[Famous-Q] Wilder DMI/ADX (state, fixed)

public
@djgambhir

BTCUSDT · 12h · 2021-12-302026-08-31 · 3,412 bars in 5.5ms

Underperformed the market. Holding BTCUSDT returned +65.39% over the same period, against this strategy’s +5.66%.

Net P&L
+5.66%
$565.59
Max drawdown
-23.94%
Max run-up
+28.58%
Trades
144
26.4% win rate
Profit factor
1.06
2021-12-30drawdown · worst -23.94%2026-08-31
TrainingValidationOut-of-sample
SegmentPeriodReturnMax drawdownTradesWin rate
Training2022-01-012024-10-19+8.17%-12.36%8824%
Validation2024-10-192025-09-24-11.07%-14.49%2917%
Out-of-sample2025-09-242026-08-31+9.41%-6.77%2642%

Risk-adjusted

Sharpe
0.17
Sortino
0.24
Calmar
0.05
Return ÷ max drawdown
0.24
CAGR
+1.19%
Exposure
67.9%

Per trade

Expectancy
$3.93 · +0.24%
Average win / loss
$255.70 / −$86.33
Payoff ratio
2.96
Largest win / loss
$1,198.67 / −$382.11
Longest losing streak(winning: 3)
13 trades

Drawdown over time

Max drawdown
-23.94%
Longest time under water(still going at the end)
757 days
Worst drawdown recovered in
not recovered

Costs and mechanics

Fees paid
−$371.84
Funding
−$223.25
Liquidations
0
Warmup bars(loaded before the start date)
26
Benchmark(buy and hold)
+65.39%

Monte Carlo

1,000 alternative histories, each 144 trades drawn at random from this run’s own. The bands hold the middle 50% and 90% of them; the solid line is what actually happened.

this runmedian of the historiesmiddle 50% · 90%
Unlucky (5%)TypicalLucky (95%)
Return-27.85%+2.57%+57.56%
Max drawdown-35.97%-21.02%-11.39%

46% of histories lost money, and 37% had a deeper drawdown than this run’s -23.94%. Assumes trades are independent; real losing streaks cluster, so the true spread is usually wider.

Settings

adx length
14
Long entry: adx > ▢
20
Short entry: adx > ▢
20
Leverage (×)
1
Position size (% of equity)
25

BTCUSDT with every trade

Loading prices…
long opened short opened closed at a profit closed at a loss

Trades

144 trades

#SideEntryExitHeldP&LReturnClosed by
144long2026-08-20 00:00 @ 69,323.962026-08-31 12:00 @ 78,533.8911d 12h$328.33+12.83%end of data
143short2026-08-16 12:00 @ 62,968.502026-08-18 00:00 @ 64,517.001d 12h−$65.29-2.53%signal
142short2026-07-07 12:00 @ 63,365.122026-07-10 00:00 @ 63,209.742d 12h$4.69+0.18%signal
141long2026-07-04 12:00 @ 62,471.092026-07-07 00:00 @ 64,010.702d 12h$58.94+2.30%signal
140short2026-06-25 12:00 @ 61,245.952026-07-04 00:00 @ 62,578.018d 12h−$55.10-2.14%signal
139short2026-06-18 00:00 @ 64,460.012026-06-23 00:00 @ 64,002.905d$16.92+0.66%signal
138long2026-06-15 12:00 @ 66,205.242026-06-17 12:00 @ 64,761.652d−$58.59-2.27%signal
137short2026-05-17 00:00 @ 78,088.682026-06-15 00:00 @ 65,715.2429d$398.74+16.05%signal
136long2026-04-09 00:00 @ 71,052.412026-05-16 12:00 @ 78,026.8937d 12h$241.40+9.96%signal
135short2026-03-30 00:00 @ 65,964.802026-04-06 12:00 @ 69,597.427d 12h−$137.39-5.59%signal
134long2026-03-24 00:00 @ 70,880.172026-03-25 00:00 @ 70,509.901d−$15.59-0.63%signal
133short2026-03-22 12:00 @ 68,163.362026-03-23 12:00 @ 70,111.221d−$73.70-2.97%signal
132long2026-03-14 12:00 @ 70,719.142026-03-22 00:00 @ 68,867.727d 12h−$67.49-2.70%signal
131long2026-03-03 12:00 @ 67,013.402026-03-07 12:00 @ 67,962.404d$32.41+1.30%signal
130short2026-01-20 00:00 @ 92,571.082026-03-03 00:00 @ 68,815.5642d$601.49+25.72%signal
129long2025-12-29 12:00 @ 87,546.612026-01-19 12:00 @ 93,118.1721d$137.18+5.95%signal
128long2025-12-03 12:00 @ 92,976.192025-12-06 00:00 @ 89,270.742d 12h−$95.55-4.10%signal
127short2025-12-02 00:00 @ 86,224.252025-12-03 00:00 @ 91,267.351d−$140.54-5.95%signal
126long2025-12-01 00:00 @ 90,338.562025-12-01 12:00 @ 86,082.7812h−$115.20-4.82%signal
125short2025-11-14 00:00 @ 99,634.372025-11-30 12:00 @ 91,019.1016d 12h$205.05+8.76%signal
124long2025-11-11 00:00 @ 105,987.492025-11-12 00:00 @ 102,985.201d−$69.27-2.94%signal
123short2025-11-05 12:00 @ 101,998.902025-11-10 12:00 @ 106,157.735d−$97.68-4.10%signal
122short2025-10-31 00:00 @ 108,241.952025-11-02 12:00 @ 111,167.632d 12h−$65.66-2.74%signal
121long2025-10-25 12:00 @ 111,544.902025-10-30 12:00 @ 109,643.975d−$45.25-1.88%signal
120short2025-10-11 12:00 @ 112,202.162025-10-25 00:00 @ 110,987.5913d 12h$23.03+0.96%signal
119long2025-09-30 12:00 @ 113,026.302025-10-11 00:00 @ 112,692.4610d 12h−$15.05-0.62%signal
118short2025-09-23 12:00 @ 112,916.012025-09-30 00:00 @ 114,279.956d 12h−$29.74-1.23%signal
117long2025-09-16 00:00 @ 115,323.562025-09-22 12:00 @ 112,791.446d 12h−$57.57-2.37%signal
116short2025-09-01 00:00 @ 108,186.762025-09-04 00:00 @ 111,682.033d−$80.42-3.28%signal
115short2025-08-19 00:00 @ 116,160.362025-08-23 00:00 @ 116,920.884d−$16.93-0.69%signal
114long2025-08-10 00:00 @ 116,445.382025-08-18 12:00 @ 114,877.128d 12h−$40.70-1.65%signal
113short2025-08-02 00:00 @ 113,222.152025-08-09 12:00 @ 117,088.417d 12h−$84.04-3.38%signal
112short2025-07-26 00:00 @ 117,559.882025-07-28 00:00 @ 119,447.382d−$41.09-1.65%signal
111long2025-07-11 12:00 @ 117,813.562025-07-25 12:00 @ 116,481.3014d−$41.36-1.65%signal
110short2025-06-22 00:00 @ 102,059.382025-06-26 12:00 @ 107,294.254d 12h−$132.21-5.21%signal
109short2025-06-15 00:00 @ 105,338.732025-06-17 00:00 @ 106,771.452d−$36.87-1.45%signal
108short2025-05-31 00:00 @ 103,929.112025-06-09 12:00 @ 107,729.349d 12h−$95.23-3.70%signal
107long2025-04-24 00:00 @ 93,650.932025-05-29 00:00 @ 107,701.5635d$359.67+14.49%signal
106short2025-04-09 00:00 @ 76,282.742025-04-13 00:00 @ 85,254.954d−$302.41-11.82%signal
105short2025-03-21 12:00 @ 83,989.102025-03-24 00:00 @ 86,061.312d 12h−$65.76-2.55%signal
104long2025-03-20 12:00 @ 85,479.992025-03-21 00:00 @ 84,166.7612h−$42.31-1.64%signal
103short2025-02-25 00:00 @ 91,496.202025-03-20 00:00 @ 86,827.1623d$132.08+5.17%signal
102short2025-02-05 00:00 @ 97,690.462025-02-15 00:00 @ 97,464.6910d$6.33+0.25%signal
101short2025-01-28 00:00 @ 102,000.902025-01-30 12:00 @ 105,272.952d 12h−$83.26-3.24%signal
100long2025-01-22 12:00 @ 105,104.922025-01-27 12:00 @ 98,680.365d−$165.24-6.32%signal
99long2025-01-07 00:00 @ 102,200.942025-01-08 12:00 @ 95,074.781d 12h−$189.26-7.11%signal
98short2024-12-23 00:00 @ 95,134.372025-01-02 12:00 @ 96,734.7410d 12h−$39.73-1.49%signal
97long2024-12-05 12:00 @ 102,688.732024-12-06 00:00 @ 96,982.2012h−$154.37-5.70%signal
96short2024-12-03 12:00 @ 95,026.892024-12-05 00:00 @ 98,689.531d 12h−$105.76-3.87%signal
95long2024-11-28 12:00 @ 95,529.002024-12-03 00:00 @ 95,871.424d 12h$1.17+0.04%signal
94short2024-11-27 00:00 @ 92,003.102024-11-28 00:00 @ 95,924.381d−$119.02-4.31%signal
93long2024-11-07 00:00 @ 75,595.022024-11-26 12:00 @ 92,401.5219d 12h$552.87+21.05%signal
92short2024-11-04 00:00 @ 68,748.752024-11-06 12:00 @ 74,306.562d 12h−$217.32-8.11%signal
91long2024-10-29 00:00 @ 69,953.892024-11-03 12:00 @ 68,331.735d 12h−$69.87-2.59%signal
90short2024-10-26 12:00 @ 67,096.782024-10-27 00:00 @ 67,085.3112h−$1.97-0.07%signal
89long2024-10-16 12:00 @ 67,885.872024-10-26 00:00 @ 66,649.379d 12h−$59.69-2.20%signal
88short2024-10-11 00:00 @ 60,281.242024-10-12 00:00 @ 62,521.501d−$104.60-3.82%signal
87long2024-10-08 00:00 @ 62,203.042024-10-10 00:00 @ 60,594.182d−$75.08-2.72%signal
86short2024-10-02 12:00 @ 61,128.572024-10-07 12:00 @ 63,126.725d−$92.56-3.33%signal
85long2024-09-20 00:00 @ 62,939.492024-10-02 00:00 @ 60,764.5412d−$105.30-3.75%signal
84long2024-09-14 12:00 @ 59,692.042024-09-16 12:00 @ 58,618.372d−$53.77-1.91%signal
83short2024-09-11 12:00 @ 56,757.552024-09-14 00:00 @ 60,468.292d 12h−$190.97-6.66%signal
82short2024-08-28 12:00 @ 59,888.222024-09-11 00:00 @ 57,620.7213d 12h$104.70+3.68%signal
81long2024-08-25 00:00 @ 64,129.422024-08-28 00:00 @ 59,372.523d−$218.25-7.53%signal
80short2024-08-21 00:00 @ 58,970.902024-08-22 00:00 @ 61,132.221d−$110.40-3.77%signal
79short2024-08-02 00:00 @ 65,315.932024-08-20 12:00 @ 60,507.0018d 12h$210.91+7.34%signal
78long2024-07-14 12:00 @ 60,091.022024-08-01 12:00 @ 64,632.2718d$201.98+7.16%signal
77short2024-06-19 12:00 @ 65,168.962024-07-14 00:00 @ 59,185.7324d 12h$265.83+9.65%signal
76long2024-06-07 00:00 @ 70,844.172024-06-08 00:00 @ 69,363.121d−$61.51-2.22%signal
75long2024-05-21 12:00 @ 71,177.232024-05-24 00:00 @ 67,986.302d 12h−$130.50-4.65%signal
74short2024-05-08 12:00 @ 62,212.462024-05-13 12:00 @ 62,712.445d−$22.84-0.81%signal
73long2024-05-05 00:00 @ 63,877.072024-05-08 00:00 @ 62,283.543d−$74.33-2.63%signal
72short2024-04-15 00:00 @ 65,602.782024-05-04 12:00 @ 63,862.7719d 12h$78.79+2.81%signal
71long2024-03-26 12:00 @ 70,748.252024-03-30 00:00 @ 69,889.623d 12h−$45.03-1.60%signal
70short2024-03-15 12:00 @ 67,804.742024-03-26 00:00 @ 69,934.5810d 12h−$76.61-2.70%signal
69long2024-02-09 12:00 @ 47,165.332024-03-15 00:00 @ 71,441.3134d 12h$1,198.67+47.21%signal
68long2024-01-28 12:00 @ 42,464.992024-02-05 00:00 @ 42,561.797d 12h−$1.82-0.07%signal
67short2024-01-23 12:00 @ 38,842.432024-01-28 00:00 @ 42,110.624d 12h−$217.47-8.38%signal
66short2023-12-20 00:00 @ 42,289.742023-12-21 00:00 @ 43,717.641d−$89.81-3.43%signal
65short2023-12-15 12:00 @ 42,791.442023-12-19 12:00 @ 43,012.604d−$12.84-0.49%signal
64long2023-12-14 12:00 @ 43,278.552023-12-15 00:00 @ 43,023.6912h−$18.33-0.70%signal
63short2023-12-12 00:00 @ 41,262.852023-12-14 00:00 @ 42,883.582d−$105.07-3.96%signal
62long2023-12-03 12:00 @ 39,479.192023-12-11 12:00 @ 42,338.138d$176.54+6.77%signal
61long2023-11-23 12:00 @ 37,385.582023-11-24 00:00 @ 37,286.9412h−$9.75-0.37%signal
60short2023-11-22 12:00 @ 36,458.512023-11-23 00:00 @ 37,420.9812h−$71.73-2.73%signal
59long2023-11-19 12:00 @ 36,466.292023-11-22 00:00 @ 35,729.852d 12h−$57.83-2.19%signal
58short2023-11-17 12:00 @ 36,376.622023-11-19 00:00 @ 36,588.221d 12h−$16.98-0.64%signal
57long2023-11-16 12:00 @ 37,279.452023-11-17 00:00 @ 36,168.7612h−$82.36-3.09%signal
56short2023-11-15 12:00 @ 36,247.252023-11-16 00:00 @ 37,893.0812h−$124.94-4.63%signal
55long2023-10-16 12:00 @ 27,742.552023-11-15 00:00 @ 35,551.9929d 12h$682.69+27.02%signal
54short2023-10-12 00:00 @ 26,859.132023-10-16 00:00 @ 27,145.234d−$28.61-1.13%signal
53long2023-10-02 00:00 @ 27,987.002023-10-11 12:00 @ 27,179.569d 12h−$77.81-3.05%signal
52short2023-09-25 12:00 @ 26,059.292023-09-27 12:00 @ 26,761.052d−$71.35-2.78%signal
51long2023-09-19 00:00 @ 26,755.252023-09-25 00:00 @ 26,227.156d−$54.10-2.09%signal
50short2023-09-01 12:00 @ 26,028.392023-09-14 00:00 @ 26,215.1412d 12h−$19.70-0.76%signal
49long2023-08-30 12:00 @ 27,328.862023-09-01 00:00 @ 25,922.811d 12h−$138.11-5.26%signal
48short2023-08-18 00:00 @ 26,604.382023-08-30 00:00 @ 27,705.6412d−$111.64-4.21%signal
47long2023-06-21 12:00 @ 28,919.282023-07-17 12:00 @ 30,138.9726d$92.54+3.52%signal
46long2023-05-29 00:00 @ 28,061.412023-06-01 12:00 @ 26,876.223d 12h−$116.83-4.40%signal
45short2023-05-11 00:00 @ 27,577.482023-05-28 12:00 @ 27,151.3317d 12h$45.83+1.73%signal
44long2023-04-26 12:00 @ 28,946.492023-04-27 00:00 @ 28,390.3212h−$54.00-2.03%signal
43short2023-04-20 00:00 @ 28,789.242023-04-26 00:00 @ 28,292.366d$45.69+1.73%signal
42long2023-04-12 00:00 @ 30,191.142023-04-19 12:00 @ 29,294.147d 12h−$85.91-3.22%signal
41short2023-04-04 12:00 @ 28,269.052023-04-05 12:00 @ 28,549.611d−$28.99-1.08%signal
40long2023-03-13 12:00 @ 22,097.022023-04-04 00:00 @ 27,780.5421d 12h$631.91+25.08%signal
39short2023-03-08 12:00 @ 22,056.692023-03-13 00:00 @ 21,990.604d 12h$5.84+0.23%signal
38long2023-02-23 12:00 @ 23,772.352023-02-25 00:00 @ 23,170.861d 12h−$67.11-2.65%signal
37long2023-02-16 00:00 @ 24,337.572023-02-23 00:00 @ 24,166.477d−$26.07-1.03%signal
36short2023-02-10 00:00 @ 21,788.942023-02-15 12:00 @ 22,437.495d 12h−$75.76-2.96%signal
35long2023-01-10 00:00 @ 17,173.032023-02-09 12:00 @ 22,672.9630d 12h$730.30+30.72%signal
34long2023-01-05 12:00 @ 16,830.372023-01-06 00:00 @ 16,820.4412h−$3.95-0.17%signal
33short2022-12-30 12:00 @ 16,486.302023-01-05 00:00 @ 16,845.575d 12h−$52.25-2.18%signal
32long2022-12-15 12:00 @ 17,715.642022-12-17 00:00 @ 16,620.781d 12h−$152.83-6.29%signal
31short2022-12-02 12:00 @ 16,983.602022-12-04 12:00 @ 16,941.792d$4.21+0.17%signal
30long2022-12-01 00:00 @ 17,156.832022-12-02 00:00 @ 16,967.111d−$29.50-1.21%signal
29short2022-11-08 12:00 @ 19,684.962022-11-30 12:00 @ 16,874.6722d$328.05+13.94%signal
28long2022-11-05 00:00 @ 21,141.832022-11-08 00:00 @ 20,574.383d−$67.62-2.85%signal
27short2022-11-04 00:00 @ 20,195.762022-11-04 12:00 @ 20,551.2112h−$44.19-1.86%signal
26long2022-10-26 12:00 @ 20,600.122022-11-03 12:00 @ 20,120.288d−$59.22-2.47%signal
25short2022-10-15 00:00 @ 19,160.772022-10-26 00:00 @ 20,072.3111d−$113.64-4.69%signal
24long2022-09-28 00:00 @ 19,073.912022-09-28 12:00 @ 18,943.8112h−$19.00-0.78%signal
23short2022-09-14 12:00 @ 20,215.862022-09-27 12:00 @ 20,225.0413d−$1.06-0.04%signal
22long2022-09-10 00:00 @ 21,356.272022-09-14 00:00 @ 20,158.574d−$143.50-5.82%signal
21short2022-08-20 00:00 @ 20,820.842022-09-09 12:00 @ 20,935.8920d 12h−$16.41-0.66%signal
20long2022-07-28 12:00 @ 23,110.622022-08-19 12:00 @ 21,449.4122d−$192.35-7.64%signal
19short2022-07-26 12:00 @ 21,074.682022-07-28 00:00 @ 22,945.691d 12h−$230.81-8.96%signal
18long2022-07-18 12:00 @ 22,134.332022-07-26 00:00 @ 21,295.747d 12h−$105.94-4.07%signal
17short2022-07-12 12:00 @ 19,761.052022-07-15 00:00 @ 20,582.722d 12h−$111.67-4.25%signal
16long2022-07-06 12:00 @ 20,102.722022-07-12 00:00 @ 19,950.315d 12h−$26.22-0.99%signal
15short2022-06-13 12:00 @ 23,713.462022-07-06 00:00 @ 20,174.1322d 12h$379.65+14.94%signal
14long2022-06-03 12:00 @ 29,749.952022-06-04 00:00 @ 29,676.8612h−$8.97-0.35%signal
13short2022-06-02 12:00 @ 30,151.772022-06-03 00:00 @ 30,443.1912h−$27.16-1.06%signal
12long2022-05-31 00:00 @ 31,732.852022-06-02 00:00 @ 29,790.942d−$162.64-6.28%signal
11short2022-04-06 12:00 @ 44,793.542022-05-30 12:00 @ 30,665.1354d$764.63+31.85%signal
10long2022-03-25 00:00 @ 43,981.992022-04-06 00:00 @ 45,468.4012d$70.61+2.96%signal
9short2022-03-05 12:00 @ 39,098.682022-03-09 12:00 @ 42,158.434d−$191.86-7.89%signal
8long2022-03-01 12:00 @ 43,608.722022-03-05 00:00 @ 39,119.873d 12h−$261.34-10.47%signal
7short2022-02-28 00:00 @ 37,664.572022-03-01 00:00 @ 43,163.631d−$382.11-14.74%signal
6long2022-02-27 00:00 @ 39,107.122022-02-27 12:00 @ 39,455.5112h$20.25+0.78%signal
5short2022-02-18 12:00 @ 40,159.172022-02-26 12:00 @ 38,928.788d$76.46+2.98%signal
4long2022-02-07 00:00 @ 42,369.812022-02-18 00:00 @ 40,483.7011d−$123.36-4.75%signal
3short2022-01-31 12:00 @ 37,237.552022-02-01 00:00 @ 38,446.7312h−$87.90-3.35%signal
2long2022-01-30 12:00 @ 38,103.082022-01-31 00:00 @ 37,862.4312h−$19.46-0.74%signal
1short2021-12-30 12:00 @ 47,483.502022-01-30 00:00 @ 38,157.6330d 12h$500.24+20.01%signal

How this was run

Orders fill at the next bar’s open, never at the close that produced the signal. When one bar’s range covered both the stop and the target, the stop was taken, because the data cannot say which came first. Fees, slippage and funding are all charged.

Warmup history was loaded from before 2022-01-01 so the requested window is fully tradable.

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