[Famous-Q] Turtle System 2 (55/20)

public
@djgambhir

ETHUSDT · 4h · 2022-01-012026-09-01 · 10,225 bars in 25.1ms

Net P&L
+5.82%
$582.00
Max drawdown
-19.02%
Max run-up
+27.48%
Trades
152
28.3% win rate
Profit factor
1.05
2022-01-01drawdown · worst -19.02%2026-09-01
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+11.33%-18.61%8730%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-25+3.66%-8.12%3030%
Out-of-sample2025-09-252026-09-01-8.30%-16.55%3523%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.16
Sortino
0.23
Calmar
0.06
Return ÷ max drawdown
0.31
CAGR
+1.22%
Exposure
48.5%

Per trade

Expectancy
$3.83 · +0.24%
Average win / loss
$264.14 / −$98.86
Payoff ratio
2.67
Largest win / loss
$1,290.62 / −$228.08
Longest losing streak(winning: 3)
14 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-19.02%
Longest time under water
778 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered
Under water at the end
383 days

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$403.72
Funding
−$310.98
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
58
Benchmark(buy and hold)
-33.60%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 152 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-29.76%+7.95%+68.75%
Max drawdown-37.80%-21.01%-11.62%

38% of histories lost money, and 59% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -19.02%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

hh55 length
55
ll55 length
55
hh20 length
20
ll20 length
20
atr20 length
20
Stop loss (× atr20)
2
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

ETHUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

152 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
152long2026-08-19 16:00 @ 2,085.572026-09-01 00:00 @ 2,470.9012d 8h$457.04+18.06%end of data
151short2026-08-01 20:00 @ 1,836.102026-08-02 16:00 @ 1,885.6820h−$71.16-2.79%stop loss
150long2026-07-14 16:00 @ 1,874.742026-07-17 12:00 @ 1,816.952d 20h−$83.04-3.23%stop loss
149long2026-07-02 16:00 @ 1,696.672026-07-08 16:00 @ 1,721.746d$32.32+1.26%signal
148short2026-06-24 16:00 @ 1,617.142026-06-29 20:00 @ 1,625.065d 4h−$15.33-0.60%signal
147long2026-06-15 12:00 @ 1,764.132026-06-18 12:00 @ 1,701.323d−$95.29-3.68%stop loss
146short2026-05-15 16:00 @ 2,221.482026-06-15 00:00 @ 1,725.0830d 8h$551.43+22.49%signal
145short2026-05-13 16:00 @ 2,234.942026-05-14 12:00 @ 2,294.6320h−$68.13-2.76%stop loss
144short2026-05-12 16:00 @ 2,260.462026-05-13 08:00 @ 2,317.1716h−$64.60-2.60%stop loss
143long2026-05-06 12:00 @ 2,409.472026-05-06 16:00 @ 2,341.194h−$73.28-2.93%stop loss
142short2026-04-29 20:00 @ 2,231.892026-05-01 12:00 @ 2,301.441d 16h−$81.81-3.24%stop loss
141long2026-04-17 16:00 @ 2,441.202026-04-18 08:00 @ 2,353.8016h−$93.64-3.68%stop loss
140long2026-04-14 00:00 @ 2,369.272026-04-16 12:00 @ 2,283.622d 12h−$95.99-3.73%stop loss
139long2026-04-11 20:00 @ 2,315.712026-04-12 00:00 @ 2,238.214h−$89.54-3.45%stop loss
138long2026-04-08 00:00 @ 2,239.592026-04-09 12:00 @ 2,157.651d 12h−$98.99-3.78%stop loss
137short2026-03-27 12:00 @ 1,989.842026-03-30 08:00 @ 2,077.622d 20h−$120.61-4.55%stop loss
136long2026-03-16 04:00 @ 2,235.592026-03-19 04:00 @ 2,149.623d−$106.15-3.97%stop loss
135long2026-03-04 20:00 @ 2,176.912026-03-06 08:00 @ 2,052.121d 12h−$158.19-5.83%stop loss
134long2026-02-25 20:00 @ 2,070.752026-02-26 16:00 @ 1,974.7320h−$130.30-4.74%stop loss
133short2026-02-24 04:00 @ 1,830.572026-02-25 00:00 @ 1,906.1520h−$117.73-4.24%stop loss
132short2026-02-23 04:00 @ 1,860.562026-02-23 12:00 @ 1,931.418h−$110.68-3.95%stop loss
131short2026-01-30 04:00 @ 2,739.192026-02-13 20:00 @ 2,057.2314d 16h$650.86+24.64%signal
130short2026-01-20 16:00 @ 3,030.452026-01-27 20:00 @ 2,980.067d 4h$42.70+1.62%signal
129long2026-01-02 16:00 @ 3,085.712026-01-19 04:00 @ 3,209.7116d 12h$94.23+3.61%signal
128short2025-12-18 20:00 @ 2,779.842025-12-19 00:00 @ 2,922.524h−$138.12-5.23%stop loss
127short2025-12-17 20:00 @ 2,818.462025-12-18 12:00 @ 2,952.7416h−$130.28-4.87%stop loss
126long2025-12-09 16:00 @ 3,245.572025-12-12 12:00 @ 3,101.452d 20h−$123.78-4.58%stop loss
125long2025-12-04 00:00 @ 3,187.722025-12-05 16:00 @ 3,056.231d 16h−$116.62-4.27%stop loss
124short2025-11-19 20:00 @ 2,880.212025-11-24 20:00 @ 2,958.405d−$75.83-2.75%signal
123short2025-11-17 20:00 @ 2,980.392025-11-18 16:00 @ 3,161.1120h−$171.70-6.14%stop loss
122short2025-11-03 16:00 @ 3,586.662025-11-09 16:00 @ 3,514.286d$55.77+2.00%signal
121short2025-10-30 20:00 @ 3,684.512025-10-31 00:00 @ 3,854.244h−$132.47-4.71%stop loss
120long2025-10-27 00:00 @ 4,157.192025-10-28 20:00 @ 4,016.701d 20h−$99.86-3.52%stop loss
119short2025-10-10 16:00 @ 4,099.672025-10-13 20:00 @ 4,287.603d 4h−$134.98-4.70%stop loss
118long2025-10-02 00:00 @ 4,346.722025-10-09 12:00 @ 4,370.127d 12h$8.69+0.30%signal
117short2025-09-22 04:00 @ 4,302.752025-09-29 00:00 @ 4,140.376d 20h$105.76+3.72%signal
116long2025-09-12 04:00 @ 4,504.512025-09-22 00:00 @ 4,375.629d 20h−$88.38-3.08%stop loss
115long2025-08-22 20:00 @ 4,833.032025-08-25 04:00 @ 4,600.862d 8h−$144.16-4.97%stop loss
114short2025-08-19 20:00 @ 4,140.452025-08-20 16:00 @ 4,344.2620h−$147.16-5.01%stop loss
113long2025-08-08 00:00 @ 3,909.182025-08-18 04:00 @ 4,317.5710d 4h$288.60+10.06%signal
112short2025-08-02 00:00 @ 3,485.712025-08-04 12:00 @ 3,650.122d 12h−$138.92-4.79%stop loss
111long2025-07-09 16:00 @ 2,655.942025-08-01 20:00 @ 3,516.8723d 4h$848.72+31.54%signal
110long2025-07-02 20:00 @ 2,604.162025-07-04 12:00 @ 2,512.161d 16h−$99.46-3.66%stop loss
109short2025-06-20 20:00 @ 2,413.142025-06-26 04:00 @ 2,488.455d 8h−$87.99-3.21%signal
108long2025-06-10 12:00 @ 2,773.542025-06-12 20:00 @ 2,669.322d 8h−$108.29-3.92%stop loss
107short2025-06-06 00:00 @ 2,412.422025-06-06 12:00 @ 2,523.9212h−$132.13-4.72%stop loss
106long2025-05-29 04:00 @ 2,762.592025-05-29 12:00 @ 2,645.448h−$122.98-4.35%stop loss
105long2025-05-08 04:00 @ 1,900.892025-05-18 20:00 @ 2,406.3010d 16h$694.91+26.18%signal
104long2025-04-22 16:00 @ 1,702.752025-05-05 04:00 @ 1,793.4912d 12h$135.19+5.16%signal
103short2025-04-06 20:00 @ 1,624.882025-04-14 12:00 @ 1,674.967d 16h−$83.45-3.16%signal
102short2025-03-28 08:00 @ 1,908.662025-04-01 16:00 @ 1,918.274d 8h−$15.75-0.60%signal
101long2025-03-24 12:00 @ 2,092.102025-03-26 12:00 @ 2,025.312d−$88.18-3.31%stop loss
100short2025-03-10 20:00 @ 1,868.302025-03-19 08:00 @ 2,024.038d 12h−$228.08-8.37%stop loss
99short2025-02-25 00:00 @ 2,511.762025-03-02 20:00 @ 2,485.505d 20h$27.21+1.00%signal
98short2025-02-02 20:00 @ 2,957.172025-02-13 00:00 @ 2,737.6910d 4h$195.44+7.32%signal
97short2025-01-27 08:00 @ 3,068.512025-01-27 20:00 @ 3,213.1912h−$129.95-4.81%stop loss
96short2025-01-08 20:00 @ 3,278.802025-01-15 16:00 @ 3,412.866d 20h−$110.05-4.03%stop loss
95long2025-01-03 16:00 @ 3,565.032025-01-07 12:00 @ 3,450.583d 20h−$94.45-3.43%stop loss
94short2024-12-19 20:00 @ 3,438.292025-01-02 12:00 @ 3,471.2713d 16h−$19.92-0.72%signal
93long2024-12-16 20:00 @ 4,057.812024-12-17 20:00 @ 3,900.631d−$111.45-4.00%stop loss
92long2024-11-27 16:00 @ 3,555.782024-12-09 16:00 @ 3,825.6612d$183.11+6.68%signal
91long2024-11-23 16:00 @ 3,463.822024-11-24 12:00 @ 3,306.3720h−$131.12-4.73%stop loss
90long2024-11-07 04:00 @ 2,854.752024-11-14 16:00 @ 3,078.627d 12h$198.65+7.30%signal
89short2024-11-05 00:00 @ 2,396.882024-11-06 00:00 @ 2,481.741d−$98.96-3.60%stop loss
88short2024-10-23 20:00 @ 2,511.272024-10-28 20:00 @ 2,587.795d−$83.04-3.00%stop loss
87long2024-10-14 08:00 @ 2,535.252024-10-23 12:00 @ 2,580.319d 4h$38.24+1.39%signal
86short2024-10-02 20:00 @ 2,370.142024-10-06 16:00 @ 2,446.163d 20h−$90.31-3.25%signal
85long2024-09-20 04:00 @ 2,520.402024-10-01 16:00 @ 2,523.0411d 12h−$6.68-0.24%signal
84short2024-09-06 16:00 @ 2,288.572024-09-13 12:00 @ 2,401.646d 20h−$141.13-5.01%stop loss
83short2024-09-04 04:00 @ 2,371.452024-09-04 16:00 @ 2,476.0512h−$128.51-4.51%stop loss
82short2024-08-28 00:00 @ 2,455.492024-08-29 04:00 @ 2,558.931d 4h−$124.45-4.32%stop loss
81long2024-08-24 00:00 @ 2,762.132024-08-26 20:00 @ 2,665.972d 20h−$104.56-3.60%stop loss
80short2024-08-02 16:00 @ 3,036.892024-08-08 20:00 @ 2,573.016d 4h$425.28+15.18%signal
79short2024-07-25 00:00 @ 3,333.562024-07-29 04:00 @ 3,348.684d 4h−$13.45-0.48%signal
78long2024-07-15 04:00 @ 3,328.832024-07-24 20:00 @ 3,361.559d 16h$19.04+0.68%signal
77short2024-07-04 04:00 @ 3,241.262024-07-15 00:00 @ 3,244.1710d 20h$0.64+0.02%signal
76short2024-06-24 12:00 @ 3,318.732024-06-25 16:00 @ 3,431.191d 4h−$97.51-3.45%stop loss
75short2024-06-07 20:00 @ 3,688.152024-06-17 00:00 @ 3,623.689d 4h$53.70+1.91%signal
74long2024-05-17 16:00 @ 3,110.472024-05-29 20:00 @ 3,752.0712d 4h$537.56+20.09%signal
73short2024-04-30 12:00 @ 3,005.342024-05-04 00:00 @ 3,101.453d 12h−$87.84-3.26%signal
72long2024-04-28 04:00 @ 3,308.312024-04-29 00:00 @ 3,193.4220h−$97.91-3.60%stop loss
71long2024-04-24 12:00 @ 3,280.812024-04-24 16:00 @ 3,155.804h−$107.59-3.91%stop loss
70short2024-04-12 20:00 @ 3,206.292024-04-20 20:00 @ 3,147.648d$51.71+1.89%signal
69long2024-04-08 20:00 @ 3,706.472024-04-09 12:00 @ 3,573.1316h−$103.06-3.73%stop loss
68short2024-04-02 16:00 @ 3,241.322024-04-04 12:00 @ 3,385.831d 20h−$125.63-4.50%stop loss
67short2024-03-17 00:00 @ 3,524.862024-03-25 16:00 @ 3,585.208d 16h−$38.23-1.36%signal
66long2024-02-07 20:00 @ 2,419.142024-03-14 20:00 @ 3,789.1136d$1,290.62+52.02%signal
65short2024-01-22 12:00 @ 2,380.512024-01-28 04:00 @ 2,286.445d 16h$98.45+4.01%signal
64long2024-01-10 16:00 @ 2,450.502024-01-18 20:00 @ 2,438.878d 4h−$20.55-0.83%signal
63long2023-12-28 00:00 @ 2,380.802023-12-29 16:00 @ 2,301.361d 16h−$92.14-3.71%stop loss
62long2023-12-02 20:00 @ 2,159.522023-12-11 04:00 @ 2,250.878d 8h$92.10+3.74%signal
61long2023-11-24 12:00 @ 2,098.372023-11-27 04:00 @ 2,027.532d 16h−$88.24-3.55%stop loss
60long2023-10-23 00:00 @ 1,663.152023-11-14 20:00 @ 1,979.3522d 20h$424.13+17.84%signal
59short2023-10-09 12:00 @ 1,589.442023-10-16 08:00 @ 1,578.346d 20h$16.34+0.69%signal
58long2023-09-29 08:00 @ 1,685.942023-10-02 16:00 @ 1,648.983d 8h−$55.40-2.32%stop loss
57long2023-09-18 12:00 @ 1,655.502023-09-20 08:00 @ 1,621.971d 20h−$51.19-2.13%stop loss
56short2023-09-11 12:00 @ 1,585.552023-09-12 08:00 @ 1,618.7320h−$53.14-2.20%stop loss
55short2023-08-17 16:00 @ 1,737.972023-08-29 16:00 @ 1,716.0012d$26.77+1.11%signal
54short2023-08-01 04:00 @ 1,825.262023-08-01 16:00 @ 1,854.1512h−$40.36-1.67%stop loss
53short2023-07-23 00:00 @ 1,865.232023-07-23 16:00 @ 1,902.4116h−$50.63-2.08%stop loss
52long2023-07-13 20:00 @ 1,995.862023-07-14 16:00 @ 1,947.2320h−$62.71-2.56%stop loss
51long2023-07-03 08:00 @ 1,968.392023-07-05 08:00 @ 1,912.052d−$74.66-3.03%stop loss
50long2023-06-20 20:00 @ 1,782.182023-06-26 20:00 @ 1,853.066d$90.91+3.72%signal
49short2023-06-10 08:00 @ 1,731.052023-06-20 16:00 @ 1,781.7010d 8h−$72.50-2.95%stop loss
48short2023-06-05 20:00 @ 1,805.122023-06-06 16:00 @ 1,848.2020h−$61.46-2.48%stop loss
47long2023-05-29 00:00 @ 1,908.742023-05-31 04:00 @ 1,866.442d 4h−$59.18-2.38%stop loss
46long2023-05-23 04:00 @ 1,865.332023-05-24 00:00 @ 1,828.6020h−$52.40-2.09%stop loss
45short2023-05-12 04:00 @ 1,762.472023-05-15 00:00 @ 1,827.482d 20h−$95.43-3.78%stop loss
44long2023-05-05 20:00 @ 1,990.842023-05-06 08:00 @ 1,932.5312h−$77.57-3.05%stop loss
43short2023-04-21 20:00 @ 1,841.492023-04-26 08:00 @ 1,917.744d 12h−$107.84-4.19%stop loss
42long2023-04-13 12:00 @ 1,985.552023-04-19 12:00 @ 1,980.306d−$14.24-0.55%signal
41long2023-04-04 12:00 @ 1,864.552023-04-09 08:00 @ 1,834.224d 20h−$46.46-1.80%signal
40long2023-03-13 16:00 @ 1,666.642023-03-27 16:00 @ 1,710.0514d$55.54+2.16%signal
39short2023-03-09 20:00 @ 1,487.532023-03-12 16:00 @ 1,536.552d 20h−$88.27-3.40%stop loss
38long2023-02-16 16:00 @ 1,725.242023-02-16 20:00 @ 1,659.914h−$102.21-3.90%stop loss
37short2023-02-10 00:00 @ 1,544.362023-02-15 12:00 @ 1,571.935d 12h−$47.48-1.80%signal
36long2023-02-02 04:00 @ 1,672.262023-02-05 16:00 @ 1,610.143d 12h−$104.31-3.92%stop loss
35long2023-01-04 04:00 @ 1,250.582023-01-25 00:00 @ 1,555.6920d 20h$589.11+23.45%signal
34short2022-12-16 12:00 @ 1,211.862023-01-02 08:00 @ 1,213.0716d 20h$2.21+0.09%signal
33long2022-12-13 16:00 @ 1,324.262022-12-15 00:00 @ 1,285.981d 8h−$76.91-3.04%stop loss
32long2022-11-30 04:00 @ 1,264.812022-12-04 00:00 @ 1,239.513d 20h−$54.46-2.14%signal
31short2022-11-08 20:00 @ 1,312.502022-11-24 04:00 @ 1,201.2715d 8h$202.03+8.10%signal
30short2022-11-08 08:00 @ 1,490.722022-11-08 16:00 @ 1,566.358h−$130.89-5.18%stop loss
29long2022-10-25 16:00 @ 1,407.812022-11-03 00:00 @ 1,516.968d 8h$186.42+7.52%signal
28long2022-10-24 00:00 @ 1,363.702022-10-24 12:00 @ 1,327.4412h−$69.34-2.78%stop loss
27short2022-10-13 12:00 @ 1,242.012022-10-13 16:00 @ 1,290.484h−$101.28-4.01%stop loss
26short2022-09-18 20:00 @ 1,379.572022-09-27 04:00 @ 1,385.148d 8h−$15.70-0.62%signal
25long2022-09-09 08:00 @ 1,704.602022-09-13 12:00 @ 1,615.934d 4h−$127.90-5.00%stop loss
24short2022-08-27 00:00 @ 1,506.922022-08-30 04:00 @ 1,601.823d 4h−$170.71-6.56%stop loss
23short2022-08-20 00:00 @ 1,607.972022-08-24 16:00 @ 1,683.114d 16h−$126.01-4.79%signal
22long2022-08-10 16:00 @ 1,837.212022-08-17 16:00 @ 1,829.897d−$15.14-0.57%signal
21long2022-08-08 12:00 @ 1,789.072022-08-09 08:00 @ 1,708.6620h−$122.90-4.61%stop loss
20long2022-07-28 16:00 @ 1,728.682022-08-01 20:00 @ 1,621.414d 4h−$173.80-6.41%signal
19long2022-07-16 20:00 @ 1,336.122022-07-26 00:00 @ 1,440.119d 4h$199.16+7.48%signal
18long2022-07-07 20:00 @ 1,247.582022-07-10 08:00 @ 1,176.672d 12h−$157.44-5.83%stop loss
17short2022-06-30 12:00 @ 1,017.532022-07-01 00:00 @ 1,097.0812h−$219.23-7.96%stop loss
16long2022-06-26 12:00 @ 1,269.362022-06-27 12:00 @ 1,180.231d−$199.04-7.10%stop loss
15short2022-06-10 20:00 @ 1,667.322022-06-24 12:00 @ 1,195.5013d 16h$735.56+28.06%signal
14short2022-05-26 12:00 @ 1,815.322022-05-30 08:00 @ 1,907.183d 20h−$136.03-5.12%signal
13short2022-05-06 12:00 @ 2,673.672022-05-23 08:00 @ 2,066.2716d 20h$570.92+22.73%signal
12short2022-05-01 00:00 @ 2,724.552022-05-01 20:00 @ 2,844.7920h−$115.45-4.54%stop loss
11short2022-04-25 04:00 @ 2,872.772022-04-25 16:00 @ 2,976.0912h−$95.76-3.73%stop loss
10short2022-04-11 12:00 @ 3,048.642022-04-19 16:00 @ 3,110.148d 4h−$56.54-2.19%signal
9short2022-04-07 00:00 @ 3,166.142022-04-08 08:00 @ 3,307.701d 8h−$119.59-4.58%stop loss
8long2022-03-17 16:00 @ 2,801.642022-03-31 20:00 @ 3,282.1514d 4h$416.77+16.64%signal
7short2022-03-07 00:00 @ 2,548.852022-03-09 00:00 @ 2,689.182d−$141.76-5.58%stop loss
6long2022-03-01 00:00 @ 2,920.632022-03-04 00:00 @ 2,710.063d−$191.68-7.41%stop loss
5short2022-02-18 16:00 @ 2,798.072022-02-28 20:00 @ 2,960.2410d 4h−$152.66-5.81%stop loss
4long2022-02-04 12:00 @ 2,829.192022-02-11 20:00 @ 2,991.537d 8h$143.29+5.53%signal
3long2022-02-01 04:00 @ 2,750.042022-02-03 08:00 @ 2,584.732d 4h−$158.57-6.03%stop loss
2short2022-01-21 00:00 @ 2,999.322022-01-26 16:00 @ 2,604.715d 16h$333.04+13.08%signal
1short2022-01-06 00:00 @ 3,537.102022-01-12 12:00 @ 3,270.636d 12h$187.77+7.51%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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