.07
Return ÷ max drawdown
-0.34
CAGR
-1.63%
Exposure
46.8%

Per trade

Expectancy
−$4.87 · -0.16%
Average win / loss
$177.31 / −$75.07
Payoff ratio
2.36
Largest win / loss
$594.34 / −$198.12
Longest losing streak(winning: 5)
13 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-21.69%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
899 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$372.21
Funding
$2.80
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+33.93%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 151 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-31.55%-8.08%+29.03%
Max drawdown-36.10%-20.10%-10.81%

67% of histories lost money, and 42% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -21.69%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

BNBUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

151 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
1short2022-01-05 20:00 @ 492.412022-01-12 16:00 @ 481.736d 20h$45.25+1.81%signal
2long2022-01-15 08:00 @ 493.652022-01-17 12:00 @ 471.832d 4h−$97.46-3.88%stop loss
3short2022-01-21 00:00 @ 439.982022-01-26 16:00 @ 392.075d 16h$266.65+10.72%signal
4long2022-02-05 04:00 @ 406.502022-02-11 20:00 @ 404.386d 16h−$12.51-0.49%signal
5short2022-02-20 04:00 @ 389.132022-03-01 00:00 @ 395.558d 20h−$49.44-1.94%signal
6long2022-03-01 08:00 @ 413.522022-03-04 00:00 @ 389.162d 16h−$150.42-5.93%stop loss
7short2022-03-14 00:00 @ 360.992022-03-16 00:00 @ 375.142d−$101.86-4.07%stop loss
8long2022-03-18 20:00 @ 399.192022-03-21 00:00 @ 385.922d 4h−$84.70-3.42%stop loss
9long2022-03-24 16:00 @ 414.172022-04-01 04:00 @ 418.687d 12h$23.98+0.98%signal
10short2022-04-11 04:00 @ 413.792022-04-19 08:00 @ 421.928d 4h−$52.80-2.15%signal
11long2022-04-20 12:00 @ 428.122022-04-20 16:00 @ 415.324h−$75.53-3.09%stop loss
12short2022-04-25 04:00 @ 395.612022-04-28 20:00 @ 408.013d 16h−$79.68-3.28%stop loss
13short2022-05-01 00:00 @ 376.442022-05-01 16:00 @ 390.8016h−$95.90-3.98%stop loss
14short2022-05-08 00:00 @ 365.232022-05-20 12:00 @ 315.3812d 12h$294.02+12.33%signal
15long2022-05-23 08:00 @ 328.242022-05-24 12:00 @ 312.841d 4h−$116.14-4.73%stop loss
16short2022-06-07 04:00 @ 284.132022-06-10 12:00 @ 297.413d 8h−$119.04-4.90%stop loss
17short2022-06-11 16:00 @ 268.372022-06-21 08:00 @ 220.919d 16h$412.86+17.21%signal
18short2022-06-30 12:00 @ 208.352022-07-01 00:00 @ 220.5912h−$150.76-6.03%stop loss
19long2022-07-07 20:00 @ 243.152022-07-10 12:00 @ 233.842d 16h−$95.78-3.89%stop loss
20long2022-07-17 04:00 @ 253.832022-07-25 20:00 @ 252.468d 16h−$14.58-0.60%signal
21short2022-07-26 04:00 @ 243.882022-07-27 12:00 @ 255.211d 8h−$116.66-4.79%stop loss
22long2022-07-28 16:00 @ 276.662022-08-02 04:00 @ 275.794d 12h−$10.00-0.42%signal
23long2022-08-03 20:00 @ 302.702022-08-17 16:00 @ 307.0913d 20h$34.25+1.42%signal
24short2022-08-19 00:00 @ 297.902022-08-25 08:00 @ 305.166d 8h−$65.28-2.70%signal
25short2022-09-06 20:00 @ 265.532022-09-07 20:00 @ 276.151d−$100.61-4.20%stop loss
26long2022-09-09 08:00 @ 291.062022-09-13 16:00 @ 282.864d 8h−$69.04-2.91%signal
27short2022-09-19 00:00 @ 266.132022-09-21 16:00 @ 275.962d 16h−$91.27-3.88%stop loss
28long2022-09-24 08:00 @ 280.882022-09-26 04:00 @ 270.701d 20h−$86.39-3.70%stop loss
29long2022-10-04 08:00 @ 290.842022-10-06 20:00 @ 283.122d 12h−$63.54-2.75%stop loss
30short2022-10-09 00:00 @ 276.182022-10-18 00:00 @ 275.599d$1.61+0.07%signal
31long2022-10-25 16:00 @ 280.752022-11-08 08:00 @ 325.3513d 16h$368.00+16.04%signal
32short2022-11-09 20:00 @ 281.312022-11-23 04:00 @ 274.1613d 8h$47.90+2.01%signal
33long2022-11-23 12:00 @ 296.512022-12-02 04:00 @ 288.148d 16h−$24.84-1.04%signal
34short2022-12-07 08:00 @ 282.492022-12-08 16:00 @ 290.521d 8h−$70.41-2.94%stop loss
35short2022-12-12 16:00 @ 275.922022-12-31 16:00 @ 246.8819d$227.74+9.59%signal
36long2023-01-04 04:00 @ 257.072023-02-09 04:00 @ 319.7936d$593.04+24.39%signal
37short2023-02-13 12:00 @ 292.272023-02-15 12:00 @ 304.452d−$112.43-4.36%stop loss
38short2023-03-03 04:00 @ 289.732023-03-08 16:00 @ 292.795d 12h−$32.33-1.27%signal
39short2023-03-09 20:00 @ 279.792023-03-12 20:00 @ 288.303d−$84.68-3.33%stop loss
40long2023-03-13 08:00 @ 304.752023-03-22 12:00 @ 324.199d 4h$218.40+8.66%signal
41short2023-03-27 16:00 @ 313.872023-04-11 00:00 @ 318.5714d 8h−$56.95-2.21%signal
42long2023-04-11 04:00 @ 327.842023-04-12 00:00 @ 321.8920h−$49.31-1.92%stop loss
43long2023-04-14 08:00 @ 333.892023-04-14 12:00 @ 327.254h−$53.82-2.11%stop loss
44long2023-04-16 16:00 @ 346.342023-04-17 12:00 @ 337.7420h−$68.02-2.68%stop loss
45short2023-05-08 04:00 @ 318.182023-05-14 16:00 @ 313.906d 12h$23.68+0.94%signal
46short2023-06-05 04:00 @ 301.222023-06-14 04:00 @ 250.569d$418.60+16.57%signal
47short2023-06-28 20:00 @ 228.162023-06-30 00:00 @ 237.691d 4h−$112.54-4.28%stop loss
48long2023-07-03 08:00 @ 249.812023-07-04 16:00 @ 241.091d 8h−$94.12-3.62%stop loss
49long2023-07-13 16:00 @ 251.242023-07-14 16:00 @ 244.181d−$70.51-2.73%stop loss
50long2023-08-01 08:00 @ 245.512023-08-02 16:00 @ 240.861d 8h−$51.40-2.01%stop loss
51short2023-08-15 20:00 @ 235.962023-08-24 08:00 @ 219.388d 12h$161.27+6.33%signal
52long2023-08-29 16:00 @ 228.322023-08-30 12:00 @ 221.9220h−$75.05-2.90%stop loss
53short2023-09-11 12:00 @ 206.852023-09-12 00:00 @ 210.7212h−$50.67-1.97%stop loss
54long2023-09-18 04:00 @ 217.842023-09-20 16:00 @ 213.952d 12h−$48.35-1.89%stop loss
55short2023-09-25 00:00 @ 208.302023-09-26 00:00 @ 211.841d−$45.90-1.80%stop loss
56long2023-10-02 00:00 @ 218.332023-10-02 16:00 @ 214.3816h−$48.72-1.92%stop loss
57short2023-10-09 12:00 @ 207.062023-10-10 08:00 @ 210.6420h−$46.16-1.83%stop loss
58long2023-10-23 04:00 @ 222.322023-11-14 00:00 @ 241.1121d 20h$184.01+7.33%signal
59long2023-11-20 20:00 @ 257.762023-11-21 16:00 @ 247.2620h−$108.62-4.25%stop loss
60short2023-11-22 00:00 @ 225.612023-12-04 08:00 @ 232.1412d 8h−$63.11-2.50%signal
61long2023-12-08 20:00 @ 238.132023-12-11 00:00 @ 231.122d 4h−$82.89-3.30%stop loss
62long2023-12-12 04:00 @ 253.452023-12-15 20:00 @ 242.903d 16h−$98.56-3.95%stop loss
63long2023-12-20 16:00 @ 257.902023-12-25 00:00 @ 263.954d 8h$68.90+2.79%signal
64long2023-12-26 12:00 @ 289.842024-01-08 04:00 @ 293.3812d 16h$87.34+3.51%signal
65short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 295.802024-01-27 00:00 @ 306.853d 12h−$97.52-3.89%stop loss
66long2024-02-08 12:00 @ 316.352024-03-05 20:00 @ 376.6226d 8h$500.54+20.16%signal
67long2024-03-07 12:00 @ 438.952024-03-19 04:00 @ 534.2911d 16h$546.54+20.96%signal
68long2024-03-29 08:00 @ 607.322024-04-01 04:00 @ 582.272d 20h−$115.30-4.20%stop loss
69long2024-04-10 20:00 @ 606.582024-04-12 16:00 @ 586.811d 20h−$93.02-3.43%stop loss
70short2024-04-13 20:00 @ 544.332024-04-15 08:00 @ 582.371d 12h−$198.12-7.36%stop loss
71long2024-04-22 08:00 @ 603.112024-04-30 08:00 @ 577.118d−$89.71-3.39%stop loss
72short2024-04-30 16:00 @ 560.122024-05-03 20:00 @ 582.543d 4h−$113.54-4.33%stop loss
73short2024-05-14 16:00 @ 568.442024-05-15 16:00 @ 585.001d−$88.99-3.43%stop loss
74long2024-05-21 00:00 @ 599.842024-05-23 20:00 @ 584.182d 20h−$72.29-2.81%stop loss
75long2024-06-03 08:00 @ 626.662024-06-10 08:00 @ 640.837d$49.98+1.96%signal
76short2024-07-04 04:00 @ 539.782024-07-10 12:00 @ 527.986d 8h$53.55+2.09%signal
77long2024-07-15 04:00 @ 553.662024-07-23 08:00 @ 579.758d 4h$118.85+4.61%signal
78short2024-08-03 00:00 @ 543.042024-08-08 16:00 @ 499.005d 16h$208.73+8.01%signal
79long2024-08-17 20:00 @ 544.742024-08-26 08:00 @ 561.638d 12h$84.44+3.17%signal
80short2024-09-02 08:00 @ 503.112024-09-02 08:00 @ 522.930m−$108.32-4.04%stop loss
81short2024-09-04 12:00 @ 498.782024-09-09 16:00 @ 519.885d 4h−$114.95-4.33%stop loss
82long2024-09-12 04:00 @ 543.252024-09-16 16:00 @ 534.664d 12h−$43.70-1.66%signal
83long2024-09-19 16:00 @ 564.942024-09-30 04:00 @ 578.1310d 12h$59.19+2.26%signal
84short2024-10-01 00:00 @ 567.542024-10-05 08:00 @ 561.754d 8h$23.76+0.90%signal
85long2024-10-14 16:00 @ 588.322024-10-23 08:00 @ 584.068d 16h−$22.60-0.86%signal
86short2024-11-03 04:00 @ 561.782024-11-06 00:00 @ 575.662d 20h−$67.63-2.57%stop loss
87long2024-11-09 04:00 @ 636.002024-11-09 16:00 @ 615.0812h−$89.37-3.42%stop loss
88long2024-11-10 12:00 @ 642.322024-11-10 20:00 @ 620.568h−$91.26-3.52%stop loss
89long2024-11-12 00:00 @ 660.662024-11-12 08:00 @ 629.868h−$124.30-4.84%stop loss
90long2024-11-23 08:00 @ 664.742024-11-24 12:00 @ 637.481d 4h−$109.21-4.31%stop loss
91long2024-12-03 20:00 @ 690.932024-12-09 20:00 @ 655.176d−$145.14-5.79%stop loss
92short2024-12-20 12:00 @ 619.362024-12-20 12:00 @ 660.210m−$165.65-6.70%stop loss
93long2024-12-28 16:00 @ 721.162024-12-29 20:00 @ 694.261d 4h−$93.09-3.83%stop loss
94long2025-01-06 20:00 @ 732.832025-01-07 12:00 @ 715.6816h−$58.92-2.45%stop loss
95short2025-01-13 12:00 @ 660.082025-01-13 20:00 @ 680.018h−$76.05-3.18%stop loss
96long2025-01-17 12:00 @ 725.512025-01-18 00:00 @ 706.3712h−$64.95-2.74%stop loss
97short2025-01-27 00:00 @ 666.512025-01-28 04:00 @ 682.881d 4h−$60.57-2.57%stop loss
98short2025-02-02 20:00 @ 624.092025-02-08 16:00 @ 596.485d 20h$100.93+4.31%signal
99long2025-02-12 16:00 @ 658.672025-02-18 08:00 @ 650.825d 16h−$26.84-1.13%signal
100short2025-02-24 20:00 @ 627.812025-03-02 20:00 @ 625.466d$2.92+0.12%signal
101short2025-03-10 20:00 @ 537.422025-03-11 08:00 @ 562.7412h−$113.97-4.83%stop loss
102long2025-03-17 04:00 @ 625.802025-03-29 04:00 @ 612.3912d−$37.73-1.62%signal
103short2025-03-29 08:00 @ 607.332025-04-11 20:00 @ 588.0013d 12h$63.76+2.74%signal
104long2025-04-21 04:00 @ 602.052025-04-30 12:00 @ 591.979d 8h−$39.60-1.69%stop loss
105short2025-05-04 16:00 @ 588.682025-05-05 16:00 @ 597.541d−$39.26-1.68%stop loss
106long2025-05-08 04:00 @ 611.402025-05-31 00:00 @ 654.8722d 20h$162.17+6.99%signal
107short2025-05-31 04:00 @ 650.172025-06-02 20:00 @ 666.492d 16h−$61.82-2.62%stop loss
108short2025-06-05 20:00 @ 643.912025-06-09 16:00 @ 659.603d 20h−$61.00-2.60%stop loss
109short2025-06-21 16:00 @ 635.972025-06-25 00:00 @ 647.903d 8h−$47.37-2.03%stop loss
110long2025-06-30 00:00 @ 655.092025-07-01 12:00 @ 645.981d 12h−$34.56-1.49%stop loss
111long2025-07-02 16:00 @ 661.882025-07-04 12:00 @ 652.591d 20h−$34.71-1.50%stop loss
112long2025-07-09 20:00 @ 669.642025-07-30 12:00 @ 789.1320d 16h$401.94+17.47%signal
113short2025-08-02 16:00 @ 743.292025-08-06 16:00 @ 774.214d−$102.15-4.25%stop loss
114long2025-08-11 04:00 @ 821.902025-08-11 08:00 @ 799.274h−$68.10-2.87%stop loss
115long2025-08-12 20:00 @ 832.512025-08-20 00:00 @ 824.297d 4h−$27.53-1.17%signal
116long2025-08-22 20:00 @ 895.682025-08-24 08:00 @ 865.581d 12h−$83.33-3.54%stop loss
117long2025-09-07 16:00 @ 875.302025-09-25 20:00 @ 959.1618d 4h$215.21+9.23%signal
118long2025-10-02 12:00 @ 1,048.182025-10-10 16:00 @ 1,216.258d 4h$377.89+15.85%signal
119long2025-10-27 12:00 @ 1,180.292025-10-27 12:00 @ 1,134.480m−$98.65-3.98%stop loss
120short2025-11-03 08:00 @ 1,028.812025-11-07 20:00 @ 982.424d 12h$108.30+4.41%signal
121short2025-11-19 20:00 @ 878.512025-11-24 20:00 @ 869.525d$24.16+0.97%signal
122short2025-12-01 16:00 @ 811.742025-12-02 08:00 @ 841.5916h−$94.03-3.78%stop loss
123long2025-12-04 00:00 @ 921.372025-12-04 16:00 @ 889.6616h−$87.60-3.56%stop loss
124short2025-12-15 20:00 @ 849.872025-12-16 12:00 @ 876.9316h−$80.25-3.29%stop loss
125short2025-12-18 20:00 @ 820.262025-12-19 04:00 @ 849.328h−$88.29-3.65%stop loss
126long2026-01-02 16:00 @ 878.942026-01-08 08:00 @ 884.855d 16h$11.68+0.49%signal
127long2026-01-13 20:00 @ 942.462026-01-19 00:00 @ 921.355d 4h−$57.44-2.39%stop loss
128short2026-01-21 00:00 @ 884.532026-01-28 00:00 @ 899.037d−$40.89-1.71%signal
129short2026-01-30 04:00 @ 845.612026-02-14 12:00 @ 633.5815d 8h$594.34+24.99%signal
130short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 589.652026-02-23 08:00 @ 609.224h−$86.44-3.42%stop loss
131long2026-03-02 16:00 @ 646.782026-03-03 08:00 @ 622.3616h−$97.03-3.87%stop loss
132long2026-03-04 16:00 @ 661.512026-03-06 08:00 @ 637.361d 16h−$93.02-3.75%stop loss
133long2026-03-13 12:00 @ 666.902026-03-18 12:00 @ 647.785d−$72.89-2.97%stop loss
134short2026-03-22 00:00 @ 630.162026-03-23 08:00 @ 646.291d 8h−$65.21-2.67%stop loss
135short2026-03-27 12:00 @ 610.542026-04-06 00:00 @ 601.949d 12h$31.88+1.32%signal
136long2026-04-15 20:00 @ 625.972026-04-25 16:00 @ 630.069d 20h$11.92+0.49%signal
137short2026-04-29 16:00 @ 616.632026-05-04 04:00 @ 627.134d 12h−$43.40-1.78%signal
138long2026-05-06 12:00 @ 652.982026-05-07 12:00 @ 639.821d−$51.83-2.14%stop loss
139long2026-05-12 00:00 @ 671.092026-05-12 12:00 @ 655.7612h−$57.60-2.39%stop loss
140long2026-05-13 04:00 @ 681.792026-05-13 12:00 @ 664.888h−$61.93-2.58%stop loss
141long2026-05-25 16:00 @ 668.222026-05-26 16:00 @ 653.991d−$53.35-2.24%stop loss
142long2026-05-30 16:00 @ 695.132026-06-01 12:00 @ 675.071d 20h−$71.17-3.01%stop loss
143short2026-06-03 20:00 @ 622.942026-06-15 00:00 @ 617.3011d 4h$19.69+0.84%signal
144long2026-06-15 04:00 @ 618.412026-06-16 12:00 @ 602.951d 8h−$61.35-2.61%stop loss
145short2026-06-18 16:00 @ 573.692026-06-21 00:00 @ 590.942d 8h−$72.59-3.10%stop loss
146short2026-06-24 16:00 @ 561.392026-07-03 20:00 @ 570.209d 4h−$37.03-1.60%signal
147long2026-07-04 00:00 @ 574.342026-07-17 12:00 @ 565.0813d 12h−$45.96-1.99%signal
148long2026-07-30 12:00 @ 589.552026-08-01 12:00 @ 577.962d−$48.20-2.10%stop loss
149long2026-08-05 04:00 @ 599.302026-08-07 04:00 @ 588.402d−$43.96-1.92%stop loss
150long2026-08-12 00:00 @ 617.082026-08-13 16:00 @ 606.391d 16h−$41.93-1.84%stop loss
151long2026-08-20 00:00 @ 628.092026-08-31 00:00 @ 684.8811d$197.16+8.70%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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